NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	129		Excitement	7.0 [449]		MVP	Will Barton (DEN): +38.4%
Los Angeles Lakers	118		Comeback	2.7 [684]		LVP	Monte Morris (DEN): -17.4%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Will Barton	0.38	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.38	0.24	0.17	0.02	12	89%	0.42	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Aaron Gordon	0.25	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.18	0.07	0.00	14	75%	0.25	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Davon Reed	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.10	0.09	0.00	4	100%	0.19	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nikola Jokic	0.18	0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18	0.09	0.13	0.03	22	69%	0.32	7	-0.14	11	73%	-0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.07	0.06	0.00	9	67%	0.18	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Bones Hyland	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	9	53%	0.04	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Austin Rivers	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaMychal Green	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Monte Morris	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17	-0.09	-0.07	0.02	9	27%	-0.16	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Avery Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.01	0.00	5	100%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.11,0.05,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.07	-0.01	18	47%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stanley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.00	0.07	-0.02	2	75%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.17,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.13	-0.04	0.01	15	67%	0.14	2	-0.05	10	50%	-0.10
Wenyen Gabriel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Talen Horton-Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	6	54%	0.07	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Anthony Davis	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0	0.00	0.03	-0.01	0.01	25	50%	0.06	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.03
Dwight Howard	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	5	57%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	5	30%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Monk	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	9	61%	0.06	5	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.7	3.4	30.3	15.7	27.7	3.4	34.2	142.3
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +51.0%

DEN +4.4%

LAL -8.6%

DEN +6.6%

LAL -3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	LAL	NBA	DEN	LAL	NBA
this game	14.4	13.6	14.5	124.0	115.7	110.8
season	14.8	14.3		113.4	109.5
opponent	14.2	14.4		112.2	111.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	12.7	15.7	14.0	15.3	14.4
LAL	14.0	12.0	13.6	14.7	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Gordon	80	80	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.09	14	-3	17	14.7	13.2	1.53	13.0	15.7	-2.75
Davon Reed	44	43	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.26	8	3	5	15.2	13.8	1.34	14.3	13.0	1.35
Monte Morris	78	78	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.16	7	4	3	14.4	14.3	0.05	13.2	14.9	-1.71
Will Barton	83	80	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.13	8	3	5	13.6	17.4	-3.81	13.3	14.6	-1.36
Nikola Jokic	75	72	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.15	7	4	3	13.5	16.6	-3.05	13.5	13.8	-0.28
Austin Rivers	49	44	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.02	10	1	9	14.8	14.0	0.78	15.2	12.3	2.88
Bones Hyland	56	56	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.08	11	0	11	14.6	14.1	0.56	14.0	13.0	0.96
DeMarcus Cousins	29	30	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.03	4	7	-3	16.6	13.5	3.05	13.8	13.5	0.28
JaMychal Green	26	27	-0.29	0.79	-1.07	0.12	-14	25	-39	13.1	14.8	-1.74	12.6	13.9	-1.38

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Russell Westbrook	72	73	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.05	1	-12	13	12.7	15.7	-3.02	15.2	12.4	2.85
Stanley Johnson	30	33	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.06	1	-12	13	14.5	13.2	1.37	15.4	13.9	1.48
Dwight Howard	52	52	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.12	1	-12	13	13.3	13.9	-0.61	13.8	14.9	-1.12
Wenyen Gabriel	22	21	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-8	5	14.6	13.3	1.36	17.4	13.6	3.81
Carmelo Anthony	52	57	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.03	-8	-3	-5	13.9	13.3	0.61	14.5	14.2	0.31
D.J. Augustin	35	37	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.11	-5	-6	1	14.3	13.2	1.18	12.5	15.4	-2.86
Avery Bradley	61	61	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.01	-9	-2	-7	13.3	13.9	-0.60	14.0	15.0	-1.01
Talen Horton-Tucker	36	36	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.15	-11	0	-11	14.1	13.3	0.80	15.8	13.6	2.17
Malik Monk	74	74	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.14	-12	1	-13	13.5	13.7	-0.25	13.6	16.4	-2.79
Anthony Davis	76	76	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.23	-10	-1	-9	13.4	14.1	-0.73	13.9	15.7	-1.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.68,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.72,0.64,0.55,0.65,0.62,0.52,0.44,0.36,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.52,0.42,0.47,0.24,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.07,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 107, DAL 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.67,0.67,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.44,0.48,0.6,0.5,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.32,0.41,0.2,0.13,0.04,0.01,0,0.04,0	92.9%
LAL 110, CHA 99	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.63,0.57,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.55,0.62,0.55,0.54,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.63,0.42,0.41,0.24,0.09,0.01,0,0,0,0	92.9%
MIN 85, DEN 77	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.63,0.61,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.32,0.26,0.16,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0	92.7%