NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	113		Excitement	4.7 [829]		MVP	Vit Krejci (ATL): +29.6%
Chicago Bulls	101		Comeback	2.0 [380]		LVP	Alex Caruso (CHI): -5.6%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vit Krejci	0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.24,0.24,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.22	0.08	0.01	6	150%	0.32	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.18	0.00	0.04	7	100%	0.16	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Clint Capela	0.07	0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.00	9	60%	0.08	1	-0.02	7	43%	-0.02
Bruno Fernando	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	6	67%	0.05	2	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Garrison Mathews	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.00	0.03	7	64%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	-0.01	-0.04	12	42%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Dejounte Murray	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.02	-0.04	17	50%	0.06	5	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bufkin	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	4	37%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
De'Andre Hunter	-0.05	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.01	-0.05	12	33%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	8	59%	0.06	1	-0.01	6	50%	-0.03
Ayo Dosunmu	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	13	58%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Terry Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	67%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Coby White	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	21	48%	0.04	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Adama Sanogo	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Onuralp Bitim	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dalen Terry	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Torrey Craig	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	7	36%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jevon Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	0.04	4	37%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.03	-0.00	0.08	23	53%	0.02	3	-0.07	12	92%	0.02
Alex Caruso	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	13	31%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.3	24.6	15.3	24.6	2.4	33.6	126.2
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +65.8%

CHI -0.9%

CHI -11.9%

CHI -4.3%

ATL +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	CHI	NBA	ATL	CHI	NBA
this game	14.1	15.6	14.5	118.9	102.0	113.9
season	14.2	14.5		115.7	113.4
opponent	15.0	14.3		115.1	118.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	13.8	14.5	12.2	15.8	14.1
CHI	14.9	14.9	18.3	14.2	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bogdan Bogdanovic	68	71	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.18	19	-7	26	13.8	14.8	-0.94	15.8	14.9	0.97
Jalen Johnson	51	54	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.11	15	-3	18	13.9	14.4	-0.52	14.6	16.6	-2.00
Dejounte Murray	66	69	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.00	11	1	10	14.0	14.3	-0.30	15.6	15.5	0.03
Clint Capela	53	57	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.04	12	0	12	13.2	15.3	-2.16	15.1	16.2	-1.19
De'Andre Hunter	65	68	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.05	8	4	4	13.9	14.5	-0.63	15.6	15.5	0.01
Vit Krejci	48	51	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.25	1	11	-10	13.9	14.3	-0.34	16.0	15.0	1.00
Garrison Mathews	34	35	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.19	0	12	-12	14.0	14.1	-0.12	15.7	15.5	0.20
Bruno Fernando	42	42	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.18	0	12	-12	15.3	13.2	2.16	16.2	15.1	1.19
Kobe Bufkin	33	34	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.18	0	12	-12	14.6	13.8	0.81	15.9	15.4	0.54
Wesley Matthews	15	14	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.21	-6	18	-24	16.9	13.6	3.36	14.6	15.7	-1.06

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adama Sanogo	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-17	22	9.5	15.8	-6.31	18.0	13.9	4.07
Onuralp Bitim	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-17	22	9.5	15.8	-6.31	18.0	13.9	4.07
Terry Taylor	19	18	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.13	2	-14	16	16.9	15.2	1.66	15.4	13.8	1.65
Jevon Carter	14	14	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.11	1	-13	14	15.5	15.6	-0.06	12.4	14.4	-1.97
Andre Drummond	39	38	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.06	-4	-8	4	16.0	15.3	0.69	15.1	13.5	1.62
Dalen Terry	16	16	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.10	-3	-9	6	16.0	15.5	0.53	14.5	14.0	0.47
DeMar DeRozan	81	76	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.06	-6	-6	0	15.8	14.6	1.22	14.1	14.1	0.07
Torrey Craig	25	25	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.06	-12	0	-12	17.3	15.0	2.31	12.6	14.6	-1.99
Ayo Dosunmu	73	70	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.01	-10	-2	-8	15.9	14.6	1.33	14.0	14.3	-0.24
Coby White	83	80	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.08	-9	-3	-6	15.2	17.4	-2.17	14.1	14.1	-0.03
Nikola Vucevic	66	63	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.00	-12	0	-12	15.6	15.5	0.15	13.7	15.0	-1.30
Alex Caruso	71	67	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.03	-17	5	-22	14.7	17.7	-3.01	14.0	14.4	-0.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.65,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.27,0.35,0.2,0.25,0.17,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.09,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 93, TOR 76	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
BOS 101, IND 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.25,0.24,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.02,0,0,0	95.8%
MIA 114, PHI 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.6,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.25,0.34,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.17,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%