NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	98		Excitement	5.7 [697]		MVP	Wesley Matthews (DAL): +18.1%
Dallas Mavericks	107		Comeback	2.7 [618]		LVP	Ish Smith (NOP): -15.2%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Toney Douglas	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.07	-0.00	10	50%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Alexis Ajinca	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	5	80%	0.11	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	15	62%	0.10	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Eric Gordon	0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04	0.09	0.00	0.05	15	66%	0.07	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Luke Babbitt	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Gee	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Davis	-0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.04	19	58%	0.07	4	-0.09	5	60%	-0.03
Dante Cunningham	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ish Smith	-0.15	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.13	-0.04	-0.03	14	25%	-0.11	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Matthews	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.07	0.10	-0.02	10	57%	0.18	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Dwight Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.13	0.05	0.02	9	79%	0.16	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.06	0.01	16	55%	0.11	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.03
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.04	-0.00	7	50%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	0.02
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	0.01	0.04	13	63%	0.08	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Jeremy Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	75%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	45%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	5	46%	0.03	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Justin Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chandler Parsons	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	11	52%	0.03	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.4	32.2	15.6	23.7	2.5	32.5	131.4
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +25.4%

DAL +14.9%

DAL +5.6%

DAL +0.4%

DAL +3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	DAL	NBA	NOP	DAL	NBA
this game	14.1	15.9	14.9	102.1	111.5	105.1
season	14.3	15.5		104.3	105.0
opponent	14.7	15.0		106.5	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	14.6	13.5	15.7	12.6	14.1
DAL	16.1	16.5	14.9	16.2	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alonzo Gee	21	19	0.32	-0.82	1.14	-0.03	12	-21	33	13.5	14.2	-0.70	15.4	16.1	-0.70
Alexis Ajinca	33	34	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.16	7	-16	23	14.9	13.6	1.32	15.5	16.1	-0.62
Ish Smith	65	67	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.24	8	-17	25	14.0	14.3	-0.37	16.4	14.9	1.43
Luke Babbitt	39	40	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.01	-8	-1	-7	13.7	14.3	-0.60	15.8	16.0	-0.18
Anthony Davis	79	78	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.14	-7	-2	-5	13.8	15.1	-1.27	15.9	15.9	0.05
Eric Gordon	84	83	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.21	-5	-4	-1	13.7	17.0	-3.35	15.7	17.4	-1.69
Dante Cunningham	35	35	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.09	-17	8	-25	15.9	13.0	2.90	16.3	15.7	0.65
Toney Douglas	54	54	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.16	-17	8	-25	14.2	13.9	0.30	16.1	15.7	0.38
Ryan Anderson	70	70	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.16	-18	9	-27	13.9	14.6	-0.74	15.8	16.2	-0.31

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwight Powell	50	49	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.11	20	-11	31	16.3	15.5	0.78	15.0	13.1	1.85
Devin Harris	45	46	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.22	13	-4	17	16.6	15.3	1.31	14.7	13.5	1.11
Wesley Matthews	59	58	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.13	14	-5	19	16.3	15.4	0.85	14.3	13.7	0.64
Raymond Felton	35	35	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.06	17	-8	25	15.2	16.4	-1.19	15.4	13.3	2.09
Dirk Nowitzki	58	61	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.13	4	5	-1	15.9	16.0	-0.16	14.2	13.9	0.29
Jose Juan Barea	49	49	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.22	-4	13	-17	16.3	15.5	0.86	13.0	15.1	-2.11
Zaza Pachulia	57	56	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.06	0	9	-9	15.0	17.3	-2.24	13.9	14.3	-0.35
Deron Williams	61	60	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.17	-4	13	-17	15.4	16.8	-1.33	13.9	14.3	-0.42
Justin Anderson	8	8	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	9	-9	16.0	15.9	0.08	13.6	14.1	-0.49
Jeremy Evans	27	26	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	15	-21	17.3	15.4	1.90	12.4	14.7	-2.26
Chandler Parsons	31	32	-0.26	0.76	-1.03	-0.00	-9	18	-27	15.4	16.2	-0.75	13.3	14.5	-1.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.41,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.52,0.56,0.44,0.6,0.71,0.58,0.62,0.79,0.83,0.93,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 82, CLE 98	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.6,0.53,0.61,0.56,0.6,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.59,0.48,0.44,0.56,0.64,0.54,0.66,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.0%
HOU 82, LAC 95	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.43,0.59,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1	93.5%
PHI 76, SAS 89	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.66,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.69,0.66,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.2%