NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	100		Excitement	5.0 [834]		MVP	Kelenna Azubuike (GSW): +13.9%
Portland Trail Blazers	113		Comeback	3.1 [987]		LVP	Marco Belinelli (GSW): -10.1%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kelenna Azubuike	0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.17	0.01	0.05	12	81%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Corey Maggette	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	-0.01	0.02	15	66%	0.14	4	-0.09	8	87%	0.01
CJ Watson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.02	0.02	-0.05	6	75%	0.09	4	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	0.00	0.04	7	86%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Randolph	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	5	62%	0.04	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.00
Jermareo Davidson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rob Kurz	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	16	50%	0.02	4	-0.10	6	83%	0.02
Marco Belinelli	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	8	25%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.15	0.01	0.04	18	65%	0.12	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	0.03	0.04	14	58%	0.09	0	0.00	5	100%	0.01
Brandon Roy	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	15	54%	0.08	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.01	-0.04	13	52%	0.09	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Rudy Fernandez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	7	71%	0.10	3	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Nicolas Batum	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	5	42%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Sergio Rodriguez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	40%	-0.00	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Greg Oden	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	8	53%	0.01	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	0.8	33.1	14.7	25.8	1.7	29.3	130.3
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +10.6%

POR +6.5%

POR +17.1%

POR +15.2%

POR +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	POR	NBA	GSW	POR	NBA
this game	14.5	17.3	15.5	111.1	124.2	106.4
season	13.8	16.7		107.3	111.0
opponent	16.0	15.0		105.8	111.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	14.9	14.3	14.9	13.8	14.5
POR	19.4	15.7	15.8	18.9	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Randolph	17	17	0.10	-0.60	0.69	-0.02	4	-17	21	16.1	14.1	2.02	21.0	16.5	4.51
Ronny Turiaf	37	37	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.22	8	-21	29	14.4	14.5	-0.12	16.3	18.0	-1.69
CJ Watson	42	43	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.03	0	-13	13	13.5	15.3	-1.83	16.6	18.0	-1.37
Anthony Morrow	25	27	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.02	-1	-12	11	14.2	14.6	-0.38	14.3	18.6	-4.26
Jermareo Davidson	11	10	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.01	-2	-11	9	13.4	14.6	-1.27	12.7	17.9	-5.20
Corey Maggette	59	60	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.12	-3	-10	7	13.8	15.8	-1.98	17.1	17.8	-0.67
Kelenna Azubuike	69	69	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.19	-1	-12	11	14.4	14.7	-0.25	17.7	16.0	1.69
Rob Kurz	14	14	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.02	-14	1	-15	15.4	14.3	1.04	13.9	18.0	-4.10
Marco Belinelli	47	46	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	0.06	-19	6	-25	15.1	13.7	1.40	17.7	17.0	0.65
Andris Biedrins	62	63	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	0.01	-19	6	-25	14.7	14.0	0.75	18.2	15.5	2.69
Jamal Crawford	67	69	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.07	-18	5	-23	14.8	13.6	1.23	18.8	12.8	6.01

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Blake	70	69	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.01	22	-9	31	18.6	13.2	5.38	14.8	13.4	1.43
LaMarcus Aldridge	69	69	0.62	-0.12	0.74	-0.02	22	-9	31	18.2	14.5	3.73	14.7	13.7	1.06
Brandon Roy	58	56	0.55	-0.05	0.61	-0.03	20	-7	27	18.1	16.0	2.04	14.7	14.2	0.48
Greg Oden	49	47	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.01	14	-1	15	17.7	16.9	0.74	15.2	13.7	1.45
Travis Outlaw	55	55	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.01	13	0	13	16.9	18.0	-1.06	13.8	15.5	-1.74
Nicolas Batum	33	34	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.03	10	3	7	18.1	16.9	1.19	15.5	13.8	1.69
Rudy Fernandez	50	50	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.27	-11	24	-35	16.5	18.4	-1.89	13.9	15.2	-1.30
Joel Przybilla	38	38	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.17	-8	21	-29	16.6	17.8	-1.24	13.8	15.0	-1.15
Sergio Rodriguez	21	21	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.11	-9	22	-31	13.2	18.6	-5.38	13.4	14.8	-1.43
Jerryd Bayless	12	11	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.08	-8	21	-29	12.8	18.0	-5.18	14.1	14.5	-0.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.32,0.3,0.38,0.29,0.29,0.37,0.35,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.46,0.51,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.84,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.9,0.88,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.81,0.98,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 98, POR 106	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.39,0.34,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.27,0.31,0.4,0.41,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.59,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.7,0.83,0.84,0.92,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1	94.1%
SEA 98, PHI 107	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.81,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.93,1,1,1	94.1%
HOU 83, UTA 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.35,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.54,0.69,0.78,0.78,0.86,0.81,0.88,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.9,0.91,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.8%