NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	77		Excitement	4.6 [874]		MVP	Eric Piatkowski (LAC): +15.7%
Los Angeles Clippers	88		Comeback	1.8 [423]		LVP	Rodney Buford (PHI): -13.9%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dikembe Mutombo	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.01	0.02	6	87%	0.09	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Aaron McKie	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	19	50%	0.06	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Matt Geiger	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	9	50%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Eric Snow	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	12	46%	-0.01	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	-0.07	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	8	44%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Ollie	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	2	33%	-0.04	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.04
Jumaine Jones	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	11	27%	-0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Buford	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.03	-0.01	8	0%	-0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.11	0.04	0.00	5	108%	0.18	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	-0.01	-0.00	12	59%	0.06	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Sean Rooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.05	13	68%	0.17	6	-0.15	11	55%	-0.02
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.02	10	55%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Cherokee Parks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	6	71%	0.05	5	-0.11	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.4	26.3	15.8	26.2	2.4	32.7	129.8
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +64.6%

LAC +8.8%

PHI -14.1%

PHI -10.0%

LAC +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	LAC	NBA	PHI	LAC	NBA
this game	18.4	16.7	15.5	95.1	106.0	100.9
season	15.7	16.1		101.4	99.5
opponent	15.5	15.5		102.6	97.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	17.0	24.1	17.8	16.0	18.4
LAC	15.8	17.2	15.7	18.3	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Ollie	17	19	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.13	3	-14	17	15.8	19.1	-3.38	17.8	16.4	1.47
George Lynch	53	55	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.05	-5	-6	1	17.8	19.6	-1.85	17.2	15.7	1.45
Rodney Buford	26	25	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.15	0	-11	11	21.1	17.2	3.90	16.9	16.6	0.24
Dikembe Mutombo	54	55	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.13	-2	-9	7	18.6	18.1	0.54	17.3	15.6	1.72
Matt Geiger	25	27	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.12	-4	-7	3	17.0	19.1	-2.13	15.6	17.2	-1.60
Tyrone Hill	43	43	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.07	-10	-1	-9	18.2	18.7	-0.47	16.9	16.5	0.46
Eric Snow	67	67	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.04	-14	3	-17	19.1	15.0	4.15	16.6	17.4	-0.82
Aaron McKie	72	75	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.22	-9	-2	-7	18.0	21.8	-3.76	16.6	18.0	-1.43
Jumaine Jones	48	49	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.08	-14	3	-17	19.0	17.5	1.50	15.8	18.0	-2.18

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Piatkowski	72	70	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.15	16	-5	21	16.4	19.0	-2.64	17.2	26.5	-9.39
Michael Olowokandi	69	67	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.11	16	-5	21	16.8	16.1	0.77	17.0	25.4	-8.46
Jeff McInnis	73	72	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.10	16	-5	21	16.7	16.8	-0.10	17.5	26.1	-8.64
Darius Miles	62	60	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.18	13	-2	15	17.0	16.0	0.95	18.0	19.6	-1.60
Lamar Odom	80	77	0.52	-0.01	0.53	0.13	13	-2	15	16.5	22.7	-6.18	18.4	18.2	0.19
Quentin Richardson	13	12	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.08	-5	16	-21	17.2	16.6	0.53	26.3	17.1	9.28
Keyon Dooling	13	13	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.12	-7	18	-25	18.2	16.4	1.71	23.7	17.4	6.27
Sean Rooks	14	14	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.06	-5	16	-21	16.1	16.8	-0.77	25.4	17.0	8.46
Cherokee Parks	19	20	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.05	-2	13	-15	16.9	16.6	0.31	19.4	18.1	1.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.41,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.65,0.59,0.79,0.86,0.82,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 91, MIA 103	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.53,0.56,0.5,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.62,0.72,0.72,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.79,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.97,0.93,1,1,1	94.4%
VAN 78, DET 87	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.62,0.76,0.83,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.91,0.95,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.92,0.89,0.9,1,1	94.3%
NJN 100, NYK 111	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.27,0.46,0.42,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.82,0.86,0.89,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.0%