NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	93		Excitement	7.0 [418]		MVP	Eric Piatkowski (LAC): +16.8%
San Antonio Spurs	84		Comeback	1.3 [571]		LVP	Rodney Rogers (LAC): -23.7%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Piatkowski	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.05	0.12	0.00	6	67%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pooh Richardson	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.12,0.13	0.06	0.06	-0.01	6	79%	0.13	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Brent Barry	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.04	0.00	6	62%	0.07	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.02
Darrick Martin	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.01	7	60%	0.04	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Lamond Murray	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	71%	0.02	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Lorenzen Wright	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	11	52%	-0.00	2	-0.03	9	67%	-0.02
Loy Vaught	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	15	44%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Malik Sealy	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	10	60%	0.04	3	-0.09	5	100%	0.03
Terry Dehere	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	1	0%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	0.00	1	37%	-0.05	2	-0.06	6	50%	-0.03
Rodney Rogers	-0.24	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.20	-0.05	-0.02	14	7%	-0.20	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vernon Maxwell	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.09,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	21	50%	0.07	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Greg Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Monty Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Gaylon Nickerson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	60%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Stephen Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	57%	0.00	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Will Perdue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	6	53%	0.00	1	-0.05	3	67%	-0.02
Sean Elliott	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.00	0.02	14	46%	-0.05	1	-0.03	9	89%	0.03
Avery Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	10	46%	-0.01	2	-0.08	4	25%	-0.04
Carl Herrera	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	3	37%	-0.05	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Cory Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.12	-0.07	0.01	4	20%	-0.09	3	-0.10	2	100%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	1.6	29.6	15.7	21.2	1.6	34.2	129.0
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +17.1%

LAC +16.0%

LAC +13.2%

LAC +8.1%

SAS -4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	SAS	NBA	LAC	SAS	NBA
this game	17.8	15.0	15.6	105.7	95.5	104.4
season	15.8	16.8		102.9	100.8
opponent	15.4	15.1		109.4	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	16.3	17.6	19.6	17.5	17.8
SAS	14.4	18.4	13.7	13.8	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lorenzen Wright	72	71	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.23	13	-4	17	17.9	16.9	0.99	14.3	17.8	-3.53
Rodney Rogers	58	59	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.13	9	0	9	17.7	17.9	-0.23	14.1	16.7	-2.61
Pooh Richardson	44	44	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.29	3	6	-3	17.5	18.0	-0.41	15.7	14.2	1.45
Brent Barry	38	39	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.32	2	7	-5	19.2	16.7	2.48	16.7	13.6	3.03
Bo Outlaw	32	32	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.25	1	8	-7	18.1	17.5	0.59	18.3	13.1	5.24
Darrick Martin	39	40	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.08	11	-2	13	17.9	17.6	0.31	14.2	15.6	-1.43
Loy Vaught	68	67	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.07	10	-1	11	16.2	22.9	-6.66	14.7	15.8	-1.09
Eric Piatkowski	20	19	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.22	0	9	-9	22.3	16.4	5.89	15.0	15.0	0.03
Malik Sealy	50	49	0.13	0.37	-0.25	-0.08	7	2	5	16.7	19.2	-2.48	13.6	16.7	-3.03
Lamond Murray	14	15	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.01	-6	15	-21	17.1	17.9	-0.72	16.6	14.6	1.96
Terry Dehere	5	5	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.04	-5	14	-19	18.2	17.7	0.48	11.8	15.2	-3.37

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Anderson	24	23	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.03	2	-11	13	17.5	14.0	3.53	16.6	18.2	-1.60
Gaylon Nickerson	15	16	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.13	6	-15	21	14.6	15.1	-0.45	18.9	17.5	1.45
Stephen Howard	17	16	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.00	-1	-8	7	17.7	14.3	3.38	14.9	18.4	-3.51
Cory Alexander	22	21	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.23	-13	4	-17	13.5	15.5	-1.97	15.7	18.4	-2.67
Carl Herrera	57	59	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.21	-1	-8	7	14.1	16.5	-2.38	18.3	16.6	1.68
Monty Williams	24	25	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.09	-12	3	-15	15.7	14.7	0.95	18.6	17.4	1.13
Avery Johnson	66	67	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.46	4	-13	17	15.5	13.5	1.97	18.4	15.7	2.67
Sean Elliott	74	72	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.20	-9	0	-9	15.3	13.3	2.01	16.8	22.2	-5.42
Vernon Maxwell	70	70	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.31	-7	-2	-5	14.3	17.6	-3.24	18.6	14.4	4.23
Will Perdue	71	71	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.22	-14	5	-19	14.3	17.8	-3.53	17.9	17.1	0.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.26,0.27,0.41,0.36,0.4,0.54,0.52,0.29,0.25,0.19,0.26,0.2,0.13,0.1,0.15,0,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 67, MIA 65	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.46,0.34,0.36,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.31,0.28,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.43,0.33,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.29,0.14,0.19,0.16,0.11,0.15,0	93.4%
LAL 101, SAS 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.49,0.45,0.34,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.33,0.39,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.38,0.24,0.19,0.17,0.29,0.17,0.07,0.01,0.02,0.02,0	93.4%
POR 116, SEA 111	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.41,0.45,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.41,0.48,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.44,0.52,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.11,0.09,0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0	93.2%