NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	107		Excitement	5.3 [750]		MVP	Randy Foye (UTA): +26.3%
Utah Jazz	116		Comeback	2.0 [720]		LVP	Paul Millsap (UTA): -10.7%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andray Blatche	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	8	62%	0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.01	8	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	-0.00	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.07	-0.04	0.04	14	60%	0.04	2	-0.04	7	86%	0.01
Brook Lopez	-0.03	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.09	-0.04	0.08	16	71%	0.13	5	-0.16	6	83%	0.00
CJ Watson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.10	-0.03	0.09	13	73%	0.04	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Reggie Evans	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	-0.05	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	4	37%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	3	33%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
MarShon Brooks	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.03	0.04	10	45%	-0.04	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.27	0.05	0.05	11	118%	0.33	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	0.01	0.03	9	74%	0.09	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.00	10	59%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mo Williams	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.09	-0.00	0.06	10	77%	0.11	3	-0.09	6	100%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	17	54%	0.07	2	-0.04	3	0%	-0.06
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	12	31%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.02	0.00	10	32%	-0.08	1	-0.03	8	62%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.7	28.1	15.8	26.2	1.8	32.3	129.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +49.7%

BKN -6.3%

BKN -9.5%

UTA +16.6%

BKN -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	UTA	NBA	BKN	UTA	NBA
this game	15.0	16.2	15.4	115.1	126.1	104.1
season	16.5	16.0		106.5	104.6
opponent	15.1	15.4		105.0	104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	14.7	16.6	16.0	12.8	15.0
UTA	16.0	19.4	12.3	18.0	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kris Humphries	33	34	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.07	2	-11	13	14.4	15.3	-0.92	17.1	15.7	1.39
MarShon Brooks	55	56	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.34	10	-19	29	14.3	15.9	-1.63	17.1	14.7	2.36
CJ Watson	57	56	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.30	7	-16	23	14.3	16.0	-1.70	17.1	14.7	2.45
Andray Blatche	46	48	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.25	5	-14	19	13.7	16.2	-2.45	17.0	15.3	1.70
Keith Bogans	48	48	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.08	-11	2	-13	15.5	14.4	1.08	15.8	16.6	-0.82
Reggie Evans	55	53	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.11	-10	1	-11	15.2	14.6	0.55	15.7	16.8	-1.10
Brook Lopez	65	62	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.18	-11	2	-13	15.0	14.9	0.04	15.6	17.4	-1.80
Gerald Wallace	47	46	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	0.04	-20	11	-31	16.0	13.9	2.11	15.7	16.6	-0.89
Deron Williams	72	70	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.19	-13	4	-17	15.0	15.0	0.01	15.2	19.2	-3.94

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Randy Foye	63	65	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.08	18	-9	27	14.8	19.2	-4.36	14.6	15.8	-1.24
Al Jefferson	65	67	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.06	15	-6	21	15.1	18.8	-3.67	15.1	14.5	0.58
Gordon Hayward	71	71	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.19	10	-1	11	16.1	16.5	-0.44	15.4	13.5	1.97
Paul Millsap	75	76	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.19	5	4	1	16.9	13.1	3.83	15.1	14.5	0.52
Mo Williams	57	58	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.14	6	3	3	16.1	16.3	-0.16	14.8	15.2	-0.39
Jamaal Tinsley	35	35	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.10	3	6	-3	16.3	16.1	0.16	15.2	14.8	0.39
Derrick Favors	44	43	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.22	-2	11	-13	16.6	15.8	0.73	14.5	15.3	-0.79
Marvin Williams	38	39	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.16	-4	13	-17	18.1	14.9	3.18	15.2	14.8	0.47
Alec Burks	12	11	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.04	-6	15	-21	18.1	15.9	2.18	13.2	15.2	-2.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.53,0.58,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.42,0.48,0.68,0.68,0.79,0.74,0.86,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 92, NOH 114	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.5,0.53,0.6,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.34,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.65,0.76,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%
TOR 103, BOS 116	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.37,0.42,0.52,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.82,0.86,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.2%
WAS 86, HOU 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.52,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.5,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.54,0.65,0.76,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.1%