NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Vancouver Grizzlies	78		Excitement	5.6 [659]		MVP	George Lynch (VAN): +10.0%
Detroit Pistons	87		Comeback	2.3 [643]		LVP	Shareef Abdur-Rahim (VAN): -30.7%

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George Lynch	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.01	-0.01	4	90%	0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Greg Anthony	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.12	-0.01	0.04	19	63%	0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Richard Manning	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	8	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lawrence Moten	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	10	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roy Rogers	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	6	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Pete Chilcutt	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	2	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Lee Mayberry	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	15	47%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Mobley	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.03	0.00	6	17%	-0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.31	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.26,-0.26,-0.27,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31	-0.22	-0.09	-0.01	13	14%	-0.22	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terry Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.05	0.00	10	65%	0.12	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.00	-0.02	17	59%	0.08	1	0.00	7	86%	0.01
Grant Long	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	4	87%	0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Don Reid	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Mahorn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Otis Thorpe	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	11	57%	0.04	2	-0.06	8	62%	-0.00
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Joe Dumars	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	0.00	-0.01	5	58%	0.04	6	-0.13	2	100%	0.02
Grant Hill	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.01	12	44%	-0.04	3	-0.08	10	70%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.5	22.3	15.7	26.3	1.6	28.6	120.4
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +38.3%

DET +21.4%

DET +3.9%

VAN -13.5%

VAN -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	VAN	DET	NBA	VAN	DET	NBA
this game	17.3	17.9	15.6	94.0	107.4	104.4
season	16.3	17.1		97.9	107.6
opponent	16.2	15.5		102.0	109.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
VAN	16.9	17.5	18.8	15.6	17.3
DET	16.6	19.5	14.6	21.1	17.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lee Mayberry	15	15	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.08	4	-13	17	18.9	16.9	1.97	20.7	17.2	3.51
George Lynch	57	57	-0.02	-0.47	0.45	-0.11	3	-12	15	17.8	16.2	1.60	18.9	15.5	3.44
Pete Chilcutt	19	20	-0.10	-0.39	0.29	-0.16	2	-11	13	15.6	17.7	-2.10	21.1	16.8	4.35
Eric Mobley	31	28	-0.18	-0.31	0.13	0.08	-9	0	-9	17.7	17.0	0.73	15.7	19.0	-3.25
Lawrence Moten	41	41	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.01	-6	-3	-3	16.5	18.0	-1.56	16.8	19.0	-2.27
Richard Manning	34	35	-0.24	-0.25	0.01	-0.13	-4	-5	1	17.5	17.1	0.42	17.9	17.9	0.02
Roy Rogers	24	23	-0.27	-0.22	-0.05	-0.12	-5	-4	-1	17.7	17.1	0.70	18.0	17.8	0.17
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	68	64	-0.47	-0.02	-0.45	-0.15	-11	2	-13	17.3	17.2	0.06	17.2	20.5	-3.36
Anthony Peeler	58	56	-0.49	-0.00	-0.49	-0.32	-6	-3	-3	17.2	17.3	-0.04	18.3	16.9	1.38
Greg Anthony	68	66	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.15	-13	4	-17	16.9	18.9	-1.97	17.2	20.7	-3.51

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terry Mills	27	27	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.11	17	-8	25	16.6	18.5	-1.93	19.1	16.3	2.81
Joe Dumars	70	73	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.19	12	-3	15	17.8	18.5	-0.67	17.1	18.2	-1.08
Lindsey Hunter	65	67	0.53	-0.04	0.57	0.15	13	-4	17	17.4	20.0	-2.65	17.6	15.6	2.02
Rick Mahorn	15	15	0.49	0.00	0.49	0.14	12	-3	15	14.3	18.7	-4.43	17.9	17.1	0.75
Grant Hill	71	71	0.37	0.12	0.25	0.14	8	1	7	18.9	10.9	7.96	17.4	16.7	0.69
Michael Curry	21	21	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.18	0	9	-9	18.4	17.7	0.68	16.3	17.6	-1.23
Grant Long	39	42	0.03	0.46	-0.43	0.06	-1	10	-11	18.2	17.5	0.68	16.8	17.7	-0.95
Don Reid	6	5	-0.00	0.49	-0.50	0.09	-3	12	-15	21.8	17.6	4.27	18.8	17.2	1.65
Otis Thorpe	58	58	-0.08	0.57	-0.65	0.01	-3	12	-15	19.3	14.2	5.17	17.1	17.6	-0.44
Theo Ratliff	17	18	-0.10	0.59	-0.68	0.08	-6	15	-21	15.2	18.6	-3.42	14.6	18.0	-3.44
Stacey Augmon	16	18	-0.12	0.61	-0.73	-0.00	-4	13	-17	16.1	18.3	-2.18	17.4	17.2	0.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.62,0.76,0.83,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.91,0.95,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.92,0.89,0.9,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 114, GSW 122	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.56,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.33,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.52,0.55,0.69,0.76,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,0.97,0.99,1	94.8%
SAC 97, DAL 111	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.31,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.55,0.66,0.78,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.85,0.92,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.3%
PHI 77, LAC 88	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.41,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.65,0.59,0.79,0.86,0.82,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.99,1	94.3%