NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	80		Excitement	5.9 [613]		MVP	Grant Hill (PHX): +13.2%
Phoenix Suns	88		Comeback	1.7 [736]		LVP	Steve Nash (PHX): -20.5%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Smith	0.10	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.03	-0.00	15	58%	0.11	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.01
Zaza Pachulia	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario West	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.02	0.00	10	38%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.09
Joe Smith	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Collins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Evans	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	5	50%	0.01	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Joe Johnson	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.01	-0.06	0.02	16	56%	0.03	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Jamal Crawford	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.16,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12	-0.03	-0.04	0.06	11	44%	-0.07	2	-0.06	3	67%	0.01
Mike Bibby	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.13	-0.04	0.00	8	30%	-0.08	4	-0.09	4	100%	0.02

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.06	0.00	11	70%	0.20	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.00	-0.04	13	65%	0.12	3	-0.02	8	75%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.01	5	70%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.03	0.01	3	87%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.02	-0.02	12	38%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	9	22%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.06	0.01	11	46%	-0.05	1	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.03	-0.02	8	25%	-0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.2,-0.23,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.18	-0.04	-0.01	10	30%	-0.08	6	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.1	0.1	30.2	15.7	24.1	2.8	28.0	130.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +34.3%

ATL -2.2%

PHX +18.8%

PHX +0.6%

ATL -1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	PHX	NBA	ATL	PHX	NBA
this game	15.9	15.4	15.3	87.0	95.7	106.0
season	16.0	14.4		109.4	113.5
opponent	15.5	15.8		109.0	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	16.9	13.9	16.3	17.1	15.9
PHX	15.0	12.8	15.7	18.9	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zaza Pachulia	10	11	0.09	-0.59	0.69	0.00	3	-11	14	14.3	16.1	-1.83	11.9	15.8	-3.93
Marvin Williams	67	66	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.15	7	-15	22	15.3	17.7	-2.45	15.3	15.4	-0.07
Mario West	1	0	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-8	8	0.0	16.1	-16.11	0.0	15.4	-15.37
Jason Collins	3	2	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.00	-1	-7	6	15.0	16.0	-0.97	21.0	15.2	5.76
Joe Johnson	82	82	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.27	4	-12	16	15.3	21.1	-5.80	16.0	10.5	5.46
Joe Smith	14	12	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.10	-9	1	-10	16.5	15.8	0.67	12.5	15.8	-3.30
Maurice Evans	13	12	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.06	-8	0	-8	17.3	15.7	1.60	12.9	15.7	-2.82
Josh Smith	73	75	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.36	0	-8	8	15.3	18.4	-3.07	15.8	13.4	2.47
Mike Bibby	74	76	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.15	-10	2	-12	16.8	12.3	4.48	14.6	19.1	-4.47
Al Horford	63	64	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.29	-7	-1	-6	16.7	14.3	2.32	16.1	13.6	2.48
Jamal Crawford	60	60	-0.83	0.33	-1.15	-0.27	-19	11	-30	16.6	14.7	1.96	15.7	14.7	0.95

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Channing Frye	36	36	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.15	18	-10	28	15.4	15.4	0.03	17.7	14.8	2.85
Goran Dragic	40	43	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.13	15	-7	22	15.6	15.2	0.41	16.8	15.2	1.61
Jared Dudley	52	52	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.21	12	-4	16	15.8	14.7	1.10	16.8	14.8	1.96
Jason Richardson	65	65	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.22	5	3	2	15.1	16.0	-0.84	16.4	14.9	1.53
Lou Amundson	33	32	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.14	4	4	0	14.8	15.7	-0.95	17.2	15.3	1.92
Amar'e Stoudemire	55	55	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.09	-1	9	-10	15.7	14.9	0.84	15.1	17.1	-2.01
Grant Hill	65	64	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.10	-2	10	-12	15.1	16.1	-1.05	14.8	18.5	-3.64
Robin Lopez	60	60	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	13	-18	15.4	15.3	0.04	15.2	17.2	-2.02
Steve Nash	54	53	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.14	-6	14	-20	15.4	15.3	0.09	14.9	17.4	-2.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.41,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.69,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.5,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.68,0.66,0.57,0.57,0.76,0.85,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 76, SAS 89	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.66,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.69,0.66,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.2%
SAC 86, PHI 98	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.55,0.56,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.58,0.51,0.58,0.49,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.56,0.81,0.94,0.96,0.87,0.9,0.97,1,1,1	92.8%
CHA 90, CLE 103	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.66,0.62,0.71,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.66,0.83,0.92,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	92.8%