NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	98		Excitement	5.1 [793]		MVP	Steve Nash (DAL): +7.2%
Dallas Mavericks	114		Comeback	2.7 [446]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -26.2%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mitch Richmond	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	6	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.01	9	67%	0.03	1	-0.00	6	100%	0.03
Slava Medvedenko	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	67%	0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	23	58%	0.10	5	-0.10	9	67%	0.01
Samaki Walker	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	5	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.01	0.05	9	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.26	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.19,-0.22,-0.24,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.19	-0.08	-0.01	18	28%	-0.24	1	-0.02	7	57%	-0.02

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Nash	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	0.02	0.04	18	71%	0.19	4	-0.12	6	100%	0.01
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	10	52%	0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	7	47%	0.01	0	0.00	5	60%	0.02
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.03	-0.03	16	47%	0.06	2	-0.05	8	87%	0.02
Michael Finley	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.02	17	55%	0.02	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.02
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	5	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Wang Zhi-zhi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.08	4	80%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Nick Van Exel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	9	33%	-0.05	1	-0.03	3	67%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.9	3.3	27.6	17.4	26.4	2.5	35.2	140.3
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +25.0%

DAL +10.7%

DAL +18.3%

LAL -7.0%

DAL +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	DAL	NBA	LAL	DAL	NBA
this game	15.0	15.0	15.6	102.1	118.8	102.3
season	15.3	14.8		106.9	109.6
opponent	15.5	15.4		105.8	99.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.2	14.8	17.0	14.3	15.0
DAL	13.0	15.2	15.0	17.0	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Madsen	6	7	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-14	12	9.8	15.3	-5.50	13.1	15.2	-2.01
Slava Medvedenko	12	11	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-14	12	16.8	14.7	2.11	18.4	14.6	3.79
Samaki Walker	18	17	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.06	-1	-15	14	14.2	15.2	-1.01	13.4	15.4	-1.94
Shaquille O'Neal	72	73	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.06	-2	-14	12	15.9	12.4	3.49	15.8	12.6	3.16
Mitch Richmond	29	29	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.00	-5	-11	6	16.6	14.3	2.29	17.2	14.0	3.20
Derek Fisher	58	57	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.01	-6	-10	4	14.5	15.7	-1.24	14.9	15.2	-0.37
Rick Fox	54	56	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.02	-10	-6	-4	15.0	15.0	0.02	14.6	15.6	-1.05
Lindsey Hunter	38	39	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.02	-10	-6	-4	15.7	14.5	1.24	15.2	14.9	0.37
Devean George	50	48	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.04	-10	-6	-4	14.1	16.0	-1.86	15.1	14.9	0.23
Robert Horry	71	70	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.06	-13	-3	-10	15.0	15.0	-0.07	14.4	16.7	-2.31
Kobe Bryant	72	73	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.01	-19	3	-22	14.4	16.7	-2.24	14.3	17.3	-3.07

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dirk Nowitzki	87	87	0.65	-0.15	0.79	-0.06	24	-8	32	15.7	8.3	7.37	15.2	13.1	2.07
Michael Finley	82	81	0.57	-0.07	0.65	-0.01	20	-4	24	14.9	15.5	-0.57	14.8	16.0	-1.20
Greg Buckner	45	45	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.04	12	4	8	15.2	14.8	0.44	14.1	15.8	-1.70
Eduardo Najera	25	26	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.11	6	10	-4	13.8	15.4	-1.58	15.1	14.9	0.17
Adrian Griffin	41	40	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.04	11	5	6	13.8	15.9	-2.10	15.4	14.7	0.70
Wang Zhi-zhi	16	16	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.04	6	10	-4	16.7	14.7	2.09	12.6	15.5	-2.84
Nick Van Exel	50	50	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.14	1	15	-14	14.1	16.0	-1.94	13.9	16.2	-2.23
Steve Nash	66	66	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.04	4	12	-8	15.7	13.6	2.05	15.8	13.2	2.60
Raef LaFrentz	68	69	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.02	-4	20	-24	14.9	15.3	-0.44	15.8	12.9	2.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.64,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.74,0.78,0.87,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 100, NYK 111	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.27,0.46,0.42,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.82,0.86,0.89,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.6%
PHI 101, DET 109	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.74,0.64,0.62,0.61,0.66,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.41,0.33,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.66,0.7,0.82,0.85,0.9,0.96,0.93,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	94.3%
WAS 86, HOU 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.52,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.5,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.54,0.65,0.76,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.2%