NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	98		Excitement	4.2 [992]		MVP	Al-Farouq Aminu (POR): +14.8%
Portland Trail Blazers	106		Comeback	3.0 [628]		LVP	Thaddeus Young (IND): -9.8%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Matthews	0.08	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08	0.10	0.00	0.02	8	70%	0.08	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Myles Turner	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07	0.11	-0.00	0.04	17	64%	0.11	2	-0.04	10	80%	0.01
Doug McDermott	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.01	0.02	10	70%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
TJ Leaf	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	13	52%	0.03	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.00
Cory Joseph	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	0.03	9	47%	-0.03	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Domantas Sabonis	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	0.01	-0.03	7	44%	0.03	4	-0.08	2	50%	-0.00
Darren Collison	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	8	50%	-0.01	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Thaddeus Young	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.13	-0.00	-0.03	8	12%	-0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.11	0.03	-0.00	8	89%	0.18	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Damian Lillard	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.02	-0.02	16	73%	0.24	6	-0.10	9	89%	0.02
Maurice Harkless	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.03	-0.03	7	59%	0.11	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Seth Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	8	61%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Zach Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	5	36%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Jusuf Nurkic	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	15	56%	0.05	4	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Rodney Hood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	10	55%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	60%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Layman	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	5	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.6	26.5	15.3	26.7	0.7	37.6	134.7
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +33.5%

POR +4.1%

POR +8.7%

POR +2.3%

POR +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	POR	NBA	IND	POR	NBA
this game	14.5	15.8	14.3	104.3	110.4	109.3
season	14.5	14.9		108.4	112.6
opponent	13.9	14.6		109.4	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	16.6	13.0	14.9	13.6	14.5
POR	14.1	17.0	15.1	17.0	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
TJ Leaf	7	7	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.07	-6	-2	-4	15.4	14.4	1.03	7.6	16.5	-8.90
Tyreke Evans	36	39	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.10	-1	-7	6	15.0	14.2	0.84	15.5	16.1	-0.61
Thaddeus Young	72	71	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.31	5	-13	18	13.7	17.0	-3.23	16.2	14.8	1.44
Doug McDermott	33	33	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.03	-5	-3	-2	14.9	14.3	0.62	15.5	16.0	-0.47
Cory Joseph	43	47	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.08	-4	-4	0	15.1	13.9	1.18	16.3	15.4	0.85
Darren Collison	55	54	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.24	-2	-6	4	14.1	14.9	-0.80	15.6	16.1	-0.48
Wesley Matthews	60	59	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.14	-7	-1	-6	14.3	14.8	-0.45	16.1	15.4	0.77
Bojan Bogdanovic	55	56	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.20	-5	-3	-2	13.9	15.3	-1.37	15.8	15.9	-0.09
Domantas Sabonis	48	50	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.06	-10	2	-12	15.7	13.2	2.60	16.1	15.5	0.66
Myles Turner	61	64	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.23	-5	-3	-2	14.3	14.9	-0.62	16.1	15.3	0.72

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damian Lillard	83	81	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.14	17	-9	26	15.0	20.8	-5.72	14.1	16.7	-2.57
Rodney Hood	50	48	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.06	11	-3	14	15.5	16.2	-0.72	14.0	14.9	-0.89
Zach Collins	43	42	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.00	13	-5	18	15.6	16.0	-0.48	13.9	14.9	-1.04
Maurice Harkless	54	53	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.19	5	3	2	15.7	16.0	-0.36	14.6	14.4	0.20
Enes Kanter	34	33	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.01	10	-2	12	15.4	16.1	-0.73	14.3	14.6	-0.32
Jusuf Nurkic	59	58	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.30	-3	11	-14	16.6	14.5	2.13	14.9	13.8	1.09
Evan Turner	28	30	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.12	0	8	-8	17.5	15.1	2.42	14.0	14.7	-0.65
Al-Farouq Aminu	53	52	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.26	-5	13	-18	15.9	15.7	0.14	14.4	14.6	-0.21
Seth Curry	49	47	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.25	-7	15	-22	15.9	15.8	0.11	14.9	14.1	0.83
Jake Layman	27	26	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	9	-10	16.4	15.6	0.76	16.4	13.7	2.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.39,0.34,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.27,0.31,0.4,0.41,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.59,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.7,0.83,0.84,0.92,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 82, NJN 106	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.53,0.5,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.36,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.86,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
DEN 91, SAS 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.36,0.37,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.73,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.98,1,1,1,1	95.2%
TOR 95, SAS 112	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.31,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.38,0.35,0.33,0.39,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.63,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.85,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%