NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	96		Excitement	5.8 [651]		MVP	Wesley Person (CLE): +10.7%
Cleveland Cavaliers	111		Comeback	2.4 [503]		LVP	Lamond Murray (CLE): -9.6%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darrell Armstrong	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.04	0.01	8	67%	0.08	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Steven Hunter	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.02	3	58%	0.01	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Jud Buechler	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monty Williams	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.02	-0.01	12	52%	0.04	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Troy Hudson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.04	0.01	22	55%	0.00	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Horace Grant	-0.03	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	7	53%	0.00	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Don Reid	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Patrick Ewing	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	8	28%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Mike Miller	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	0.00	-0.05	0.05	23	48%	-0.06	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Person	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,-0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.00	0.00	19	65%	0.16	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.09	-0.01	0.07	16	71%	0.09	3	-0.09	6	100%	0.03
DeSagana Diop	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mihm	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Trajan Langdon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	3	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.04	10	57%	0.01	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.02	7	56%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	5	69%	0.05	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.2,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	17	45%	-0.01	3	-0.08	8	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	1.7	29.2	15.4	28.4	1.7	27.0	126.6
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +25.8%

CLE +10.7%

CLE +40.3%

ORL -28.3%

CLE +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	CLE	NBA	ORL	CLE	NBA
this game	15.8	15.5	15.6	105.5	119.4	102.3
season	14.6	15.8		104.6	102.6
opponent	15.5	15.8		106.2	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	15.8	14.0	16.4	17.0	15.8
CLE	14.2	16.6	13.0	19.0	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew DeClercq	16	17	0.31	-0.81	1.12	-0.07	13	-28	41	13.6	16.2	-2.62	16.7	15.3	1.44
Steven Hunter	37	39	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.08	4	-19	23	14.7	16.5	-1.82	16.9	14.5	2.45
Don Reid	14	15	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.05	-7	-8	1	15.8	15.8	0.01	11.9	16.2	-4.28
Jud Buechler	41	44	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.25	-15	0	-15	16.7	15.0	1.69	14.4	16.6	-2.21
Monty Williams	62	63	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.20	-1	-14	13	15.2	17.0	-1.79	15.3	16.0	-0.75
Horace Grant	49	51	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.04	-14	-1	-13	15.9	15.6	0.30	16.4	14.5	1.83
Patrick Ewing	20	20	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.07	-11	-4	-7	16.9	15.5	1.44	13.1	16.2	-3.03
Troy Hudson	76	77	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.11	-10	-5	-5	15.6	16.5	-0.90	15.8	14.1	1.77
Mike Miller	68	67	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.13	-11	-4	-7	15.7	16.0	-0.29	16.3	13.5	2.87
Darrell Armstrong	72	72	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	0.02	-23	8	-31	16.6	12.7	3.91	15.2	16.8	-1.66

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ricky Davis	76	76	0.72	-0.22	0.93	-0.14	29	-14	43	14.2	21.6	-7.42	16.1	14.4	1.65
Lamond Murray	84	83	0.55	-0.05	0.59	-0.07	21	-6	27	15.5	16.0	-0.52	15.9	14.4	1.54
Jumaine Jones	29	27	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.12	12	3	9	17.6	14.6	2.99	17.6	15.0	2.63
Wesley Person	81	81	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.23	5	10	-5	15.7	14.2	1.56	15.2	20.7	-5.53
Andre Miller	62	61	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.08	12	3	9	15.4	15.8	-0.42	15.3	16.8	-1.47
Tyrone Hill	64	63	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.02	4	11	-7	16.8	12.6	4.22	15.2	17.0	-1.81
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	32	32	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.15	-3	18	-21	15.8	15.4	0.44	16.2	15.6	0.63
DeSagana Diop	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	15	-15	12.0	15.6	-3.60	23.0	15.7	7.30
Chris Mihm	18	16	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.02	-1	16	-17	13.6	16.0	-2.38	15.4	15.9	-0.49
Trajan Langdon	17	15	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.06	-4	19	-23	14.8	15.7	-0.86	17.0	15.5	1.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.71,0.63,0.59,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.4,0.45,0.36,0.36,0.48,0.46,0.55,0.76,0.86,0.78,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.87,0.77,0.9,0.98,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 101, DET 109	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.74,0.64,0.62,0.61,0.66,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.41,0.33,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.66,0.7,0.82,0.85,0.9,0.96,0.93,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	93.4%
GSW 106, CHH 113	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.67,0.68,0.59,0.61,0.51,0.46,0.56,0.63,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.33,0.39,0.32,0.44,0.59,0.73,0.71,0.81,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.75,0.85,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.95,1,1,1,1	93.4%
NJN 78, MIA 81	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.65,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.46,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.62,0.69,0.76,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.98,0.94,1	93.3%