NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	87		Excitement	5.0 [793]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +15.0%
Dallas Mavericks	114		Comeback	2.5 [970]		LVP	Michael Finley (DAL): -17.5%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pau Gasol	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.06	-0.02	0.05	10	78%	0.08	3	-0.09	12	75%	0.00
Earl Watson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	5	42%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Cezary Trybanski	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	0	0%	-0.03	1	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Brevin Knight	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Person	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	13	42%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stromile Swift	-0.06	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	8	57%	-0.04	1	-0.02	12	83%	0.01
Shane Battier	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	8	52%	-0.03	2	-0.03	7	86%	-0.00
Mike Batiste	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.02	11	42%	-0.02	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Jason Williams	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.16	-0.05	-0.04	10	27%	-0.08	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.06	0.02	-0.06	21	57%	0.18	1	-0.03	7	100%	0.04
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.01	0.02	6	67%	0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.16	0.00	0.13	8	106%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	67%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Nick Van Exel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.03	5	70%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Eschmeyer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Avery Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.02	4	73%	0.02	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Walt Williams	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	0.03	8	56%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	11	32%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.14	-0.04	-0.01	15	37%	-0.04	5	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	1.8	30.4	16.6	28.6	1.0	25.2	129.3
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +34.7%

MEM -6.3%

DAL +2.8%

DAL +17.0%

DAL +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	DAL	NBA	MEM	DAL	NBA
this game	14.5	15.0	15.5	90.6	115.2	101.6
season	15.3	15.1		101.8	108.6
opponent	15.3	15.2		102.0	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	15.7	13.1	13.3	16.4	14.5
DAL	15.0	15.1	13.9	16.3	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cezary Trybanski	11	12	0.02	-0.52	0.55	0.11	-3	-24	21	15.2	14.4	0.75	15.2	15.0	0.18
Jason Williams	64	67	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.26	-15	-12	-3	14.2	15.1	-0.91	14.9	15.3	-0.40
Wesley Person	76	78	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.14	-11	-16	5	14.7	13.7	0.97	15.4	13.7	1.64
Pau Gasol	74	75	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.25	-18	-9	-9	14.6	14.3	0.32	15.3	14.0	1.39
Brevin Knight	32	32	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.03	-12	-15	3	15.1	14.2	0.91	15.3	14.9	0.40
Stromile Swift	60	63	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.01	-12	-15	3	14.5	14.6	-0.14	15.3	14.5	0.85
Earl Watson	36	37	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.25	-21	-6	-15	14.9	14.3	0.63	14.7	15.2	-0.49
Mike Batiste	47	48	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.21	-21	-6	-15	14.3	14.7	-0.40	14.0	15.9	-1.88
Shane Battier	80	83	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.19	-22	-5	-17	14.1	16.4	-2.22	14.8	16.0	-1.18

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Van Exel	44	46	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.02	25	2	23	14.6	15.4	-0.80	15.4	13.7	1.75
Michael Finley	77	76	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.02	18	9	9	15.6	13.0	2.53	14.6	14.2	0.34
Dirk Nowitzki	68	64	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.06	12	15	-3	14.7	15.6	-0.92	13.9	15.8	-1.98
Eduardo Najera	33	34	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.19	20	7	13	16.1	14.5	1.62	16.0	13.7	2.34
Adrian Griffin	45	43	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.38	20	7	13	14.5	15.5	-1.00	14.3	14.7	-0.44
Steve Nash	50	47	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.02	6	21	-15	14.2	15.8	-1.64	13.7	15.3	-1.56
Evan Eschmeyer	16	14	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.16	9	18	-9	16.6	14.7	1.93	15.4	14.4	0.98
Walt Williams	51	52	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.28	12	15	-3	14.7	15.4	-0.67	14.4	14.7	-0.34
Avery Johnson	16	15	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.33	12	15	-3	16.7	14.7	2.00	16.1	14.2	1.83
Raef LaFrentz	33	32	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.11	-3	30	-33	14.2	15.4	-1.24	13.9	14.8	-0.88
Shawn Bradley	24	23	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.25	6	21	-15	15.2	14.9	0.26	14.8	14.4	0.34
Raja Bell	38	34	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	-0.13	-2	29	-31	15.3	14.8	0.50	13.9	14.9	-1.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.55,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 103, BOS 116	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.37,0.42,0.52,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.82,0.86,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.5%
CHI 87, CLE 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.65,0.65,0.79,0.83,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
LAC 107, SAS 120	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.57,0.45,0.47,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.71,0.76,0.86,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%