NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	97		Excitement	6.4 [534]		MVP	Brandon Miller (CHA): +14.9%
Charlotte Hornets	89		Comeback	2.0 [872]		LVP	Cody Martin (CHA): -17.9%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danuel House Jr.	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.04	0.07	-0.00	4	82%	0.15	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Tobias Harris	0.10	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.08	0.03	15	57%	0.15	2	-0.04	7	86%	0.02
Joel Embiid	0.07	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	-0.01	0.01	23	57%	0.12	3	-0.05	12	92%	0.03
Nicolas Batum	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.02	0.04	6	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Reed	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Council IV	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terquavion Smith	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Furkan Korkmaz	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrese Maxey	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.02	-0.03	22	35%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Marcus Morris Sr.	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	7	36%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Miller	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.10	0.05	-0.01	17	59%	0.16	1	-0.01	5	100%	0.03
JT Thor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.00	5	70%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Miles Bridges	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	0.00	0.04	22	54%	0.11	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Bryce McGowens	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Washington	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	8	50%	0.02	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Terry Rozier	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	18	46%	0.04	3	-0.10	5	20%	-0.09
Nathan Mensah	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Nick Smith Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	4	0%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	0.00	4	25%	-0.06	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Cody Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.08	-0.08	0.02	7	29%	-0.09	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.3	26.3	14.6	26.2	1.8	33.5	130.0
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +0.7%

PHI +13.2%

PHI +1.1%

PHI +35.0%

CHA -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	CHA	NBA	PHI	CHA	NBA
this game	14.5	14.7	14.5	98.0	90.8	113.9
season	14.9	14.8		115.6	108.3
opponent	14.5	14.5		118.7	112.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	16.0	14.6	15.2	12.5	14.5
CHA	14.6	17.3	13.1	14.3	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tobias Harris	73	72	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.20	18	-10	28	14.7	13.9	0.83	15.2	13.5	1.75
Tyrese Maxey	86	86	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.14	17	-9	26	14.6	14.1	0.48	14.8	14.4	0.37
Paul Reed	25	24	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.20	10	-2	12	12.1	15.3	-3.23	15.9	14.4	1.55
Danuel House Jr.	58	57	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.27	7	1	6	13.5	15.9	-2.40	14.8	14.7	0.11
Nicolas Batum	59	59	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.09	11	-3	14	15.1	13.6	1.46	14.7	14.9	-0.21
Furkan Korkmaz	33	32	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.16	-4	12	-16	14.0	14.7	-0.70	14.1	15.1	-0.97
Joel Embiid	74	74	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.07	-2	10	-12	15.3	12.1	3.23	14.4	15.9	-1.55
Ricky Council IV	3	2	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	12	-16	3.0	14.9	-11.85	3.5	15.0	-11.48
Terquavion Smith	3	2	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	12	-16	3.0	14.9	-11.85	3.5	15.0	-11.48
Kelly Oubre Jr.	54	55	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.03	-4	12	-16	15.7	13.0	2.74	14.7	14.8	-0.16
Marcus Morris Sr.	27	27	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	-0.07	-5	13	-18	15.2	14.2	0.95	16.0	14.3	1.78

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nathan Mensah	34	32	0.27	-0.77	1.05	0.01	9	-17	26	16.2	14.0	2.28	16.0	13.8	2.18
Bryce McGowens	5	4	0.19	-0.69	0.88	0.04	5	-13	18	9.6	15.0	-5.42	12.7	14.6	-1.82
Ish Smith	38	36	0.15	-0.65	0.80	0.03	4	-12	16	15.2	14.4	0.80	14.7	14.3	0.40
Miles Bridges	83	83	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.16	8	-16	24	14.0	18.7	-4.63	14.9	12.5	2.38
JT Thor	43	44	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.20	5	-13	18	15.2	14.4	0.87	14.0	14.9	-0.81
Cody Martin	61	62	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.12	-11	3	-14	13.8	16.3	-2.49	14.4	14.7	-0.37
Brandon Miller	71	73	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.25	-7	-1	-6	15.1	13.8	1.28	14.7	14.0	0.67
Terry Rozier	72	76	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.25	-9	1	-10	14.0	16.8	-2.76	14.3	15.1	-0.83
Nick Smith Jr.	31	30	-0.79	0.29	-1.08	-0.20	-20	12	-32	16.7	13.8	2.92	13.2	15.0	-1.81
P.J. Washington	52	55	-0.92	0.42	-1.34	-0.22	-24	16	-40	15.1	14.4	0.71	14.3	14.8	-0.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.5,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.29,0.3,0.33,0.34,0.44,0.5,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.45,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.3,0.48,0.53,0.66,0.57,0.47,0.38,0.19,0.26,0.12,0.06,0.1,0.02,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 116, SEA 111	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.41,0.45,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.41,0.48,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.44,0.52,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.11,0.09,0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0	93.7%
DET 93, TOR 83	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.41,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.43,0.56,0.6,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.05,0.01,0,0	93.5%
LAC 93, SAS 84	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.26,0.27,0.41,0.36,0.4,0.54,0.52,0.29,0.25,0.19,0.26,0.2,0.13,0.1,0.15,0,0.08,0	92.6%