inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 95 Excitement5.9 [603] MVPGarrison Mathews (ATL): +16.2%
Dallas Mavericks 109 Comeback2.0 [1057] LVPJalen Johnson (ATL): -13.9%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Garrison Mathews0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.140.020.006108%0.181-0.021100%0.01
Kobe Bufkin0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.040.02-0.02856%0.0800.0000%0.00
Vit Krejci0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.00-0.00280%0.0500.001100%0.00
Bruno Fernando-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.010.010.03656%0.011-0.02667%-0.02
Wesley Matthews-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.010.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Bogdan Bogdanovic-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.020.011553%0.054-0.112100%0.00
Dejounte Murray-0.090,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.07-0.02-0.011744%0.004-0.09250%-0.01
De'Andre Hunter-0.100,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.05-0.040.011048%0.004-0.10771%-0.00
Clint Capela-0.130,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.02-0.02737%-0.025-0.1020%-0.03
Jalen Johnson-0.140,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.12-0.03-0.011225%-0.112-0.0300%0.00

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
P.J. Washington0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.140.010.061179%0.121-0.022100%0.01
Kyrie Irving0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.050.040.002158%0.174-0.093100%0.01
Derrick Jones Jr.0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.060.020.01864%0.091-0.03683%0.02
Daniel Gafford0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.02-0.00560%0.0400.0000%0.00
Maxi Kleber0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.01-0.00-0.01558%0.041-0.022100%0.01
Tim Hardaway Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.01-0.01944%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Luka Doncic0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.050.01-0.052547%0.125-0.123100%0.02
Dwight Powell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00-0.00167%0.021-0.0210%-0.01
Olivier-Maxence Prosper00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Brandon Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
A.J. Lawson00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jaden Hardy0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.000.02425%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Dante Exum0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.0140%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game29.41.727.315.423.62.429.7129.4
league avg25.82.328.015.028.22.332.4135.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +20.2%
DAL +11.7%
ATL -2.2%
DAL +16.2%
DAL +4.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLDALNBAATLDALNBA
this game13.314.214.591.3103.8113.9
season14.214.2115.7116.2
opponent14.414.3114.1118.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ATL12.613.814.013.013.3
DAL13.613.314.815.214.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bruno Fernando41430.09-0.590.67-0.2411-253613.613.20.4114.014.4-0.37
Vit Krejci30320.04-0.540.58-0.022-161813.913.10.7514.414.10.27
Kobe Bufkin2628-0.00-0.500.50-0.031-151614.213.01.1914.014.3-0.30
Wesley Matthews910-0.01-0.490.47-0.072-161814.813.21.5814.414.20.20
Garrison Mathews3336-0.06-0.440.38-0.091-151612.813.6-0.7113.214.7-1.52
Jalen Johnson8180-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.04-12-2-1013.014.7-1.7514.114.6-0.45
Dejounte Murray7877-0.50-0.00-0.50-0.06-151-1613.014.2-1.1914.314.00.30
Bogdan Bogdanovic7977-0.520.02-0.530.07-206-2613.811.91.9214.513.31.22
De'Andre Hunter8080-0.560.06-0.63-0.12-151-1613.114.1-0.9714.413.80.60
Clint Capela6362-0.590.09-0.670.15-2511-3613.213.6-0.4114.414.00.37

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Luka Doncic80820.62-0.120.750.0121-72814.214.2-0.0313.612.51.12
P.J. Washington77800.51-0.010.520.0715-11614.513.60.8813.413.10.28
Derrick Jones Jr.60620.410.090.310.021311214.613.61.0114.012.31.68
Kyrie Irving79770.300.200.090.0977014.015.0-1.0412.615.4-2.80
Tim Hardaway Jr.46430.210.29-0.080.21014-1413.714.6-0.8513.513.20.34
Daniel Gafford49490.190.31-0.120.13212-1014.214.2-0.0714.012.81.22
Dante Exum49480.110.39-0.280.20-317-2014.314.10.1613.213.4-0.20
Dwight Powell18180.110.39-0.28-0.0459-414.714.10.6111.513.7-2.22
Maxi Kleber47460.090.41-0.33-0.00311-813.914.5-0.5912.813.7-0.88
Olivier-Maxence Prosper210.000.50-0.50-0.06212-1016.514.22.3312.013.3-1.35
Brandon Williams210.000.50-0.50-0.06212-1016.514.22.3312.013.3-1.35
A.J. Lawson210.000.50-0.50-0.06212-1016.514.22.3312.013.3-1.35
Jaden Hardy1412-0.040.54-0.58-0.07113-1213.414.3-0.9114.513.21.32


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.39,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.92,0.85,0.91,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.97,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MEM 91, POR 1130.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.5,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.46,0.47,0.36,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.7,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.78,0.84,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.9%
SAS 79, LAC 910.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.52,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.81,0.88,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,194.9%
GSW 100, POR 1130.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.32,0.3,0.38,0.29,0.29,0.37,0.35,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.46,0.51,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.84,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.9,0.88,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.81,0.98,0.99,1,194.9%