NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	65		Excitement	4.2 [1001]		MVP	Eddie Jones (MIA): +10.7%
Miami Heat	90		Comeback	1.7 [916]		LVP	Jason Collins (NJN): -14.7%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nenad Krstic	0.07	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	-0.00	-0.04	8	60%	0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Brian Scalabrine	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.07	5	20%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Rodney Buford	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zoran Planinic	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Vince Carter	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.09	-0.01	-0.05	14	50%	-0.02	3	-0.03	12	83%	0.06
Travis Best	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.12	-0.03	-0.08	14	32%	-0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	5	25%	-0.06	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Kidd	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	10	32%	-0.07	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Jason Collins	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	0.00	6	17%	-0.09	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.04	0.02	9	82%	0.16	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Damon Jones	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	0.01	10	75%	0.14	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.02	0.04	4	90%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	2	50%	0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Mourning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	4	30%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Udonis Haslem	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	7	53%	0.02	1	-0.04	3	33%	-0.03
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	-0.01	-0.06	8	33%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Christian Laettner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.00	12	52%	0.01	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.01
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	0.02	10	50%	-0.03	3	-0.07	6	83%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.5	27.2	16.3	26.3	2.8	31.0	131.3
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +66.1%

NJN -10.9%

NJN -1.5%

NJN -3.5%

NJN -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	MIA	NBA	NJN	MIA	NBA
this game	16.7	16.2	15.5	74.7	102.3	104.0
season	16.0	15.7		99.2	107.9
opponent	15.5	15.6		101.1	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	16.5	13.2	20.6	17.4	16.7
MIA	15.5	15.6	16.2	17.8	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney Buford	35	36	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.17	-3	-22	19	15.2	17.7	-2.49	16.6	16.0	0.56
Brian Scalabrine	36	37	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.11	-4	-21	17	15.4	17.6	-2.12	16.6	16.0	0.59
Clifford Robinson	31	32	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.22	-11	-14	3	16.4	16.9	-0.47	15.3	16.7	-1.39
Zoran Planinic	26	27	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.05	-8	-17	9	15.5	17.2	-1.75	16.0	16.3	-0.27
Travis Best	54	54	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.20	-13	-12	-1	15.7	18.2	-2.50	16.5	15.8	0.71
Nenad Krstic	28	28	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.03	-6	-19	13	18.5	15.8	2.72	17.3	15.7	1.60
Jason Kidd	65	64	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.20	-17	-8	-9	17.0	15.7	1.29	16.2	16.2	-0.03
Jacque Vaughn	46	48	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.06	-13	-12	-1	17.5	15.7	1.81	16.5	15.8	0.69
Vince Carter	59	58	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	0.11	-25	0	-25	17.2	15.6	1.60	15.9	16.9	-0.97
Jason Collins	55	56	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	0.08	-25	0	-25	17.5	15.2	2.33	15.7	17.2	-1.56

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shandon Anderson	59	57	0.80	-0.30	1.09	-0.26	36	-11	47	15.6	17.6	-1.98	17.7	14.7	2.99
Udonis Haslem	57	56	0.67	-0.17	0.83	-0.15	28	-3	31	16.0	16.6	-0.65	17.8	14.6	3.18
Shaquille O'Neal	56	55	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.02	19	6	13	15.4	17.7	-2.25	17.2	15.8	1.39
Damon Jones	49	48	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.03	18	7	11	15.4	17.3	-1.89	17.7	15.4	2.32
Eddie Jones	63	63	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.13	19	6	13	15.9	17.2	-1.30	17.0	15.7	1.30
Rasual Butler	18	17	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.06	-1	26	-27	16.6	16.1	0.48	14.2	17.3	-3.12
Steven Smith	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	27	-29	18.9	16.0	2.91	14.9	16.8	-1.99
Alonzo Mourning	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	25	-25	18.2	16.0	2.23	15.5	16.8	-1.34
Keyon Dooling	39	39	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	-0.26	7	18	-11	17.3	15.4	1.89	15.4	17.7	-2.32
Michael Doleac	22	22	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.25	6	19	-13	17.4	15.8	1.58	16.0	16.9	-0.98
Christian Laettner	10	10	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.04	-6	31	-37	15.8	16.3	-0.48	12.7	17.2	-4.51
Dwyane Wade	49	51	-0.28	0.78	-1.07	-0.31	1	24	-23	17.3	14.9	2.34	15.7	18.1	-2.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.58,0.74,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.89,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 84, MEM 105	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.68,0.81,0.82,0.78,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
WAS 86, HOU 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.52,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.5,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.54,0.65,0.76,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.5%
LAC 107, SAS 120	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.57,0.45,0.47,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.71,0.76,0.86,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%