NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	86		Excitement	5.8 [638]		MVP	Jeff Green (BOS): +9.6%
Boston Celtics	94		Comeback	1.4 [835]		LVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): -19.2%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Jefferson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	1	150%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carl Landry	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.00	0.04	-0.01	10	50%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Draymond Green	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	1	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andris Biedrins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Festus Ezeli	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	17	43%	-0.02	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
David Lee	-0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	13	33%	-0.10	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Klay Thompson	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.03	0.02	19	39%	-0.09	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.14	-0.03	-0.01	9	11%	-0.15	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Stephen Curry	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.05	-0.10	0.04	22	46%	-0.08	4	-0.12	10	100%	0.06

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.04	0.00	13	64%	0.15	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Avery Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	6	62%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	4	80%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04
Jordan Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.04	0.06	-0.03	6	33%	0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.02	5	62%	0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Terrence Williams	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	5	67%	0.07	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Paul Pierce	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.04	-0.05	0.04	15	63%	0.19	7	-0.23	11	64%	-0.03
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.01	-0.00	11	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.03	10	28%	-0.03	3	-0.08	5	60%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.5	33.5	15.7	27.6	2.0	32.0	139.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +84.0%

GSW -2.3%

GSW -10.3%

GSW -20.4%

GSW -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	BOS	NBA	GSW	BOS	NBA
this game	15.0	13.2	15.4	83.5	93.1	104.1
season	14.6	14.9		104.6	101.2
opponent	16.2	15.3		101.7	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	15.3	15.1	16.2	13.6	15.0
BOS	13.0	13.7	14.4	12.1	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andris Biedrins	24	22	0.16	-0.66	0.81	0.04	4	-12	16	15.2	14.9	0.34	14.4	12.9	1.51
Kent Bazemore	3	2	0.05	-0.55	0.59	0.08	-1	-7	6	2.7	15.4	-12.69	6.5	13.4	-6.86
Richard Jefferson	8	8	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.02	1	-9	10	14.0	15.1	-1.07	12.4	13.3	-0.93
Festus Ezeli	36	33	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.22	7	-15	22	12.9	16.1	-3.15	15.4	12.2	3.22
Stephen Curry	88	89	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.40	7	-15	22	15.2	13.7	1.55	13.6	10.4	3.19
Draymond Green	20	18	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.12	-12	4	-16	13.2	15.4	-2.22	10.7	13.8	-3.05
Klay Thompson	86	86	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.33	2	-10	12	14.8	16.0	-1.21	13.8	10.1	3.71
David Lee	81	80	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.29	-2	-6	4	15.7	12.5	3.22	13.3	13.1	0.17
Harrison Barnes	84	83	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.20	-6	-2	-4	14.9	15.3	-0.40	13.2	13.4	-0.20
Jarrett Jack	40	38	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.04	-18	10	-28	15.7	14.6	1.12	12.1	13.9	-1.76
Carl Landry	45	46	-0.71	0.21	-0.91	-0.06	-22	14	-36	16.5	13.8	2.70	11.7	14.5	-2.85

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Wilcox	44	46	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.09	20	-12	32	12.7	13.6	-0.97	16.3	13.9	2.37
Paul Pierce	76	79	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.05	14	-6	20	13.4	12.6	0.83	14.9	15.2	-0.34
Jeff Green	61	63	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.21	7	1	6	12.3	14.7	-2.40	14.1	16.3	-2.22
Jason Terry	65	66	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.33	-1	9	-10	12.9	13.8	-0.85	13.9	17.0	-3.14
Courtney Lee	50	52	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.12	4	4	0	14.2	12.2	2.00	16.0	13.9	2.08
Jordan Crawford	39	39	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.28	-3	11	-14	12.1	14.0	-1.87	14.7	15.2	-0.52
Brandon Bass	55	55	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.01	6	2	4	14.5	11.7	2.81	16.0	13.8	2.24
Avery Bradley	42	44	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.04	4	4	0	13.3	13.2	0.18	15.5	14.6	0.89
Kevin Garnett	68	68	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.31	-11	19	-30	13.5	12.6	0.92	14.6	15.8	-1.23
Terrence Williams	5	3	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.04	0	8	-8	10.2	13.4	-3.19	9.0	15.2	-6.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.67,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.85,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 109, LAL 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.58,0.51,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.52,0.63,0.63,0.82,0.74,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.95,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.92,1	94.3%
POR 83, OKC 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.68,0.78,0.85,0.79,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.81,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.2%
SAC 93, TOR 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.66,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.71,0.76,0.74,0.78,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1	94.2%