NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	82		Excitement	5.9 [640]		MVP	Daniel Gibson (CLE): +41.3%
Cleveland Cavaliers	98		Comeback	1.8 [623]		LVP	Drew Gooden (CLE): -15.4%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Webber	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	-0.01	0.00	8	68%	0.09	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Lindsey Hunter	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.03	-0.03	4	44%	0.07	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Chauncey Billups	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	7	53%	0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Richard Hamilton	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	-0.01	0.04	20	60%	0.10	4	-0.09	8	100%	0.03
Jason Maxiell	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Murray	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	8	33%	-0.02	1	-0.01	5	60%	0.00
Dale Davis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Delfino	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	-0.08	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	14	38%	-0.06	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.12	-0.03	-0.02	10	21%	-0.09	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Daniel Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.3,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41	0.41	0.27	0.17	0.02	9	94%	0.48	2	-0.06	15	80%	0.04
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	9	58%	0.09	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.04	0.04	-0.05	11	49%	0.13	3	-0.08	19	74%	0.04
Eric Snow	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	6	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	0.02	8	50%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	9	33%	-0.06	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.03
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	7	44%	-0.02	4	-0.12	4	75%	0.00
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.12	-0.03	0.01	9	35%	-0.06	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.2	20.8	43.0	19.6	28.3	3.7	39.3	183.9
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +31.3%

CLE +18.4%

CLE +22.8%

DET -18.8%

DET -3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	CLE	NBA	DET	CLE	NBA
this game	15.6	16.2	15.4	92.1	106.5	104.5
season	16.8	16.0		106.1	103.2
opponent	15.6	15.7		99.6	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	17.5	14.4	18.2	12.5	15.6
CLE	16.0	16.2	13.9	18.8	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dale Davis	10	10	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.02	0	-16	16	21.0	14.9	6.11	12.9	16.6	-3.75
Jason Maxiell	3	2	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.01	-1	-15	14	16.0	15.6	0.44	7.0	16.4	-9.44
Nazr Mohammed	3	2	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-14	12	16.3	15.5	0.79	13.5	16.3	-2.80
Richard Hamilton	69	72	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.02	-4	-12	8	15.5	15.9	-0.49	15.3	19.5	-4.23
Tayshaun Prince	76	77	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.10	-3	-13	10	14.6	21.4	-6.81	16.8	13.4	3.39
Rasheed Wallace	58	60	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.15	-2	-14	12	15.5	15.8	-0.31	15.7	17.3	-1.65
Carlos Delfino	6	7	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.07	-10	-6	-4	20.8	15.2	5.64	16.4	16.2	0.21
Ronald Murray	18	19	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.05	-6	-10	4	12.9	16.2	-3.29	18.8	15.6	3.28
Chauncey Billups	79	81	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.07	-11	-5	-6	15.9	12.8	3.12	16.8	12.1	4.71
Antonio McDyess	45	48	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.12	-14	-2	-12	15.2	16.0	-0.75	17.0	15.5	1.50
Chris Webber	47	49	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.01	-12	-4	-8	16.3	14.8	1.45	16.1	16.4	-0.38
Lindsey Hunter	31	33	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.05	-15	-1	-14	15.7	15.5	0.21	16.0	16.4	-0.33

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anderson Varejao	56	52	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.02	21	-5	26	16.3	16.2	0.12	14.7	16.9	-2.21
Daniel Gibson	56	53	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.02	19	-3	22	16.9	15.1	1.81	15.0	16.4	-1.42
Damon Jones	37	37	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.08	14	2	12	17.5	15.4	2.04	13.6	16.9	-3.29
Donyell Marshall	24	24	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.07	13	3	10	15.6	16.5	-0.89	14.7	15.9	-1.13
LeBron James	88	84	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.07	13	3	10	16.3	15.2	1.03	15.8	12.4	3.36
Drew Gooden	49	47	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.05	5	11	-6	15.5	17.1	-1.60	17.8	13.1	4.65
Eric Snow	12	14	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	15	-14	22.2	15.3	6.82	9.4	16.7	-7.38
Larry Hughes	55	52	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.05	2	14	-12	15.4	17.5	-2.04	16.9	13.6	3.29
Sasha Pavlovic	41	39	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.04	0	16	-16	15.0	17.2	-2.15	16.5	14.9	1.58
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	42	43	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.04	-8	24	-32	15.9	16.6	-0.70	16.3	14.9	1.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.6,0.53,0.61,0.56,0.6,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.59,0.48,0.44,0.56,0.64,0.54,0.66,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 98, DAL 107	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.41,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.52,0.56,0.44,0.6,0.71,0.58,0.62,0.79,0.83,0.93,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,0.97,1,1	94.0%
CHI 72, CLE 91	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.82,0.88,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.7%
MIA 78, BOS 85	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.63,0.72,0.68,0.59,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.58,0.71,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.54,0.66,0.85,0.89,0.92,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.4%