NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	84		Excitement	4.4 [968]		MVP	Zach Randolph (MEM): +10.3%
Memphis Grizzlies	105		Comeback	1.5 [957]		LVP	Jason Maxiell (DET): -15.4%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben Gordon	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.02	-0.03	7	62%	0.10	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Charlie Villanueva	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	-0.00	-0.03	10	55%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	11	50%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Greg Monroe	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	6	43%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Chris Wilcox	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	4	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Daye	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	7	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Will Bynum	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	6	62%	0.04	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Rodney Stuckey	-0.05	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	0.01	15	47%	0.01	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.02
Ben Wallace	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	0.00	6	14%	-0.12	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach Randolph	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	0.00	0.01	16	58%	0.10	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.10	0.00	0.05	5	83%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Mike Conley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	10	64%	0.12	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Darrell Arthur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.11	0.00	0.05	9	78%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.02	10	52%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Greivis Vasquez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Xavier Henry	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.03	-0.01	17	42%	0.01	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.03
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	11	41%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.9	2.4	25.3	15.7	27.2	1.8	24.0	123.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +21.0%

MEM +1.4%

MEM +0.9%

MEM +21.1%

MEM +5.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	MEM	NBA	DET	MEM	NBA
this game	17.8	14.6	15.5	93.3	119.3	105.7
season	16.7	15.5		106.4	106.1
opponent	15.5	15.2		103.7	110.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	18.6	15.6	20.0	17.0	17.8
MEM	14.8	15.7	12.7	15.0	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Monroe	39	39	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.14	-3	-18	15	16.9	18.4	-1.53	15.8	13.6	2.27
Chris Wilcox	8	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-23	25	13.7	18.2	-4.41	15.2	14.5	0.76
Austin Daye	12	11	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-18	15	15.8	18.1	-2.23	13.9	14.6	-0.74
Ben Gordon	52	50	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.11	-4	-17	13	16.1	20.1	-4.00	15.5	13.3	2.28
Charlie Villanueva	42	40	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.00	-2	-19	17	16.3	19.1	-2.78	15.7	13.6	2.10
Tracy McGrady	45	42	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.22	-13	-8	-5	17.4	18.1	-0.64	15.2	13.9	1.30
Rodney Stuckey	48	47	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.26	-17	-4	-13	18.2	17.3	0.86	14.4	14.7	-0.28
Will Bynum	42	41	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.14	-4	-17	13	17.3	18.2	-0.86	14.7	14.4	0.28
Tayshaun Prince	37	38	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.05	-10	-11	1	19.0	16.9	2.14	13.7	15.2	-1.58
Jason Maxiell	43	43	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.00	-16	-5	-11	18.9	16.7	2.23	13.4	15.7	-2.32
Richard Hamilton	38	38	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.01	-17	-4	-13	20.1	16.1	4.00	13.3	15.5	-2.28
Ben Wallace	44	43	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	0.01	-18	-3	-15	19.3	16.3	3.08	13.7	15.4	-1.68

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rudy Gay	62	65	0.61	-0.11	0.71	-0.36	33	-12	45	13.8	16.3	-2.54	18.9	14.9	4.00
Zach Randolph	50	51	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.07	16	5	11	13.7	15.6	-1.89	18.9	16.3	2.53
Mike Conley	58	59	0.51	-0.01	0.51	-0.20	24	-3	27	13.5	16.6	-3.15	19.1	15.3	3.73
Sam Young	40	40	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.07	13	8	5	14.2	14.8	-0.61	18.1	17.5	0.64
Marc Gasol	64	65	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.29	21	0	21	14.5	14.8	-0.32	18.8	15.1	3.66
Darrell Arthur	50	51	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.08	2	19	-17	15.5	13.4	2.09	16.1	19.9	-3.81
Tony Allen	22	21	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.17	-6	27	-33	15.6	14.2	1.38	13.7	19.0	-5.29
O.J. Mayo	42	44	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.25	8	13	-5	15.6	13.6	2.03	16.6	18.9	-2.30
Greivis Vasquez	30	31	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.07	-3	24	-27	16.6	13.5	3.15	15.3	19.1	-3.73
Xavier Henry	22	23	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.06	-3	24	-27	14.3	14.7	-0.38	18.3	17.6	0.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.68,0.81,0.82,0.78,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 65, MIA 90	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.58,0.74,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.89,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
SEA 101, SAC 113	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.57,0.52,0.45,0.58,0.55,0.68,0.77,0.78,0.73,0.81,0.82,0.9,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.89,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,1,1,1	95.0%
DAL 79, POR 98	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.61,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.41,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.75,0.79,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%