NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	114		Excitement	5.5 [747]		MVP	Mickael Pietrus (GSW): +11.0%
Golden State Warriors	122		Comeback	2.8 [749]		LVP	Carmelo Anthony (DEN): -19.9%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Earl Watson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.02	4	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Earl Boykins	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.09	-0.00	0.04	5	75%	0.08	1	-0.04	10	100%	0.02
Greg Buckner	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.01	-0.00	6	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	37%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Linas Kleiza	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0	0.05	0.00	0.04	6	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.02	13	48%	0.02	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Francisco Elson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DerMarr Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.00	-0.03	0.03	15	58%	0.03	4	-0.08	8	75%	-0.01
Marcus Camby	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.15	-0.04	-0.01	8	28%	-0.03	5	-0.14	2	50%	-0.01
Carmelo Anthony	-0.20	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	0.04	-0.08	0.16	23	61%	-0.06	5	-0.14	10	90%	0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.02	-0.01	9	76%	0.17	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.01	-0.01	20	58%	0.12	2	-0.03	8	62%	-0.03
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	0.00	0.04	6	87%	0.08	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	18	46%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Troy Murphy	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.02	14	53%	0.05	2	-0.04	10	80%	-0.01
Andris Biedrins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Ike Diogu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.01	-0.04	0.04	16	59%	0.03	5	-0.10	7	86%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.3	31.1	15.6	25.5	2.5	40.5	144.6
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +38.2%

DEN -4.3%

GSW +5.9%

GSW +14.7%

DEN -4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	GSW	NBA	DEN	GSW	NBA
this game	13.1	14.5	15.6	108.6	117.3	104.4
season	14.4	14.8		103.5	102.9
opponent	15.5	15.9		104.0	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	12.9	13.4	16.2	10.2	13.1
GSW	13.3	15.4	12.1	17.1	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Francisco Elson	15	14	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.04	-1	-7	6	15.3	12.7	2.59	13.4	14.6	-1.18
Linas Kleiza	12	12	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.12	4	-12	16	8.2	13.8	-5.59	13.0	14.6	-1.64
Kenyon Martin	71	70	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.14	2	-10	12	12.7	13.9	-1.14	15.3	12.6	2.73
DerMarr Johnson	12	11	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.03	-6	-2	-4	11.7	13.3	-1.54	12.1	14.7	-2.64
Earl Watson	47	47	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.01	-7	-1	-6	13.6	12.7	0.83	14.6	14.4	0.22
Earl Boykins	56	54	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.26	1	-9	10	12.2	14.1	-1.85	15.6	13.2	2.41
Greg Buckner	56	57	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.25	0	-8	8	12.6	13.7	-1.12	13.8	15.2	-1.39
Andre Miller	82	81	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.28	-1	-7	6	12.9	13.8	-0.86	15.1	12.1	3.04
Eduardo Najera	33	35	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.13	-8	0	-8	14.7	12.4	2.26	14.9	14.2	0.61
Carmelo Anthony	82	81	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.19	-8	0	-8	13.1	13.0	0.09	13.9	16.5	-2.66
Marcus Camby	59	58	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.00	-16	8	-24	14.6	11.2	3.38	13.4	15.7	-2.27

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andris Biedrins	36	35	0.74	-0.24	0.99	0.01	25	-17	42	14.4	14.5	-0.10	15.5	11.9	3.64
Mickael Pietrus	64	65	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.26	12	-4	16	14.0	15.1	-1.09	14.4	11.0	3.42
Mike Dunleavy	78	79	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.30	8	0	8	15.0	12.7	2.29	12.8	14.0	-1.13
Baron Davis	82	82	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.18	11	-3	14	13.9	16.6	-2.71	12.9	14.0	-1.19
Troy Murphy	82	84	0.39	0.12	0.27	0.39	0	8	-8	14.1	15.7	-1.62	13.1	13.3	-0.21
Ike Diogu	11	10	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.05	4	4	0	12.6	14.7	-2.03	13.9	13.0	0.87
Derek Fisher	45	45	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.21	-5	13	-18	15.8	13.4	2.34	11.8	14.1	-2.26
Jason Richardson	76	78	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.07	-7	15	-22	14.8	13.6	1.20	12.1	16.1	-3.98
Adonal Foyle	46	47	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	-0.03	-8	16	-24	14.3	14.5	-0.19	13.3	13.0	0.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.56,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.33,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.52,0.55,0.69,0.76,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,0.97,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 85, GSW 101	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.55,0.62,0.79,0.83,0.77,0.82,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
VAN 78, DET 87	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.62,0.76,0.83,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.91,0.95,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.92,0.89,0.9,1,1	94.8%
WAS 86, HOU 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.52,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.5,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.54,0.65,0.76,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.5%