NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	98		Excitement	5.4 [722]		MVP	Donovan Mitchell (CLE): +18.9%
Cleveland Cavaliers	110		Comeback	2.2 [1129]		LVP	GG Jackson (MEM): -15.0%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jake LaRavia	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.15	-0.02	0.05	18	78%	0.14	5	-0.06	5	80%	0.01
Timmy Allen	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	2	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scotty Pippen Jr.	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.03	-0.00	15	56%	0.05	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
Zavier Simpson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Stevens	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.01	0.05	13	50%	-0.03	1	-0.01	6	100%	0.02
Jack White	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	3	0%	-0.06	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Jemison	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	7	29%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
GG Jackson	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.00	-0.08	0.07	21	46%	-0.11	1	-0.04	6	100%	0.02

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donovan Mitchell	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.15	0.07	0.03	17	71%	0.27	3	-0.09	7	86%	0.01
Jarrett Allen	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.07	-0.01	13	57%	0.16	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Max Strus	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	0.00	0.03	5	73%	0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Georges Niang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.02	0.00	3	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Emoni Bates	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pete Nance	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damian Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Craig Porter Jr.	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Mobley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caris LeVert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.07	0.01	0.08	13	60%	0.00	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Isaac Okoro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.02
Evan Mobley	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	10	55%	0.02	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Darius Garland	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.07	0.04	13	52%	-0.02	3	-0.10	5	80%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.4	26.4	15.4	26.4	2.4	30.5	129.5
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +45.3%

CLE +12.8%

CLE +3.4%

MEM -8.6%

MEM -3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	CLE	NBA	MEM	CLE	NBA
this game	15.8	13.2	14.5	98.0	112.2	113.9
season	14.8	14.8		106.3	113.0
opponent	14.7	14.3		111.3	113.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	16.7	15.4	18.4	13.3	15.8
CLE	14.0	14.0	11.6	13.3	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lamar Stevens	78	76	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.28	7	-19	26	15.5	17.1	-1.59	13.9	10.9	3.03
Scotty Pippen Jr.	71	70	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.34	4	-16	20	16.0	15.5	0.47	14.0	11.3	2.65
Jack White	32	30	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.13	-5	-7	2	15.7	15.9	-0.24	13.4	13.1	0.22
GG Jackson	72	71	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.06	-13	1	-14	16.8	13.5	3.31	12.9	13.9	-0.98
Trey Jemison	75	73	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.16	-17	5	-22	16.4	14.1	2.31	12.8	14.4	-1.54
Zavier Simpson	52	52	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.13	-7	-5	-2	15.3	16.4	-1.09	13.3	13.2	0.12
Timmy Allen	35	35	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.01	-13	1	-14	14.8	16.4	-1.62	12.5	13.6	-1.18
Jake LaRavia	85	83	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.08	-16	4	-20	15.6	17.4	-1.82	12.8	15.7	-2.97

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Caris LeVert	59	59	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.27	11	1	10	12.2	14.7	-2.54	15.1	16.9	-1.78
Georges Niang	38	40	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.02	19	-7	26	11.3	14.4	-3.14	15.6	16.0	-0.38
Evan Mobley	68	68	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.05	12	0	12	12.0	16.0	-4.01	16.0	15.5	0.47
Darius Garland	64	64	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.33	24	-12	36	12.4	14.8	-2.46	16.8	14.2	2.54
Isaac Okoro	56	57	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.02	13	-1	14	12.6	14.1	-1.50	15.5	16.3	-0.71
Jarrett Allen	66	66	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.14	-2	14	-16	14.1	11.4	2.64	16.5	14.6	1.91
Donovan Mitchell	64	68	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.02	2	10	-8	14.1	11.5	2.58	16.5	14.5	1.94
Max Strus	60	59	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.10	-1	13	-14	14.1	11.9	2.20	16.2	15.3	0.90
Emoni Bates	3	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	16	-20	22.7	12.9	9.75	10.5	16.1	-5.57
Pete Nance	3	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	16	-20	22.7	12.9	9.75	10.5	16.1	-5.57
Damian Jones	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	14	-16	22.7	12.9	9.75	9.0	16.1	-7.06
Craig Porter Jr.	3	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	16	-20	22.7	12.9	9.75	10.5	16.1	-5.57
Isaiah Mobley	3	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	16	-20	22.7	12.9	9.75	10.5	16.1	-5.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.51,0.43,0.39,0.33,0.4,0.44,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.33,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.59,0.72,0.8,0.73,0.82,0.9,0.92,0.98,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 114, GSW 122	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.56,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.33,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.52,0.55,0.69,0.76,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,0.97,0.99,1	94.0%
WAS 86, HOU 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.52,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.5,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.54,0.65,0.76,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.7%
HOU 78, LAL 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.77,0.8,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.7%