NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	100		Excitement	5.2 [811]		MVP	Amar'e Stoudemire (NYK): +17.5%
New York Knicks	111		Comeback	2.7 [629]		LVP	Troy Murphy (NJN): -10.2%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brook Lopez	0.04	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.14	-0.03	0.07	24	63%	0.14	3	-0.10	9	89%	0.02
Travis Outlaw	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	-0.00	0.04	9	62%	0.04	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Jordan Farmar	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.03	0.01	12	68%	0.08	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Ben Uzoh	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Graham	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damion James	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Johan Petro	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	6	47%	0.04	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
Anthony Morrow	-0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	6	58%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	9	40%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Troy Murphy	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.04	4	0%	-0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.17	0.05	0.05	22	64%	0.20	1	-0.02	11	82%	0.01
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.16	-0.00	0.07	15	71%	0.16	2	-0.07	8	100%	0.04
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	-0.01	-0.02	15	68%	0.19	5	-0.15	1	100%	0.00
Toney Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawne Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	11	45%	0.01	1	-0.02	7	71%	0.01
Timofey Mozgov	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Landry Fields	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.04	0.01	5	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Henry Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	2.8	28.2	16.4	29.5	2.7	29.3	137.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +29.4%

NYK +10.9%

NYK +12.4%

NJN -2.1%

NJN -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	NYK	NBA	NJN	NYK	NBA
this game	16.0	14.3	15.5	105.3	116.8	105.7
season	16.4	14.3		101.6	108.6
opponent	15.5	15.3		108.4	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	17.1	15.2	16.5	15.2	16.0
NYK	13.1	14.8	11.6	18.3	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devin Harris	46	47	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.00	3	-14	17	16.7	15.5	1.18	12.6	15.9	-3.28
Stephen Graham	5	5	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-13	15	13.0	16.2	-3.21	20.0	14.0	6.04
Derrick Favors	27	26	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.08	1	-12	13	15.7	16.2	-0.42	16.2	13.6	2.59
Ben Uzoh	15	13	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.07	0	-11	11	14.6	16.3	-1.71	16.2	14.0	2.27
Travis Outlaw	61	62	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.06	-4	-7	3	16.4	15.4	1.03	13.4	16.0	-2.65
Kris Humphries	34	36	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.04	-8	-3	-5	16.6	15.7	0.94	13.0	15.1	-2.10
Johan Petro	20	18	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.04	-9	-2	-7	14.9	16.3	-1.45	14.8	14.2	0.62
Troy Murphy	34	33	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.14	-4	-7	3	15.7	16.2	-0.57	14.2	14.3	-0.09
Brook Lopez	75	77	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.22	-2	-9	7	16.3	14.9	1.45	14.2	14.8	-0.62
Damion James	33	32	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.11	-7	-4	-3	15.6	16.3	-0.71	16.5	13.2	3.31
Anthony Morrow	69	69	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.09	-10	-1	-9	16.4	15.2	1.22	13.5	16.3	-2.75
Jordan Farmar	56	57	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.14	-17	6	-23	15.7	16.6	-0.93	15.4	12.6	2.74

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amar'e Stoudemire	83	82	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.11	14	-3	17	14.1	15.2	-1.12	16.0	16.0	0.05
Wilson Chandler	88	87	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.09	14	-3	17	14.2	15.3	-1.09	16.2	14.5	1.68
Raymond Felton	79	77	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.09	13	-2	15	14.1	15.3	-1.25	16.5	14.0	2.52
Danilo Gallinari	74	73	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.14	10	1	9	14.0	15.1	-1.12	16.5	14.5	2.07
Toney Douglas	31	32	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.08	9	2	7	14.8	14.0	0.84	16.1	16.0	0.08
Landry Fields	73	74	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.15	2	9	-7	14.1	14.8	-0.71	15.7	17.1	-1.41
Henry Walker	21	22	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.04	1	10	-9	15.1	14.0	1.12	14.5	16.5	-2.07
Shawne Williams	2	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	12	-13	18.5	14.2	4.32	14.0	16.1	-2.11
Anthony Randolph	8	8	-0.01	0.52	-0.53	0.04	-2	13	-15	14.0	14.3	-0.30	13.2	16.3	-3.05
Timofey Mozgov	16	17	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.11	-5	16	-21	15.7	14.0	1.78	16.1	16.0	0.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.27,0.46,0.42,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.82,0.86,0.89,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 84, MEM 105	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.68,0.81,0.82,0.78,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%
LAL 98, DAL 114	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.64,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.74,0.78,0.87,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%
WAS 86, HOU 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.52,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.5,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.54,0.65,0.76,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.5%