NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	97		Excitement	5.5 [722]		MVP	Steve Nash (DAL): +19.8%
Dallas Mavericks	111		Comeback	2.3 [414]		LVP	Vlade Divac (SAC): -14.8%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Webber	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.08	-0.03	0.01	21	60%	0.08	1	-0.04	5	80%	0.00
Doug Christie	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	9	62%	0.06	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Lawrence Funderburke	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.04	13	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	2	67%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	8	42%	-0.05	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Mike Bibby	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	15	41%	-0.09	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Peja Stojakovic	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.11	-0.03	0.01	16	42%	-0.08	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
Vlade Divac	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.13	-0.02	-0.01	7	0%	-0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.15	0.06	0.01	13	90%	0.30	4	-0.10	5	80%	0.01
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.03	-0.01	11	64%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wang Zhi-zhi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.02	2	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Eschmeyer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Avery Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Manning	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Newman	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.03	12	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	-0.01	16	60%	0.08	3	-0.10	11	82%	0.01
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	0.04	14	47%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.01
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nick Van Exel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	9	40%	-0.03	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.2	2.4	30.2	20.5	25.4	3.4	28.6	130.8
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +68.5%

SAC -1.9%

SAC -12.5%

SAC -0.8%

SAC -3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	DAL	NBA	SAC	DAL	NBA
this game	14.0	15.2	15.6	98.0	113.3	102.3
season	14.2	14.8		106.6	109.6
opponent	15.5	15.5		105.8	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.5	17.0	16.1	10.3	14.0
DAL	14.8	14.3	15.2	16.4	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hedo Turkoglu	44	42	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.19	9	-23	32	14.0	14.0	0.05	15.5	15.0	0.44
Lawrence Funderburke	8	8	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-15	16	7.1	14.6	-7.50	17.6	15.0	2.61
Vlade Divac	30	32	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.04	-5	-9	4	13.9	14.1	-0.22	15.5	15.1	0.36
Bobby Jackson	48	48	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-11	8	13.1	14.9	-1.74	15.6	14.9	0.74
Scot Pollard	43	41	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.06	-10	-4	-6	15.9	12.6	3.34	14.8	15.6	-0.81
Mike Bibby	70	69	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.06	-13	-1	-12	13.0	16.5	-3.48	15.2	15.4	-0.22
Chris Webber	91	90	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.06	-15	1	-16	14.6	7.1	7.50	15.0	17.6	-2.61
Doug Christie	78	78	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	0.01	-18	4	-22	13.9	14.5	-0.64	15.5	14.0	1.48
Peja Stojakovic	83	82	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.05	-16	2	-18	14.6	11.1	3.53	14.8	17.5	-2.72

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dirk Nowitzki	87	88	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.03	20	-6	26	15.2	15.5	-0.26	14.5	10.5	3.91
Nick Van Exel	60	61	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.09	16	-2	18	14.6	16.2	-1.52	15.2	12.1	3.11
Johnny Newman	66	68	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.14	12	2	10	15.4	14.8	0.66	13.9	14.2	-0.25
Steve Nash	64	64	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.00	15	-1	16	15.0	15.6	-0.51	14.2	13.7	0.47
Raef LaFrentz	61	61	0.35	0.14	0.21	-0.11	16	-2	18	15.2	15.3	-0.12	15.3	12.0	3.32
Eduardo Najera	24	24	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.10	-1	15	-16	17.0	14.6	2.35	12.4	14.5	-2.17
Michael Finley	80	81	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.11	6	8	-2	15.5	13.8	1.70	13.4	16.7	-3.30
Evan Eschmeyer	21	21	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.00	1	13	-12	14.8	15.4	-0.59	12.5	14.4	-1.90
Avery Johnson	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	15	-16	17.0	15.1	1.91	6.2	14.5	-8.36
Wang Zhi-zhi	5	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	19	-24	10.4	15.5	-5.08	10.8	14.2	-3.39
Danny Manning	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	19	-24	12.0	15.3	-3.33	4.7	14.3	-9.65
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	12	12	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.00	-4	18	-22	15.3	15.2	0.12	15.7	13.8	1.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.31,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.55,0.66,0.78,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.85,0.92,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 82, ATL 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.52,0.59,0.67,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.7%
PHI 108, MIA 119	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.47,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.5,0.43,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.74,0.82,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%
VAN 78, DET 87	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.62,0.76,0.83,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.91,0.95,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.92,0.89,0.9,1,1	94.3%