inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 114 Excitement7.1 [406] MVPJabari Walker (POR): +21.1%
Portland Trail Blazers 111 Comeback1.4 [1031] LVPDalano Banton (POR): -17.7%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope0.160,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.090.06-0.01693%0.182-0.022100%0.01
Reggie Jackson0.100,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.10.080.01-0.001266%0.183-0.081173%0.02
Aaron Gordon0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04-0.030.05-0.022144%0.091-0.05875%0.01
Christian Braun0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.010.02-0.02-0.011550%0.051-0.03450%-0.02
DeAndre Jordan0.010,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.03-0.020.00765%0.082-0.073100%0.01
Michael Porter Jr.0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.030.050.011246%0.072-0.06250%-0.01
Collin Gillespie-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.02-0.00-0.011050%0.052-0.05250%-0.01
Justin Holiday-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.00-0.010.00250%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Peyton Watson-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.00-0.00623%-0.0500.001100%0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jabari Walker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.210.210.120.09-0.00794%0.231-0.022100%0.02
Toumani Camara0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.140.140.080.05-0.011167%0.141-0.012100%0.02
Duop Reath0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.16-0.040.051477%0.122-0.053100%0.01
Kris Murray0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.05-0.030.02-0.051342%0.071-0.0200%0.00
Rayan Rupert0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.020.02-0.01260%0.042-0.041100%0.01
Moses Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.02-0.00444%0.021-0.0410%-0.01
Scoot Henderson0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1-0.10-0.02-0.030.052052%0.014-0.112100%0.01
Ashton Hagans0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.07-0.040.00325%-0.032-0.082100%0.02
Dalano Banton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.18-0.10-0.060.011933%-0.141-0.03475%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.91.730.414.532.21.836.8141.2
league avg25.82.328.015.028.22.332.4135.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +15.0%
DEN +0.4%
DEN +29.1%
DEN +4.2%
DEN +1.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENPORNBADENPORNBA
this game14.814.414.5115.2113.3113.9
season15.014.8116.4106.9
opponent14.514.6116.2111.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN14.614.617.013.214.8
POR15.414.813.614.014.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Christian Braun75730.52-0.020.550.385-2714.116.9-2.7714.913.01.96
Michael Porter Jr.72720.430.070.370.52-36-915.313.41.8914.215.1-0.90
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope69710.350.150.210.50-58-1315.313.81.4614.015.6-1.57
Aaron Gordon74760.340.160.190.52-69-1515.413.22.1114.215.2-1.04
Collin Gillespie40390.310.190.12-0.0713-102313.116.0-2.9315.513.71.78
DeAndre Jordan43400.190.31-0.11-0.1010-71714.714.9-0.3014.614.30.31
Reggie Jackson59590.190.31-0.120.48-1013-2316.013.12.9313.715.5-1.78
Justin Holiday31290.090.41-0.32-0.086-3914.115.1-1.0014.114.5-0.40
Peyton Watson32310.060.44-0.38-0.095-2713.915.2-1.3015.414.01.42

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ashton Hagans4445-0.10-0.400.31-0.07-1-2114.614.30.3514.115.4-1.30
Duop Reath5453-0.11-0.390.28-0.379-122113.415.7-2.2916.213.32.87
Rayan Rupert3133-0.12-0.380.260.12-85-1314.314.5-0.1415.714.41.27
Moses Brown2324-0.22-0.280.060.02-85-1315.214.20.9913.015.4-2.35
Toumani Camara8080-0.23-0.270.04-0.478-111914.115.8-1.7315.412.33.10
Jabari Walker5353-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.05-85-1315.613.02.5813.816.0-2.21
Dalano Banton6869-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.37-1-2114.813.61.1314.216.2-2.03
Kris Murray8080-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.480-3314.314.9-0.5814.914.30.69
Scoot Henderson5758-0.570.07-0.63-0.39-63-914.114.9-0.8315.114.50.61


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.25,0.19,0.2,0.3,0.19,0.26,0.31,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.33,0.38,0.32,0.28,0.24,0.37,0.32,0.42,0.48,0.3,0.58,0.42,0.21,0.19,0.17,0.08,0.01,0,0.01,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIA 86, NYK 790.5,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.18,0.19,0.21,0.25,0.27,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.16,0.15,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.26,0.32,0.34,0.43,0.33,0.43,0.37,0.21,0.12,0.13,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.05,093.1%
IND 89, DET 840.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.29,0.33,0.39,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.34,0.34,0.43,0.52,0.37,0.14,0.24,0.14,0.14,0.04,0.03,0.02,093.0%
BOS 111, DAL 980.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.31,0.26,0.31,0.33,0.41,0.2,0.19,0.25,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.23,0.28,0.27,0.21,0.37,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.38,0.42,0.32,0.36,0.19,0.1,0.03,0,0,0,092.4%