inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 67 Excitement7.3 [352] MVPLaPhonso Ellis (MIA): +3.4%
Miami Heat 65 Comeback1.2 [896] LVPTravis Best (MIA): -31.2%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bruce Bowen-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.00450%0.021-0.0300%0.00
Kevin Willis-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.0120%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Danny Ferry-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.01350%0.022-0.0500%0.00
Manu Ginobili-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.01625%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Steve Kerr-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.010.0020%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Tony Parker-0.060,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06-0.02-0.06-0.02962%0.053-0.111182%0.01
Malik Rose-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06-0.100.03-0.01761%0.076-0.13475%-0.00
David Robinson-0.120,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.11-0.01-0.00237%-0.034-0.09475%-0.00
Stephen Jackson-0.160,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.16-0.12-0.06-0.01844%0.025-0.182100%0.02
Tim Duncan-0.160,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16-0.12-0.05-0.011352%0.056-0.22771%-0.02

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
LaPhonso Ellis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.010.00560%0.0300.0000%0.00
Mike James0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.02-0.00837%0.0100.0000%0.00
Sean Marks00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Brian Grant0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.01-0.011142%-0.0100.0020%-0.04
Eddie House0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.020.0010%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Rasual Butler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.050.00-0.0020%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Malik Allen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.08-0.08-0.02-0.06-0.00837%-0.0800.0000%0.00
Caron Butler0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.13,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.23-0.23-0.13-0.10-0.001633%-0.152-0.084100%0.04
Vladimir Stepania0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23-0.23-0.15-0.08-0.00128%-0.2300.0000%0.00
Eddie Jones0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.29-0.29-0.18-0.13-0.021745%0.038-0.324100%0.06
Travis Best0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.17,-0.31-0.31-0.12-0.22-0.041225%-0.222-0.0900%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.22.728.115.425.42.736.5134.9
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.9149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +82.0%
SAS +11.5%
MIA -20.4%
MIA -29.9%
SAS +6.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASMIANBASASMIANBA
this game14.916.915.574.471.4101.6
season15.716.3102.594.6
opponent15.915.4100.796.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS13.714.713.717.814.9
MIA18.416.616.915.816.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Malik Rose53540.69-0.190.870.3910-81814.315.9-1.6016.916.9-0.09
Bruce Bowen72710.55-0.050.600.434-2614.715.8-1.0717.016.40.56
Tim Duncan86870.500.000.490.4420215.110.74.3716.819.0-2.21
Tony Parker72740.430.070.360.256-41014.715.9-1.2817.115.81.31
Manu Ginobili43440.350.150.190.089-71614.415.4-1.0518.015.92.15
Stephen Jackson44470.320.180.140.41-35-816.013.82.2015.618.3-2.72
David Robinson24230.070.43-0.360.0120214.914.9-0.0616.417.1-0.67
Steve Kerr1918-0.080.58-0.660.07-57-1215.414.80.5714.917.4-2.43
Kevin Willis77-0.140.64-0.780.03-68-1416.114.81.3217.416.80.58
Danny Ferry3030-0.180.68-0.860.08-911-2015.314.70.5218.216.21.95

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Sean Marks450.14-0.640.78-0.036-81416.716.9-0.1515.414.90.51
Rasual Butler13130.07-0.570.65-0.044-61016.517.0-0.5013.115.2-2.16
Eddie House430.01-0.510.52-0.052-4612.017.1-5.1128.014.513.53
Mike James3028-0.00-0.500.50-0.186-81416.117.3-1.1816.214.31.88
LaPhonso Ellis2424-0.15-0.350.20-0.06-31-417.216.80.3814.215.2-1.03
Vladimir Stepania5351-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.13-64-1018.215.03.2513.416.9-3.44
Malik Allen3536-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.310-2215.018.1-3.1217.013.53.46
Brian Grant6664-0.38-0.12-0.27-0.35-1-1016.717.3-0.5915.214.30.92
Travis Best6162-0.50-0.00-0.50-0.26-86-1417.316.11.1814.316.2-1.88
Eddie Jones8383-0.500.00-0.51-0.39-42-617.015.51.5214.718.1-3.49
Caron Butler8281-0.580.08-0.66-0.40-64-1017.115.31.7315.014.10.90


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.46,0.34,0.36,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.31,0.28,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.43,0.33,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.29,0.14,0.19,0.16,0.11,0.15,0
GameSimilarity Score
DAL 107, CHI 970.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.2,0.23,0.16,0.24,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.02,0,093.5%
LAC 93, SAS 840.5,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.26,0.27,0.41,0.36,0.4,0.54,0.52,0.29,0.25,0.19,0.26,0.2,0.13,0.1,0.15,0,0.08,093.4%
LAL 96, MEM 920.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.25,0.3,0.32,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.37,0.34,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.38,0.32,0.28,0.34,0.43,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.34,0.24,0.15,0.06,0.19,0.27,0.25,0.21,0.1,0.01,093.2%