NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	76		Excitement	5.6 [688]		MVP	Terry Porter (SAS): +16.6%
San Antonio Spurs	89		Comeback	2.6 [750]		LVP	David Robinson (SAS): -16.5%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bruce Bowen	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	21	53%	0.07	3	-0.09	11	82%	0.04
Todd MacCulloch	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	7	29%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	30%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Larry Hughes	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.03	0.03	10	45%	-0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
George Lynch	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	12	33%	-0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	11	33%	-0.08	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Billy Owens	-0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.12	-0.03	-0.01	7	19%	-0.11	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terry Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.10	0.09	0.02	8	75%	0.17	0	0.00	4	100%	0.05
Mario Elie	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	8	56%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Kersey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.05	2	83%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.02	0.01	6	53%	0.02	2	-0.05	3	67%	0.00
Samaki Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Tim Duncan	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	16	53%	0.02	3	-0.06	6	67%	-0.01
Avery Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	9	60%	0.06	4	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Chucky Brown	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	4	20%	-0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jaren Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.12	-0.01	-0.02	6	23%	-0.03	3	-0.07	1	0%	-0.02
David Robinson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.15	-0.02	0.00	9	40%	-0.07	4	-0.10	7	57%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	2.6	31.6	16.7	28.3	2.6	35.3	144.2
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +44.1%

SAS +5.0%

SAS +13.4%

PHI -16.0%

SAS +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	SAS	NBA	PHI	SAS	NBA
this game	16.9	15.5	15.2	86.4	98.9	101.7
season	15.0	15.5		99.5	101.6
opponent	15.4	15.5		95.9	98.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	17.3	16.5	17.9	15.9	16.9
SAS	14.6	17.0	15.7	14.8	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
George Lynch	70	71	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.05	-1	-12	11	17.4	15.0	2.36	16.8	10.6	6.17
Bruce Bowen	7	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-19	25	9.9	17.5	-7.62	14.1	15.6	-1.47
Jumaine Jones	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-18	23	11.0	17.3	-6.30	13.3	15.7	-2.32
Billy Owens	45	46	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.09	1	-14	15	16.7	17.1	-0.38	16.3	14.6	1.69
Todd MacCulloch	14	14	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.10	-3	-10	7	15.0	17.2	-2.23	12.1	16.1	-3.98
Eric Snow	57	60	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.06	-12	-1	-11	17.6	15.6	1.95	16.7	13.0	3.70
Aaron McKie	43	45	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.11	-7	-6	-1	15.9	17.8	-1.89	14.6	16.4	-1.76
Nazr Mohammed	27	26	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.13	-7	-6	-1	16.7	16.9	-0.19	14.8	15.8	-1.03
Tyrone Hill	52	55	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.18	-18	5	-23	18.1	15.1	3.08	15.8	15.1	0.72
Allen Iverson	68	68	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.10	-20	7	-27	18.1	12.6	5.47	14.7	18.0	-3.37
Larry Hughes	51	52	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.24	-9	-4	-5	15.7	18.5	-2.73	14.8	16.4	-1.64

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terry Porter	39	37	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.05	18	-5	23	15.2	15.8	-0.61	17.3	16.6	0.68
Malik Rose	40	38	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.14	12	1	11	16.4	14.8	1.62	15.6	17.9	-2.28
David Robinson	56	57	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.19	20	-7	27	15.1	16.2	-1.09	17.9	14.9	3.04
Jaren Jackson	49	48	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.19	5	8	-3	16.8	13.9	2.89	15.8	18.2	-2.38
Avery Johnson	58	59	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.19	18	-5	23	15.6	15.2	0.39	17.7	15.2	2.54
Mario Elie	55	53	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.09	12	1	11	15.1	16.1	-0.91	18.2	14.9	3.30
Samaki Walker	31	28	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.18	-1	14	-15	15.7	15.4	0.27	16.0	17.3	-1.28
Steve Kerr	14	13	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.11	1	12	-11	13.8	15.8	-2.03	14.2	17.3	-3.10
Antonio Daniels	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	19	-25	14.1	15.6	-1.47	9.9	17.5	-7.62
Jerome Kersey	10	10	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.02	0	13	-13	21.3	14.8	6.52	18.0	16.7	1.27
Tim Duncan	53	53	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.10	-5	18	-23	15.2	16.0	-0.85	17.1	16.5	0.60
Chucky Brown	38	37	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.14	-9	22	-31	13.8	16.7	-2.91	16.6	17.1	-0.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.66,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.69,0.66,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 109, UTA 116	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.68,0.6,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.49,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.77,0.92,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.4%
DET 82, CLE 98	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.6,0.53,0.61,0.56,0.6,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.59,0.48,0.44,0.56,0.64,0.54,0.66,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.3%
ATL 80, PHX 88	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.41,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.69,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.5,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.68,0.66,0.57,0.57,0.76,0.85,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1	93.2%