NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	86		Excitement	4.2 [965]		MVP	Juaquin Hawkins (HOU): +13.5%
Houston Rockets	93		Comeback	1.8 [632]		LVP	Michael Jordan (WAS): -10.1%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyronn Lue	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.00	0.01	10	67%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jerry Stackhouse	0.06	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.11	-0.02	0.02	20	59%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Bryon Russell	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	4	37%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.07	-0.03	0.06	19	58%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Christian Laettner	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Etan Thomas	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	8	53%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	1	50%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Kwame Brown	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Michael Jordan	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1	-0.11	-0.01	-0.03	15	27%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Juaquin Hawkins	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.13	0.03	0.02	8	87%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Rice	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.02	-0.02	10	67%	0.12	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Yao Ming	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	-0.00	-0.01	11	69%	0.08	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Eddie Griffin	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steve Francis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.11	0.00	-0.09	16	42%	0.01	3	-0.04	6	67%	-0.00
Moochie Norris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.08	-0.01	-0.07	5	21%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.00
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	0.03	10	55%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	6	43%	-0.00	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.8	25.2	16.4	21.9	1.8	28.6	119.7
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +34.9%

HOU +3.3%

HOU +0.9%

HOU +8.4%

HOU +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	HOU	NBA	WAS	HOU	NBA
this game	18.0	17.0	15.5	104.9	112.0	101.6
season	16.5	16.3		100.9	101.7
opponent	15.4	15.5		100.4	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.7	18.2	22.9	15.6	18.0
HOU	17.7	18.7	15.0	16.4	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brendan Haywood	36	34	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.15	8	-15	23	18.1	17.8	0.26	18.4	16.0	2.42
Christian Laettner	4	4	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-7	7	18.2	17.9	0.30	20.0	16.8	3.20
Etan Thomas	8	7	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.07	-6	-1	-5	18.5	17.9	0.59	14.9	17.1	-2.29
Bryon Russell	43	44	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.14	1	-8	9	18.4	17.5	0.91	16.6	17.3	-0.67
Tyronn Lue	46	46	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.27	5	-12	17	16.7	19.6	-2.89	17.2	16.6	0.60
Michael Jordan	51	53	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.21	-6	-1	-5	17.3	19.1	-1.87	16.9	17.0	-0.02
Jerry Stackhouse	66	67	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.28	-4	-3	-1	17.4	20.4	-3.00	16.5	18.7	-2.15
Larry Hughes	68	69	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.29	-5	-2	-3	18.2	16.9	1.33	16.8	17.9	-1.17
Kwame Brown	43	44	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.01	-15	8	-23	20.0	15.7	4.23	17.1	16.8	0.25
Jared Jeffries	45	47	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.18	-13	6	-19	18.0	17.9	0.08	16.8	17.2	-0.38

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Glen Rice	70	68	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.22	13	-6	19	16.6	19.0	-2.43	18.2	16.6	1.68
Steve Francis	77	76	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.29	9	-2	11	16.8	19.2	-2.39	18.0	17.8	0.14
Eddie Griffin	44	44	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.01	19	-12	31	16.5	17.5	-1.06	19.2	16.5	2.78
Juaquin Hawkins	64	61	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.06	15	-8	23	16.4	18.9	-2.52	18.4	16.6	1.87
Yao Ming	53	54	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.24	5	2	3	17.2	16.5	0.76	18.6	16.7	1.84
Kenny Thomas	43	42	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.27	-7	14	-21	17.3	16.6	0.68	16.3	19.7	-3.34
Maurice Taylor	23	22	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.11	-4	11	-15	18.6	16.3	2.23	17.6	18.1	-0.45
Moochie Norris	28	29	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.23	-9	16	-25	17.2	16.8	0.34	16.4	18.8	-2.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.52,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.5,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.54,0.65,0.76,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 92, NOH 114	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.5,0.53,0.6,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.34,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.65,0.76,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
SAC 102, TOR 119	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.65,0.74,0.72,0.8,0.86,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%
NJN 65, MIA 90	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.58,0.74,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.89,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%