NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	116		Excitement	6.4 [536]		MVP	Rashard Lewis (SEA): +17.8%
Seattle SuperSonics	111		Comeback	1.2 [604]		LVP	Luke Ridnour (SEA): -12.5%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ruben Patterson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.03	0.02	10	61%	0.09	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
Juan Dixon	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.10	0.01	0.04	8	68%	0.06	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.01
Travis Outlaw	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	6	58%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	5	75%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Sebastian Telfair	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.03	-0.02	7	31%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Zach Randolph	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.05,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.02	0.03	24	58%	0.15	5	-0.15	7	57%	-0.03
Viktor Khryapa	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.01	0.02	5	60%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	-0.03	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.01	0.03	6	56%	0.00	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	-0.03	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.03	0.02	6	81%	0.09	4	-0.12	4	75%	-0.00
Jarrett Jack	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03	-0.07	0.02	-0.02	8	30%	-0.02	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.02

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.21	0.02	0.05	15	71%	0.18	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.01
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	4	75%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	0.01	0.04	6	69%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Ray Allen	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	0.03	0.05	18	68%	0.21	6	-0.19	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Swift	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.03	9	47%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.03	-0.02	6	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Johan Petro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.04	0.02	7	33%	-0.05	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	-0.05	0.07	13	50%	-0.07	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.3	28.7	15.6	27.1	2.6	38.3	141.0
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +26.5%

SEA -11.6%

POR +26.1%

POR +6.2%

POR +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	SEA	NBA	POR	SEA	NBA
this game	17.6	13.3	15.6	124.7	119.4	104.4
season	16.6	15.0		99.4	108.9
opponent	15.8	15.7		112.2	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	17.2	18.7	18.2	16.6	17.6
SEA	12.8	13.4	13.1	14.0	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zach Randolph	69	66	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.33	8	-3	11	18.9	14.1	4.74	13.2	13.5	-0.28
Theo Ratliff	45	44	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.30	8	-3	11	17.4	17.9	-0.52	14.0	12.8	1.20
Jarrett Jack	53	54	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.33	3	2	1	16.8	18.7	-1.94	13.7	12.7	1.00
Viktor Khryapa	51	50	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.09	8	-3	11	18.5	16.6	1.87	13.2	13.5	-0.27
Sebastian Telfair	41	41	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.37	-2	7	-9	17.2	18.0	-0.76	14.0	12.8	1.17
Ruben Patterson	40	42	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.26	-1	6	-7	18.1	17.3	0.80	14.4	12.4	1.97
Juan Dixon	55	54	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.08	3	2	1	16.9	18.7	-1.80	12.0	15.1	-3.07
Steve Blake	48	48	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.06	1	4	-3	16.6	18.8	-2.15	12.1	14.6	-2.56
Joel Przybilla	46	47	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	5	-5	18.0	17.3	0.79	13.0	13.7	-0.65
Travis Outlaw	17	19	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	-0.04	-3	8	-11	17.6	17.6	0.00	15.1	12.9	2.17

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronald Murray	25	24	0.13	-0.63	0.75	0.01	4	-9	13	14.7	12.8	1.86	17.7	17.6	0.09
Nick Collison	32	31	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.00	3	-8	11	13.1	13.5	-0.40	19.4	16.8	2.61
Rashard Lewis	78	77	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.33	5	-10	15	12.5	17.5	-4.94	17.6	17.6	0.02
Reggie Evans	20	21	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.16	-2	-3	1	14.9	12.9	2.01	20.2	16.9	3.29
Robert Swift	54	55	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.22	-1	-4	3	12.5	14.5	-2.05	17.9	17.3	0.51
Johan Petro	39	38	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.14	-4	-1	-3	14.5	12.5	2.05	17.3	17.9	-0.51
Damien Wilkins	23	24	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.14	-6	1	-7	14.2	13.0	1.13	14.3	18.8	-4.46
Vladimir Radmanovic	33	33	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.07	-10	5	-15	13.9	13.0	0.91	16.8	18.1	-1.33
Luke Ridnour	84	85	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.42	0	-5	5	12.7	18.7	-5.92	17.7	17.1	0.57
Ray Allen	77	77	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.30	-14	9	-23	13.5	12.4	1.07	17.6	18.0	-0.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.41,0.45,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.41,0.48,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.44,0.52,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.11,0.09,0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 86, POR 76	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.45,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.28,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.34,0.38,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.26,0.15,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0	93.6%
LAC 98, MEM 91	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.38,0.4,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.42,0.55,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.21,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.01,0.04,0.01,0	93.3%
CHI 105, MIL 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.38,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.44,0.6,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.33,0.32,0.1,0.03,0.09,0.03,0.02,0,0,0	93.2%