inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 103 Excitement4.6 [881] MVPRasheed Wallace (BOS): +9.3%
Boston Celtics 116 Comeback1.8 [970] LVPJose Calderon (TOR): -10.9%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jarrett Jack0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.11-0.020.07875%0.072-0.058100%0.02
Rasho Nesterovic0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.07-0.000.04771%0.0300.0000%0.00
DeMar DeRozan0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.01-0.01856%0.0210.0000%0.00
Chris Bosh0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.05-0.030.011371%0.084-0.072100%0.01
Hedo Turkoglu0.000,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,00.03-0.04-0.021183%0.177-0.1720%-0.00
Sonny Weems0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Marco Belinelli-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.03-0.01-0.02356%0.012-0.02367%-0.01
Pops Mensah-Bonsu-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Andrea Bargnani-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.02-0.020.02650%-0.012-0.052100%0.01
Amir Johnson-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.03-0.02337%-0.012-0.06250%-0.02
Antoine Wright-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.05-0.030.00333%-0.022-0.0600%0.00
Jose Calderon-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.05-0.030.02750%-0.033-0.08475%0.01

Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.080.00-0.011168%0.111-0.0200%0.00
Kevin Garnett0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.080.010.016100%0.112-0.0400%0.00
Kendrick Perkins0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.070.010.03890%0.134-0.07450%-0.03
Shelden Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.01-0.01375%0.051-0.012100%0.00
Paul Pierce0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.06-0.010.021264%0.092-0.064100%0.02
Ray Allen0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.09-0.000.061565%0.072-0.041100%0.01
Marquis Daniels0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.00850%0.0200.0000%0.00
Eddie House0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.01-0.00-0.00350%0.0100.0000%0.00
J.R. Giddens0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.041100%0.0000.002100%0.00
Brian Scalabrine00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Lester Hudson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Rajon Rondo0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.021055%0.073-0.092100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.22.526.216.027.22.732.0131.8
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.7141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS +34.0%
BOS +1.0%
TOR -4.3%
BOS +20.0%
TOR -0.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORBOSNBATORBOSNBA
this game14.215.715.3106.2120.8106.0
season15.015.5109.6105.7
opponent15.715.5102.1111.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR13.714.115.213.814.2
BOS14.617.215.515.615.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Pops Mensah-Bonsu11110.04-0.540.58-0.084-172112.014.5-2.4515.515.7-0.25
Hedo Turkoglu6766-0.02-0.480.46-0.175-182314.513.50.9316.114.71.42
Sonny Weems55-0.03-0.470.440.06-3-1076.614.6-7.9914.815.7-0.93
Rasho Nesterovic3030-0.10-0.400.29-0.07-1-121114.813.90.9014.816.1-1.23
Marco Belinelli3131-0.16-0.340.18-0.04-4-9513.714.4-0.6815.915.60.33
DeMar DeRozan3434-0.20-0.300.100.06-9-4-514.114.2-0.1816.315.31.00
Jarrett Jack6766-0.23-0.270.04-0.14-3-10713.815.1-1.2915.516.1-0.62
Andrea Bargnani4947-0.24-0.260.020.05-10-3-714.114.3-0.2316.015.30.67
Amir Johnson2728-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.08-7-6-112.814.7-1.9415.915.60.36
Jose Calderon6565-0.37-0.13-0.23-0.07-10-3-714.912.72.1315.316.4-1.10
Chris Bosh7676-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.09-10-3-715.011.23.8115.715.40.29
Antoine Wright2321-0.520.02-0.54-0.02-174-2114.314.10.2314.815.9-1.11

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ray Allen66670.62-0.120.74-0.0824-113515.516.1-0.5715.112.12.96
Rajon Rondo62640.56-0.060.62-0.1223-103315.316.4-1.1414.912.82.10
Kendrick Perkins66650.500.000.500.0017-42115.216.8-1.5815.012.52.55
Kevin Garnett52540.380.120.260.06112915.815.50.3715.212.82.40
Paul Pierce70710.350.150.200.1285315.715.70.0314.014.7-0.76
Rasheed Wallace46470.170.33-0.160.0549-515.815.50.2913.814.5-0.71
Marquis Daniels51510.030.47-0.440.15-417-2116.015.30.6513.914.5-0.53
Brian Scalabrine550.000.50-0.500.06-215-1714.815.7-0.937.414.5-7.14
Lester Hudson550.000.50-0.500.06-215-1714.815.7-0.937.414.5-7.14
J.R. Giddens550.000.50-0.500.06-215-1714.815.7-0.937.414.5-7.14
Eddie House2929-0.030.53-0.550.15-619-2516.715.21.4513.314.6-1.28
Shelden Williams2322-0.080.58-0.670.09-619-2516.615.41.2312.014.8-2.75


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.37,0.42,0.52,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.82,0.86,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAC 107, SAS 1200.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.57,0.45,0.47,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.71,0.76,0.86,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,195.7%
MEM 87, DAL 1140.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.55,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.5%
CHI 87, CLE 1010.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.65,0.65,0.79,0.83,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.3%