NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	82		Excitement	5.0 [854]		MVP	Jamal Crawford (ATL): +18.5%
Atlanta Hawks	91		Comeback	2.6 [437]		LVP	Andre Miller (POR): -14.0%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.08	0.00	0.06	16	55%	0.05	1	-0.03	8	100%	0.02
Wesley Matthews	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	0.02	0.07	12	68%	0.09	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.01
Armon Johnson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	-0.00	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	4	25%	-0.01	2	0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Fernandez	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.03	-0.02	8	53%	0.03	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Brandon Roy	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.06	-0.02	0.07	11	62%	-0.00	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Patty Mills	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.12	0.01	-0.04	5	36%	0.01	4	-0.07	4	50%	-0.01
Nicolas Batum	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	8	29%	-0.06	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Andre Miller	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.03	-0.03	8	6%	-0.12	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.15	0.06	0.02	14	71%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.04	-0.01	9	67%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.10	0.02	0.06	17	63%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.02
Hilton Armstrong	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.01	0.02	5	60%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.02	-0.03	12	42%	-0.00	4	-0.08	2	50%	-0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	0.00	0.02	12	50%	0.03	5	-0.12	4	75%	-0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.04	0.00	4	0%	-0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.3	1.7	26.3	15.6	24.2	2.5	36.2	134.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +54.0%

POR -13.1%

ATL +14.9%

POR -2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	ATL	NBA	POR	ATL	NBA
this game	16.5	16.3	15.5	93.2	103.4	105.7
season	16.5	16.5		106.7	104.0
opponent	15.5	15.7		105.1	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.8	15.2	17.9	17.1	16.5
ATL	15.5	16.1	15.5	18.0	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Armon Johnson	1	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-12	15	20.0	16.4	3.57	18.5	16.2	2.29
Nicolas Batum	33	32	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.10	-4	-5	1	17.6	15.8	1.78	15.4	16.8	-1.39
Jarron Collins	14	14	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.01	-5	-4	-1	12.9	17.1	-4.21	14.8	16.5	-1.75
Andre Miller	61	60	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.01	-6	-3	-3	17.6	13.9	3.66	16.6	15.5	1.06
Marcus Camby	29	28	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.03	-8	-1	-7	19.0	15.2	3.78	14.9	16.9	-1.95
Brandon Roy	40	39	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.21	-1	-8	7	14.7	18.0	-3.28	17.3	15.5	1.79
Wesley Matthews	57	58	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.15	-4	-5	1	17.2	15.0	2.21	15.7	17.3	-1.53
Gerald Wallace	59	60	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.26	-1	-8	7	15.2	19.0	-3.78	16.9	14.9	1.95
Patty Mills	18	19	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.10	-7	-2	-5	14.2	17.1	-2.89	14.7	16.7	-1.94
LaMarcus Aldridge	74	74	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.22	-4	-5	1	17.1	12.9	4.21	16.5	14.8	1.75
Rudy Fernandez	54	54	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.25	-8	-1	-7	15.7	17.6	-1.92	16.7	15.6	1.14

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamal Crawford	41	41	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.27	9	0	9	18.0	14.8	3.21	17.4	15.6	1.78
Jeff Teague	82	82	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.23	10	-1	11	15.9	20.8	-4.91	16.5	16.5	-0.04
Joe Johnson	72	73	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.13	8	1	7	16.0	17.2	-1.21	16.8	14.9	1.85
Zaza Pachulia	55	58	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.01	12	-3	15	15.5	17.6	-2.10	17.1	15.2	1.92
Damien Wilkins	48	49	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.19	5	4	1	16.3	16.2	0.02	14.9	18.4	-3.49
Josh Smith	66	64	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.24	3	6	-3	16.5	15.5	0.95	17.0	15.0	2.02
Marvin Williams	45	43	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.09	7	2	5	16.8	15.7	1.06	15.0	17.9	-2.91
Hilton Armstrong	1	0	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.05	0	9	-9	0.0	16.4	-16.45	0.0	16.5	-16.47
Kirk Hinrich	30	30	-0.27	0.77	-1.03	-0.00	-9	18	-27	16.0	16.4	-0.35	16.6	16.4	0.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.52,0.59,0.67,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 115, SEA 123	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.47,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.28,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.4,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.75,0.85,0.87,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1,0.98,0.96,1	95.3%
SAC 97, DAL 111	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.31,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.55,0.66,0.78,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.85,0.92,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.7%
WAS 88, ATL 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.41,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.48,0.44,0.34,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.31,0.3,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.45,0.41,0.52,0.7,0.64,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.94,0.88,0.86,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.9%