NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	82		Excitement	5.6 [717]		MVP	Yao Ming (HOU): +10.2%
Los Angeles Clippers	95		Comeback	2.6 [231]		LVP	Rafer Alston (HOU): -16.6%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Yao Ming	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.07	0.01	17	63%	0.22	4	-0.12	4	100%	0.02
Luther Head	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	6	58%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	2	50%	0.00	1	0.01	0	0%	0.00
Carl Landry	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Von Wafer	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Tracy McGrady	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	17	45%	-0.01	2	-0.05	8	87%	0.02
Luis Scola	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	0.03	10	40%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	10	24%	-0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Shane Battier	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.04	0.02	8	19%	-0.11	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.09	-0.06	0.02	11	33%	-0.09	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.05	-0.00	7	71%	0.11	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Al Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.01	-0.03	21	51%	0.10	3	-0.07	9	67%	-0.02
Mardy Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.02	13	46%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Hart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	2	33%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.06	-0.05	0.03	23	58%	0.09	3	-0.10	6	67%	-0.02
Baron Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.03	-0.03	12	46%	0.09	4	-0.10	4	50%	-0.02
Paul Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.5	33.1	15.8	22.5	2.0	30.3	128.5
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +50.7%

HOU -4.3%

LAC +10.2%

HOU -4.4%

HOU -2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	LAC	NBA	HOU	LAC	NBA
this game	16.7	15.4	15.5	91.1	106.7	106.4
season	16.3	15.7		105.9	100.7
opponent	15.1	15.2		109.8	102.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.8	18.0	18.4	15.7	16.7
LAC	15.2	13.3	13.5	20.4	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Von Wafer	12	12	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.10	-8	-5	-3	14.7	17.0	-2.28	20.6	14.6	5.93
Charles Hayes	19	19	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.03	-6	-7	1	16.0	16.9	-0.92	17.0	15.0	1.97
Luis Scola	66	65	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.12	-2	-11	9	16.3	17.8	-1.46	14.4	18.3	-3.95
Yao Ming	69	67	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.13	-2	-11	9	16.8	16.6	0.20	14.5	18.3	-3.75
Aaron Brooks	29	29	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.07	-5	-8	3	16.9	16.7	0.21	18.5	14.0	4.55
Shane Battier	65	64	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.20	-1	-12	11	16.6	17.2	-0.61	14.1	18.9	-4.83
Tracy McGrady	63	63	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.09	-5	-8	3	16.5	17.2	-0.71	14.8	16.9	-2.08
Luther Head	27	27	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.01	-10	-3	-7	17.2	16.5	0.71	17.6	14.5	3.02
Rafer Alston	64	63	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.04	-12	-1	-11	16.7	16.8	-0.07	14.5	17.7	-3.11
Carl Landry	36	36	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.06	-14	1	-15	18.6	15.5	3.15	17.6	14.0	3.58

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Thornton	84	85	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.12	9	4	5	15.4	15.6	-0.16	16.9	13.0	3.94
Zach Randolph	76	77	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.05	11	2	9	15.8	13.5	2.33	16.5	18.2	-1.67
Jason Hart	13	12	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.09	9	4	5	19.8	14.7	5.06	17.8	16.6	1.28
Baron Davis	69	70	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.08	8	5	3	14.7	18.1	-3.48	16.4	17.9	-1.58
Eric Gordon	67	69	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.05	9	4	5	15.6	15.0	0.66	16.6	17.0	-0.42
Marcus Camby	72	73	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.08	7	6	1	14.5	19.5	-5.04	16.9	15.9	0.96
Brian Skinner	10	9	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.09	5	8	-3	21.2	14.7	6.48	16.2	16.8	-0.56
Paul Davis	20	21	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.03	3	10	-7	14.7	15.7	-0.90	17.2	16.6	0.61
Mardy Collins	19	18	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.02	2	11	-9	15.4	15.5	-0.10	17.0	16.7	0.35
Mike Taylor	15	16	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	11	-9	14.7	15.6	-0.86	16.4	16.8	-0.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.43,0.59,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 101, DET 109	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.74,0.64,0.62,0.61,0.66,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.41,0.33,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.66,0.7,0.82,0.85,0.9,0.96,0.93,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	93.6%
NOP 98, DAL 107	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.41,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.52,0.56,0.44,0.6,0.71,0.58,0.62,0.79,0.83,0.93,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,0.97,1,1	93.5%
POR 83, OKC 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.68,0.78,0.85,0.79,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.81,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1	93.5%