NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	86		Excitement	6.2 [556]		MVP	Thaddeus Young (PHI): +12.1%
Philadelphia 76ers	98		Comeback	1.5 [775]		LVP	Ime Udoka (SAC): -12.6%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Beno Udrih	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.04	-0.03	7	64%	0.15	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Martin	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.02	0.00	10	66%	0.11	3	-0.08	9	100%	0.06
Donte Greene	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andres Nocioni	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Spencer Hawes	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	11	50%	0.03	2	-0.06	6	50%	-0.04
Jason Thompson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	0.03	13	59%	0.06	4	-0.12	6	83%	0.01
Omri Casspi	-0.09	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	6	43%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Jon Brockman	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	-0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	13	41%	0.01	3	-0.10	8	100%	0.05
Ime Udoka	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	4	37%	-0.03	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.03	-0.01	14	67%	0.15	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.14	0.02	0.04	7	94%	0.14	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.02	-0.01	8	78%	0.15	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.06	0.08	-0.03	13	40%	0.10	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	4	37%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.01	14	47%	0.08	2	-0.05	8	62%	-0.01
Rodney Carney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	4	33%	-0.03	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Lou Williams	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	15	34%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.6	1.8	28.5	15.0	26.3	2.4	31.5	133.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +37.3%

SAC -10.5%

SAC -5.3%

PHI +29.4%

SAC -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	PHI	NBA	SAC	PHI	NBA
this game	14.9	15.6	15.3	90.5	104.3	106.0
season	15.2	15.1		103.7	104.2
opponent	15.8	15.0		108.4	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	15.8	13.1	14.0	17.6	14.9
PHI	13.0	14.6	15.4	20.3	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Martin	67	67	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.11	6	-18	24	14.3	16.4	-2.03	16.2	14.0	2.13
Donte Greene	4	3	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.04	-1	-11	10	9.7	15.2	-5.40	20.7	15.4	5.28
Omri Casspi	64	64	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.11	2	-14	16	14.2	16.5	-2.26	16.4	13.7	2.77
Andres Nocioni	13	11	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-10	8	13.8	15.1	-1.34	14.7	15.7	-0.94
Jason Thompson	78	79	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.11	-1	-11	10	14.8	15.6	-0.81	15.4	16.3	-0.85
Ime Udoka	23	24	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.04	-13	1	-14	16.1	14.6	1.53	14.0	16.1	-2.14
Jon Brockman	36	34	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.00	-13	1	-14	15.7	14.4	1.28	14.8	16.0	-1.24
Spencer Hawes	70	69	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.25	-6	-6	0	15.1	14.5	0.55	15.8	14.8	1.08
Tyreke Evans	70	71	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.14	-13	1	-14	14.9	14.9	0.01	15.5	15.7	-0.19
Beno Udrih	50	48	-0.67	0.17	-0.85	-0.12	-19	7	-26	16.3	13.4	2.90	14.6	16.5	-1.90

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thaddeus Young	67	65	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.04	16	-4	20	15.5	15.8	-0.32	15.5	13.7	1.79
Marreese Speights	31	33	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.14	10	2	8	15.3	15.7	-0.39	15.0	14.9	0.16
Elton Brand	58	59	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.07	9	3	6	15.7	15.3	0.36	14.6	15.4	-0.74
Allen Iverson	67	69	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.11	6	6	0	15.2	16.5	-1.35	14.6	15.9	-1.37
Andre Iguodala	79	79	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.22	2	10	-8	16.3	11.9	4.39	14.8	15.4	-0.61
Samuel Dalembert	53	53	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.03	7	5	2	16.1	14.8	1.28	15.8	13.8	1.96
Lou Williams	69	68	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.17	2	10	-8	15.6	15.4	0.26	15.3	14.0	1.35
Willie Green	11	10	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.09	2	10	-8	15.4	15.6	-0.21	13.4	15.1	-1.71
Jrue Holiday	24	25	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.11	5	7	-2	12.9	16.5	-3.60	14.1	15.2	-1.15
Rodney Carney	11	14	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	11	-10	16.4	15.4	0.92	13.1	15.2	-2.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.55,0.56,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.58,0.51,0.58,0.49,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.56,0.81,0.94,0.96,0.87,0.9,0.97,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 90, SAS 95	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.67,0.65,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.68,0.65,0.65,0.72,0.67,0.71,0.62,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.85,0.92,0.91,0.83,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.98,1	93.4%
TOR 84, DET 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.97,1,1	93.4%
DEN 90, MIN 101	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.64,0.69,0.65,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.54,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.52,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.8,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.99,0.99,1,1	93.1%