NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	92		Excitement	4.3 [927]		MVP	David West (NOH): +20.7%
New Orleans Hornets	114		Comeback	1.9 [1133]		LVP	Elton Brand (LAC): -9.8%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quinton Ross	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	3	83%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Powell	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	75%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Al Thornton	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.11	-0.02	0.06	17	62%	0.08	2	-0.05	8	62%	-0.01
Cuttino Mobley	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.03,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.03	11	41%	0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.06	0.02	-0.05	11	41%	0.04	2	-0.03	10	80%	-0.00
Marcus Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Dickau	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Fazekas	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.02	6	83%	0.03	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Smush Parker	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	8	56%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Brevin Knight	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	9	45%	-0.01	4	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David West	0,0,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.24	0.01	0.04	17	76%	0.21	0	0.00	8	100%	0.03
Chris Paul	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.11	0.06	-0.01	13	79%	0.19	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	5	73%	0.08	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.02
Julian Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.16	0.00	0.13	3	108%	0.03	0	0.00	7	100%	0.00
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	10	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hilton Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Melvin Ely	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	8	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	7	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.11,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.12	0.00	-0.03	14	24%	-0.07	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	2.5	27.4	16.5	23.3	2.5	26.3	123.5
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +19.2%

LAC -4.9%

NOH +13.2%

NOH +20.6%

NOH +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	NOH	NBA	LAC	NOH	NBA
this game	15.9	15.4	15.4	100.0	123.9	105.7
season	15.6	15.9		99.5	109.6
opponent	15.7	15.1		104.0	106.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	17.9	14.2	16.0	15.6	15.9
NOH	15.5	15.1	16.0	15.0	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quinton Ross	17	18	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.02	2	-24	26	14.6	16.2	-1.63	15.8	15.3	0.48
Marcus Williams	7	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-28	34	11.6	16.3	-4.70	19.7	15.0	4.68
Dan Dickau	12	12	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-22	22	14.4	16.1	-1.72	14.2	15.6	-1.31
Nick Fazekas	43	44	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.14	-7	-15	8	16.8	15.1	1.65	15.7	15.1	0.69
Corey Maggette	50	53	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.12	-7	-15	8	15.0	17.0	-1.96	15.1	15.8	-0.75
Smush Parker	57	60	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.10	-7	-15	8	14.8	17.7	-2.86	14.9	16.3	-1.46
Josh Powell	42	41	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.01	-12	-10	-2	15.7	16.1	-0.32	15.3	15.5	-0.18
Brevin Knight	35	32	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.05	-15	-7	-8	17.7	14.8	2.86	16.3	14.9	1.46
Elton Brand	69	68	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.15	-20	-2	-18	15.7	16.5	-0.81	14.8	17.0	-2.23
Cuttino Mobley	63	62	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	0.17	-24	2	-26	16.6	14.5	2.04	15.5	15.2	0.33
Al Thornton	65	63	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	0.19	-26	4	-30	16.8	13.7	3.07	15.6	14.9	0.72

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Peja Stojakovic	70	71	0.54	-0.04	0.57	-0.23	26	-4	30	14.9	17.0	-2.11	16.4	14.2	2.23
Chris Paul	71	71	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.22	25	-3	28	14.9	17.0	-2.15	16.3	14.8	1.49
David West	62	64	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.03	16	6	10	15.7	14.7	1.03	16.1	15.4	0.70
Morris Peterson	41	44	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.03	16	6	10	15.2	15.6	-0.40	16.5	15.4	1.12
Tyson Chandler	60	60	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.04	13	9	4	15.4	15.4	-0.02	15.8	16.1	-0.23
Mike James	45	43	0.03	0.47	-0.43	-0.17	7	15	-8	15.5	15.3	0.15	14.7	17.0	-2.33
Julian Wright	35	34	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.15	6	16	-10	15.8	15.2	0.61	15.7	16.0	-0.33
Hilton Armstrong	27	27	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.13	5	17	-12	15.6	15.3	0.34	16.3	15.8	0.54
Ryan Bowen	11	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	22	-22	15.2	15.4	-0.24	13.5	16.2	-2.71
Melvin Ely	11	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	22	-22	15.2	15.4	-0.24	13.5	16.2	-2.71
Jannero Pargo	27	26	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.08	-4	26	-30	16.9	14.8	2.12	16.0	15.9	0.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.5,0.53,0.6,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.34,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.65,0.76,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 86, HOU 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.52,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.5,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.54,0.65,0.76,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.4%
BKN 107, UTA 116	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.53,0.58,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.42,0.48,0.68,0.68,0.79,0.74,0.86,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	94.7%
TOR 103, BOS 116	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.37,0.42,0.52,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.82,0.86,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.6%