NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	86		Excitement	5.3 [780]		MVP	Kevin Martin (SAC): +31.8%
Sacramento Kings	99		Comeback	1.8 [646]		LVP	Rasheed Wallace (DET): -27.9%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chauncey Billups	0.18	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.2,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.08	0.06	-0.05	14	69%	0.29	4	-0.11	8	87%	0.02
Jason Maxiell	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	4	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Murray	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.09	0.01	0.05	8	72%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Carlos Delfino	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.02	6	57%	0.05	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Richard Hamilton	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.00	0.04	12	57%	0.02	1	-0.00	11	91%	0.03
Nazr Mohammed	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	1	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Ronald Dupree	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Tayshaun Prince	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.14	-0.01	-0.05	13	23%	-0.07	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	-0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.25	-0.05	-0.02	9	0%	-0.16	5	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.27,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.01	16	75%	0.41	3	-0.09	8	100%	0.04
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.03	0.09	-0.07	10	62%	0.23	3	-0.03	4	75%	-0.02
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.01	0.02	13	62%	0.11	3	-0.06	11	91%	0.01
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	10	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	9	42%	-0.01	2	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	5	8%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.04	-0.00	12	38%	-0.08	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	3.7	34.2	18.4	29.6	3.7	37.3	150.2
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +22.9%

SAC +9.6%

SAC +26.0%

DET -6.7%

DET -1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	SAC	NBA	DET	SAC	NBA
this game	15.2	16.2	15.4	93.5	107.6	104.5
season	16.8	14.7		106.1	104.7
opponent	15.1	15.7		106.0	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	14.9	16.0	15.9	13.8	15.2
SAC	13.9	15.3	16.1	19.6	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronald Dupree	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-14	15	10.0	15.3	-5.33	17.3	16.1	1.22
Amir Johnson	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-14	15	10.0	15.3	-5.33	17.3	16.1	1.22
Jason Maxiell	20	19	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.12	2	-15	17	16.4	14.8	1.66	17.5	15.8	1.67
Carlos Delfino	40	40	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.23	4	-17	21	15.3	15.1	0.22	17.0	15.5	1.54
Nazr Mohammed	26	27	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.03	-6	-7	1	15.7	14.9	0.75	15.7	16.3	-0.58
Ronald Murray	42	43	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.19	-1	-12	11	15.1	15.2	-0.15	18.2	14.4	3.82
Antonio McDyess	45	43	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.20	-2	-11	9	16.1	14.2	1.88	16.4	15.9	0.54
Chauncey Billups	75	76	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.07	-9	-4	-5	14.7	17.0	-2.27	15.3	20.0	-4.66
Tayshaun Prince	61	61	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.14	-17	4	-21	14.9	15.6	-0.69	15.0	18.5	-3.47
Rasheed Wallace	69	70	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.01	-15	2	-17	14.8	16.3	-1.54	16.3	15.8	0.50
Richard Hamilton	76	75	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	0.08	-23	10	-33	15.4	14.0	1.39	15.7	18.0	-2.27

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenny Thomas	86	87	0.67	-0.17	0.84	-0.00	23	-10	33	15.9	19.5	-3.58	15.4	10.4	5.03
Metta World Peace	85	85	0.50	-0.00	0.51	-0.02	18	-5	23	15.9	19.4	-3.55	15.3	13.9	1.40
Kevin Martin	72	72	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.03	15	-2	17	16.0	16.5	-0.51	15.1	15.5	-0.44
John Salmons	39	37	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.18	4	9	-5	16.7	15.7	1.03	15.3	15.0	0.29
Mike Bibby	66	69	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.09	13	0	13	15.3	18.3	-3.00	14.7	16.5	-1.77
Corliss Williamson	40	39	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.19	3	10	-7	17.9	14.8	3.18	14.7	15.5	-0.84
Francisco Garcia	6	5	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.11	-2	15	-17	18.3	16.0	2.33	13.6	15.2	-1.64
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	50	51	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.09	-3	16	-19	16.0	16.3	-0.25	15.5	14.7	0.80
Ronnie Price	16	15	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.12	-6	19	-25	16.4	16.1	0.35	15.6	15.1	0.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.79,0.77,0.67,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.48,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.68,0.78,0.9,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 77, SAS 86	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.5,0.54,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.74,0.81,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.9%
GSW 86, BOS 94	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.67,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.85,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.9%
CHI 104, MIN 122	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.7,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.69,0.6,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.59,0.57,0.52,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.85,0.85,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.9%