NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	101		Excitement	5.5 [693]		MVP	Greg Monroe (DET): +19.6%
Detroit Pistons	109		Comeback	2.4 [652]		LVP	Jrue Holiday (PHI): -9.6%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thaddeus Young	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	8	61%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dorell Wright	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.11	-0.01	0.07	12	67%	0.07	2	-0.03	9	89%	0.01
Arnett Moultrie	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.00	0.03	5	82%	0.06	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Damien Wilkins	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.06	-0.00	6	29%	0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Evan Turner	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	13	46%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Justin Holiday	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	9	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	-0.05	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	13	48%	0.03	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	15	47%	0.05	5	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Monroe	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.19	0.02	0.01	14	77%	0.25	2	-0.06	7	100%	0.03
Kyle Singler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.15	0.15	0.10	0.06	0.01	11	67%	0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Will Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.12	0.02	0.02	13	73%	0.15	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Khris Middleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.01	-0.02	7	67%	0.09	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	7	50%	0.06	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kim English	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Knight	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.10	0.01	-0.04	16	37%	0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	4	42%	-0.03	3	-0.04	4	25%	-0.05
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.02	9	44%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	2.6	28.3	16.8	23.9	0.8	29.6	125.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +22.2%

DET +10.6%

DET +12.1%

DET +3.1%

DET +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	DET	NBA	PHI	DET	NBA
this game	15.5	14.8	15.4	108.6	112.4	104.1
season	15.5	15.7		100.5	102.3
opponent	15.5	15.7		106.6	104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.0	14.6	16.3	16.5	15.5
DET	15.6	13.1	15.0	15.6	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thaddeus Young	47	47	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.03	1	-9	10	14.8	16.3	-1.58	15.3	14.3	0.92
Damien Wilkins	58	62	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.19	2	-10	12	15.7	15.2	0.51	15.9	12.9	2.97
Lavoy Allen	23	26	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.18	0	-8	8	16.5	15.2	1.29	15.1	14.7	0.40
Jrue Holiday	54	55	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.02	-7	-1	-6	15.2	16.0	-0.82	15.2	14.2	0.96
Spencer Hawes	60	62	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.09	-8	0	-8	15.2	16.2	-1.08	15.1	14.2	0.87
Justin Holiday	54	57	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.27	-2	-6	4	15.8	15.2	0.59	14.0	15.8	-1.81
Evan Turner	59	61	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.12	-8	0	-8	14.7	17.1	-2.38	14.6	15.0	-0.39
Dorell Wright	63	66	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.27	-4	-4	0	16.0	14.6	1.40	14.0	16.5	-2.45
Arnett Moultrie	47	49	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.16	-14	6	-20	16.7	14.4	2.33	14.1	15.5	-1.46

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Monroe	75	71	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.18	17	-9	26	14.7	15.0	-0.34	15.7	15.1	0.54
Kyle Singler	64	60	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.08	18	-10	28	15.0	14.5	0.50	14.9	16.8	-1.92
Brandon Knight	62	59	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.19	9	-1	10	16.0	12.7	3.28	15.3	15.9	-0.62
Rodney Stuckey	66	63	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.06	13	-5	18	14.6	15.2	-0.56	15.5	15.6	-0.13
Jonas Jerebko	41	37	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.06	12	-4	16	14.1	15.3	-1.23	16.2	15.1	1.11
Will Bynum	51	48	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.20	4	4	0	13.9	15.7	-1.78	16.4	14.7	1.71
Andre Drummond	65	64	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.23	-3	11	-14	15.5	13.3	2.24	15.3	16.1	-0.81
Khris Middleton	30	30	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.16	-6	14	-20	14.2	15.0	-0.80	16.8	15.0	1.85
Charlie Villanueva	13	14	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	0.06	-10	18	-28	13.8	14.9	-1.17	14.3	15.8	-1.49
Kim English	18	19	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	0.10	-14	22	-36	14.1	14.9	-0.89	14.5	15.8	-1.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.74,0.64,0.62,0.61,0.66,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.41,0.33,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.66,0.7,0.82,0.85,0.9,0.96,0.93,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 98, DAL 114	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.64,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.74,0.78,0.87,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%
HOU 82, LAC 95	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.43,0.59,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1	93.6%
ORL 96, CLE 111	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.71,0.63,0.59,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.4,0.45,0.36,0.36,0.48,0.46,0.55,0.76,0.86,0.78,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.87,0.77,0.9,0.98,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1	93.4%