NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	96		Excitement	7.0 [432]		MVP	Trendon Watford (BKN): +10.2%
Toronto Raptors	88		Comeback	1.9 [738]		LVP	Lonnie Walker IV (BKN): -11.7%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trendon Watford	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.07,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.05	0.02	10	76%	0.24	4	-0.14	5	60%	-0.03
Dennis Schroder	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.01	0.04	-0.03	15	56%	0.13	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Dorian Finney-Smith	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.03	0.04	6	79%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jalen Wilson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.02	0.01	10	52%	0.06	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Day'Ron Sharpe	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Noah Clowney	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.04	0.00	7	44%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.06
Nic Claxton	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.03	0.02	5	75%	0.09	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Jacob Gilyard	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mikal Bridges	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.19,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.14	0.01	-0.02	15	43%	0.08	7	-0.19	0	0%	0.00
Lonnie Walker IV	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	6	0%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Javon Freeman-Liberty	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.03	0.00	12	58%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Gary Trent Jr.	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.00	-0.03	17	50%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bruce Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	7	62%	0.12	2	-0.09	2	50%	-0.03
Kobi Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	6	58%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ochai Agbaji	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0	0.00	0.03	-0.02	0.01	11	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mouhamadou Gueye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gradey Dick	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	0.01	-0.01	11	33%	-0.04	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	9	50%	0.02	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.00
Jordan Nwora	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	7	31%	-0.07	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	1.8	24.0	14.8	25.2	2.5	34.5	126.8
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +27.6%

BKN +9.3%

BKN +36.7%

TOR -20.8%

TOR -2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	TOR	NBA	BKN	TOR	NBA
this game	17.0	14.5	14.5	105.5	95.7	113.9
season	14.8	14.0		111.9	111.3
opponent	14.7	14.5		117.6	114.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	14.5	16.0	17.3	20.9	17.0
TOR	15.5	14.7	14.0	13.7	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nic Claxton	66	67	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.21	14	-6	20	16.7	17.8	-1.14	15.2	12.5	2.74
Dorian Finney-Smith	55	58	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.28	7	1	6	17.8	15.8	1.99	14.3	14.8	-0.50
Dennis Schroder	69	69	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.23	8	0	8	16.8	17.6	-0.82	14.9	13.3	1.51
Mikal Bridges	69	70	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.26	7	1	6	17.4	15.8	1.63	14.5	14.5	-0.03
Jalen Wilson	57	58	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.14	8	0	8	16.8	17.3	-0.50	15.6	12.6	3.00
Noah Clowney	41	40	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.07	7	1	6	16.2	17.7	-1.44	14.4	14.5	-0.09
Trendon Watford	40	41	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.14	2	6	-4	17.0	17.0	0.02	13.7	15.1	-1.39
Jacob Gilyard	22	23	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	8	-8	17.6	16.8	0.82	13.3	14.9	-1.51
Day'Ron Sharpe	17	16	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	-0.03	-6	14	-20	16.7	17.1	-0.38	13.0	14.8	-1.79
Lonnie Walker IV	19	18	-0.23	0.73	-0.95	-0.02	-7	15	-22	16.9	17.0	-0.15	11.9	15.1	-3.15

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Garrett Temple	31	31	0.07	-0.57	0.63	-0.05	4	-12	16	12.9	15.3	-2.38	17.6	16.7	0.91
Gradey Dick	64	65	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.13	6	-14	20	13.7	16.2	-2.50	16.3	18.8	-2.52
Kobi Simmons	34	33	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.03	1	-9	10	13.5	15.0	-1.51	17.6	16.7	0.93
Jordan Nwora	39	38	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.10	-1	-7	6	14.1	14.8	-0.70	17.7	16.5	1.25
Mouhamadou Gueye	22	21	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.09	-8	0	-8	16.3	13.9	2.42	16.8	17.1	-0.26
Bruce Brown	42	40	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.23	-5	-3	-2	13.5	15.3	-1.71	18.8	15.6	3.28
Javon Freeman-Liberty	55	56	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.14	-9	1	-10	15.3	13.2	2.16	16.6	17.6	-0.96
Gary Trent Jr.	58	57	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.18	-9	1	-10	15.0	13.6	1.32	16.6	17.6	-1.02
Kelly Olynyk	57	56	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.18	-9	1	-10	15.0	13.7	1.28	16.5	17.8	-1.24
Ochai Agbaji	58	58	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.20	-10	2	-12	15.2	13.3	1.88	16.7	17.6	-0.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.29,0.42,0.33,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.28,0.42,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.31,0.43,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.59,0.37,0.37,0.18,0.19,0.17,0.19,0.07,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 97, CHA 89	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.5,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.29,0.3,0.33,0.34,0.44,0.5,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.45,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.3,0.48,0.53,0.66,0.57,0.47,0.38,0.19,0.26,0.12,0.06,0.1,0.02,0,0,0	93.3%
SAS 84, MIA 77	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.25,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.48,0.32,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.02,0	93.3%
HOU 125, MIN 120	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.32,0.5,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.31,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.43,0.32,0.25,0.11,0.17,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.09,0	92.9%