NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	111		Excitement	7.9 [295]		MVP	Jaren Jackson Jr. (MEM): +31.2%
Milwaukee Bucks	101		Comeback	3.8 [72]		LVP	Pat Connaughton (MIL): -11.0%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0.31	0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.17	0.17	0.02	26	60%	0.31	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Brandon Clarke	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.09	0.12	0.00	10	64%	0.22	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Jordan Goodwin	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.06	-0.01	10	59%	0.14	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
GG Jackson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	12	60%	0.12	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Lamar Stevens	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	10	45%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake LaRavia	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.02	5	64%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Trey Jemison	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	7	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Scotty Pippen Jr.	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	7	43%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Luke Kennard	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	4	37%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Portis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.01	-0.00	16	59%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.06	-0.01	10	48%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Brook Lopez	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.12	-0.01	0.03	14	81%	0.25	5	-0.17	3	67%	-0.01
AJ Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	7	60%	0.07	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.03
TyTy Washington Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	8	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Andre Jackson Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.13,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	0.01	0.01	23	43%	0.04	3	-0.11	3	33%	-0.02
Pat Connaughton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.12	-0.01	-0.02	12	25%	-0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.4	24.7	13.8	27.2	2.4	31.3	125.1
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +32.5%

MEM +3.2%

MIL -0.5%

MEM +17.3%

MIL -2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	MIL	NBA	MEM	MIL	NBA
this game	14.9	15.6	14.5	118.1	106.3	113.9
season	14.8	14.3		106.3	117.0
opponent	14.3	14.3		114.8	113.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	15.1	12.8	15.4	16.4	14.9
MIL	14.9	14.8	15.9	17.1	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jake LaRavia	53	56	0.87	-0.37	1.23	0.31	19	-9	28	14.0	16.0	-1.93	16.3	14.6	1.64
Jaren Jackson Jr.	72	71	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.23	19	-9	28	14.6	15.7	-1.13	16.3	13.5	2.77
Jordan Goodwin	55	56	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.23	16	-6	22	14.3	15.7	-1.46	15.9	15.2	0.73
GG Jackson	72	73	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.13	19	-9	28	14.7	15.3	-0.54	15.9	14.7	1.21
Lamar Stevens	43	42	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.23	9	1	8	15.3	14.5	0.77	17.6	14.0	3.60
Brandon Clarke	40	42	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.09	6	4	2	14.1	15.4	-1.37	14.9	16.2	-1.31
Scotty Pippen Jr.	39	39	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	-0.02	-6	16	-22	15.7	14.3	1.46	15.2	15.9	-0.73
Luke Kennard	56	54	-0.41	0.91	-1.31	-0.02	-13	23	-36	15.7	13.6	2.11	14.4	17.3	-2.92
Trey Jemison	40	42	-0.52	1.02	-1.53	0.04	-19	29	-48	15.8	14.1	1.68	13.4	17.4	-4.00

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danilo Gallinari	16	15	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.06	6	-16	22	11.7	16.4	-4.64	14.2	15.0	-0.79
TyTy Washington Jr.	21	18	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.01	3	-13	16	13.5	16.2	-2.74	13.7	15.1	-1.41
Giannis Antetokounmpo	67	63	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.12	3	-13	16	14.4	18.4	-3.95	15.4	13.8	1.57
Jae Crowder	49	48	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.02	-2	-8	6	15.2	16.1	-0.88	15.4	14.3	1.13
Andre Jackson Jr.	13	15	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.06	-5	-5	0	16.8	15.4	1.34	14.3	15.0	-0.63
Pat Connaughton	66	69	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.11	-9	-1	-8	15.7	15.5	0.18	15.1	14.3	0.79
AJ Green	43	42	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.21	-7	-3	-4	15.9	15.3	0.58	14.2	15.4	-1.13
Bobby Portis	55	53	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.18	-11	1	-12	16.9	13.8	3.04	14.3	15.6	-1.28
Brook Lopez	72	72	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.25	-12	2	-14	16.3	13.4	2.93	15.2	13.7	1.54
Malik Beasley	73	75	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.17	-16	6	-22	16.3	13.3	3.04	14.8	15.2	-0.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.54,0.64,0.67,0.79,0.74,0.69,0.67,0.52,0.44,0.32,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.18,0.07,0.1,0.1,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 129, LAL 118	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.68,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.72,0.64,0.55,0.65,0.62,0.52,0.44,0.36,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.52,0.42,0.47,0.24,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.07,0,0	91.6%
LAC 99, HOU 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.6,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.55,0.58,0.73,0.79,0.79,0.71,0.62,0.63,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.28,0.1,0.07,0.15,0.04,0	91.1%
PHX 98, LAC 92	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.65,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.81,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.56,0.44,0.52,0.54,0.38,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.35,0.31,0.22,0.03,0.01,0	91.1%