NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	88		Excitement	5.3 [605]		MVP	Joe Johnson (ATL): +20.1%
Atlanta Hawks	102		Comeback	2.3 [737]		LVP	John Wall (WAS): -15.2%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Roger Mason Jr.	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.02	-0.02	9	67%	0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jan Vesely	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.01	0.02	3	100%	0.07	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Shelvin Mack	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	5	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	10	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Trevor Booker	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	14	60%	0.08	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Chris Singleton	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Seraphin	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.02	0.05	7	71%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Evans	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	5	30%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Crawford	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	0.00	9	30%	-0.07	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
John Wall	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.16	-0.03	-0.04	13	50%	0.01	9	-0.17	2	100%	0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.25	0.04	0.09	19	81%	0.26	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Josh Smith	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.03	-0.01	17	61%	0.17	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.04	0.02	6	67%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ivan Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.02	6	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.03	-0.03	8	31%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	0.04	13	52%	0.04	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	-0.04	10	42%	0.01	3	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	1.7	24.7	15.8	23.8	2.0	26.2	119.9
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +36.8%

ATL +1.0%

WAS -8.5%

ATL +20.5%

ATL +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	ATL	NBA	WAS	ATL	NBA
this game	16.7	14.8	15.6	96.7	110.9	102.8
season	15.0	15.7		99.5	102.5
opponent	15.9	15.7		99.5	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	17.4	14.1	18.3	17.3	16.7
ATL	14.5	15.9	13.0	15.5	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jan Vesely	24	25	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.07	4	-18	22	16.2	16.9	-0.77	15.5	14.5	1.00
Chris Singleton	33	31	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.07	-6	-8	2	17.6	16.2	1.36	15.1	14.6	0.47
Kevin Seraphin	56	56	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-11	8	16.2	17.6	-1.40	14.3	15.5	-1.19
Roger Mason Jr.	45	48	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.12	-2	-12	10	16.4	17.0	-0.62	15.8	13.6	2.13
Jordan Crawford	54	54	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.09	-11	-3	-8	16.5	17.1	-0.63	13.8	16.2	-2.40
John Wall	74	75	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.02	-9	-5	-4	16.7	16.7	0.04	14.7	14.9	-0.16
Andray Blatche	40	40	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.05	-8	-6	-2	16.8	16.7	0.11	15.8	13.9	1.86
Shelvin Mack	42	43	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.19	-4	-10	6	16.4	17.0	-0.62	15.3	14.2	1.12
Maurice Evans	25	25	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.09	-10	-4	-6	17.2	16.5	0.69	13.6	15.2	-1.58
Trevor Booker	62	63	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.01	-21	7	-28	17.4	15.3	2.09	14.2	15.9	-1.72

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Smith	75	74	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.03	22	-8	30	14.6	15.4	-0.74	17.5	13.4	4.16
Jeff Teague	83	83	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.01	22	-8	30	14.1	20.3	-6.19	17.1	13.4	3.69
Joe Johnson	70	69	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.02	17	-3	20	14.3	16.0	-1.70	17.3	15.0	2.29
Zaza Pachulia	71	71	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.08	12	2	10	15.0	14.0	0.97	16.6	17.2	-0.59
Kirk Hinrich	79	78	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.07	6	8	-2	15.3	11.3	4.01	16.4	18.5	-2.10
Jannero Pargo	28	26	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.14	-2	16	-18	15.6	14.4	1.18	15.3	17.3	-2.00
Tracy McGrady	16	17	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	15	-16	15.4	14.6	0.83	16.5	16.8	-0.33
Ivan Johnson	29	27	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.07	-4	18	-22	14.7	14.8	-0.09	16.3	16.9	-0.57
Vladimir Radmanovic	9	10	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.00	-2	16	-18	14.3	14.8	-0.46	13.0	17.2	-4.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.41,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.48,0.44,0.34,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.31,0.3,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.45,0.41,0.52,0.7,0.64,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.94,0.88,0.86,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 82, ATL 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.52,0.59,0.67,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.9%
NOH 93, OKC 104	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.44,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.85,0.89,0.79,0.87,0.85,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.0%
MIL 98, POR 110	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.53,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.54,0.63,0.66,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.4,0.37,0.27,0.3,0.19,0.29,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.63,0.64,0.74,0.74,0.78,0.86,0.93,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	92.9%