NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	106		Excitement	6.5 [521]		MVP	Ricky Davis (CHH): +10.5%
Charlotte Hornets	113		Comeback	2.1 [935]		LVP	Jason Caffey (GSW): -20.1%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vonteego Cummings	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Starks	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01	0.09	-0.02	0.09	23	60%	0.05	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Bill Curley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Legler	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	23	50%	0.01	4	-0.05	6	67%	-0.02
Chris Carr	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.00	-0.05	0.01	11	61%	0.01	2	-0.07	6	50%	-0.06
Mookie Blaylock	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	11	36%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tony Farmer	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	8	37%	-0.09	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.04
Jason Caffey	-0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.2	-0.07	-0.09	0.04	15	42%	-0.14	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.03	-0.01	9	71%	0.11	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.00
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.04	-0.01	5	85%	0.11	1	-0.00	3	0%	-0.03
Eddie Jones	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.1,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.03	-0.01	18	65%	0.17	3	-0.07	10	80%	0.03
Eddie Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	12	58%	0.09	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.00
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	6	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Todd Fuller	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	7	29%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Coleman	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	13	55%	0.01	3	-0.07	5	100%	0.03
Anthony Mason	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	6	43%	-0.01	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
David Wesley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.05	0.02	8	58%	-0.01	3	-0.09	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	1.8	29.0	15.8	29.4	2.4	33.5	134.3
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +58.0%

CHH +16.9%

GSW -21.5%

GSW -6.9%

CHH +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	CHH	NBA	GSW	CHH	NBA
this game	13.5	15.1	15.2	105.0	111.9	101.7
season	14.7	14.9		97.2	101.5
opponent	15.1	14.7		99.2	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	14.6	11.7	13.4	14.3	13.5
CHH	13.1	16.7	13.8	16.9	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Starks	85	84	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.40	14	-21	35	13.0	15.7	-2.73	15.8	11.5	4.32
Jason Caffey	65	65	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.17	6	-13	19	13.8	12.9	0.84	15.5	14.3	1.17
Vonteego Cummings	29	29	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.16	1	-8	9	12.7	13.8	-1.07	16.0	14.7	1.27
Tim Legler	5	4	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.01	-6	-1	-5	17.4	13.2	4.15	10.2	15.3	-5.01
Adonal Foyle	60	59	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.26	3	-10	13	13.6	13.2	0.40	15.1	15.0	0.10
Bill Curley	39	40	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.07	-6	-1	-5	12.8	13.9	-1.12	14.7	15.3	-0.60
Antawn Jamison	91	89	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.31	-1	-6	5	13.2	15.4	-2.16	15.0	15.3	-0.31
Mookie Blaylock	72	72	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.14	-8	1	-9	13.8	12.7	1.07	14.7	16.0	-1.27
Chris Carr	17	19	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	0.12	-22	15	-37	15.4	13.1	2.28	11.3	15.9	-4.68
Tony Farmer	42	44	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.11	-16	9	-25	13.5	13.4	0.08	15.5	14.7	0.74

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Baron Davis	58	57	0.81	-0.31	1.11	0.28	18	-11	29	14.2	16.2	-2.00	13.6	13.2	0.36
Eddie Jones	90	90	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.21	12	-5	17	14.8	17.2	-2.38	13.8	11.0	2.76
Eddie Robinson	51	52	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.06	17	-10	27	13.5	16.7	-3.25	13.4	13.5	-0.11
Brad Miller	29	28	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.02	15	-8	23	14.4	15.3	-0.86	14.5	13.1	1.45
Ricky Davis	46	44	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.40	-2	9	-11	15.6	14.6	0.97	13.3	13.6	-0.28
Derrick Coleman	82	83	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.21	4	3	1	14.9	15.8	-0.96	13.5	13.1	0.42
Anthony Mason	77	78	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.32	-11	18	-29	16.1	11.8	4.23	12.8	15.7	-2.90
Todd Fuller	27	28	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	0.02	-8	15	-23	16.8	14.4	2.40	13.6	13.4	0.16
David Wesley	45	45	-0.30	0.80	-1.09	-0.00	-10	17	-27	15.9	14.4	1.54	13.2	13.7	-0.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.67,0.68,0.59,0.61,0.51,0.46,0.56,0.63,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.33,0.39,0.32,0.44,0.59,0.73,0.71,0.81,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.75,0.85,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.95,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 96, CLE 111	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.71,0.63,0.59,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.4,0.45,0.36,0.36,0.48,0.46,0.55,0.76,0.86,0.78,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.87,0.77,0.9,0.98,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1	93.4%
GSW 86, BOS 94	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.67,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.85,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	92.7%
DET 86, SAC 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.79,0.77,0.67,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.48,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.68,0.78,0.9,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	92.6%