NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	111		Excitement	6.2 [602]		MVP	Isaiah Thomas (BOS): +16.8%
Dallas Mavericks	98		Comeback	1.2 [804]		LVP	Deron Williams (DAL): -9.7%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Thomas	0.17	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.13	0.03	-0.00	19	62%	0.19	1	-0.02	9	78%	0.06
Kelly Olynyk	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.05	0.08	0.00	10	68%	0.20	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Amir Johnson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.01	4	87%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	0.06	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	-0.03	-0.01	11	73%	0.13	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Gerald Green	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.00	8	62%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.03	0.00	2	75%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	9	48%	0.00	1	-0.00	3	67%	0.01
Jordan Mickey	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Young	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.04	3	83%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	12	46%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Terry Rozier	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Yogi Ferrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.13	0.01	-0.00	11	83%	0.19	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	12	53%	0.05	0	0.00	10	70%	-0.03
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	6	53%	0.07	1	-0.04	5	80%	0.00
Justin Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Brussino	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	-0.01	16	51%	0.05	2	-0.06	5	60%	-0.03
Dwight Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Salah Mejri	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Seth Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	-0.02	9	44%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.02	-0.06	0.04	17	49%	-0.03	1	-0.05	3	100%	0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.02	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	1.7	28.1	14.8	31.2	2.5	29.5	130.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +27.6%

BOS +9.4%

BOS +10.5%

BOS +4.9%

DAL -2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	DAL	NBA	BOS	DAL	NBA
this game	15.2	15.6	14.8	118.1	105.4	107.7
season	14.7	16.2		110.1	104.4
opponent	14.7	14.9		107.2	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.4	14.3	15.5	15.3	15.2
DAL	16.6	17.7	13.3	15.3	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaiah Thomas	65	64	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.16	12	1	11	15.5	14.4	1.08	16.0	14.8	1.29
James Young	25	23	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.12	12	1	11	14.9	15.3	-0.38	15.3	15.8	-0.45
Kelly Olynyk	56	55	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.06	13	0	13	15.6	14.5	1.06	16.0	15.1	0.91
Marcus Smart	67	68	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.11	11	2	9	15.2	15.1	0.12	16.1	14.4	1.70
Al Horford	64	63	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.13	6	7	-1	15.1	15.3	-0.21	15.3	16.4	-1.11
Amir Johnson	41	42	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.02	7	6	1	14.5	15.7	-1.15	15.0	16.2	-1.13
Terry Rozier	41	39	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.00	2	11	-9	14.2	15.9	-1.75	14.8	16.2	-1.38
Jae Crowder	57	57	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.00	2	11	-9	15.6	14.4	1.24	15.1	16.5	-1.44
Jonas Jerebko	25	24	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.06	-1	14	-15	15.4	15.1	0.27	17.4	15.0	2.39
Jordan Mickey	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	12	-11	16.0	15.1	0.86	8.5	15.8	-7.30
Gerald Green	27	28	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.03	0	13	-13	15.0	15.2	-0.22	16.1	15.4	0.71

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Deron Williams	23	25	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.05	3	-16	19	18.2	14.8	3.36	16.2	14.8	1.36
Justin Anderson	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-12	11	8.5	15.8	-7.30	16.0	15.1	0.86
Nicolas Brussino	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-12	11	8.5	15.8	-7.30	16.0	15.1	0.86
Salah Mejri	27	29	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.02	0	-13	13	15.2	15.8	-0.60	14.8	15.3	-0.58
Devin Harris	40	40	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.02	-2	-11	9	15.4	15.8	-0.34	14.2	15.9	-1.67
Dirk Nowitzki	55	56	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.12	0	-13	13	15.9	15.3	0.60	15.7	14.3	1.42
Wesley Matthews	68	69	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.07	-5	-8	3	15.5	15.9	-0.38	15.1	15.2	-0.06
Dorian Finney-Smith	18	18	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.04	-8	-5	-3	17.1	15.3	1.82	15.5	15.1	0.42
Harrison Barnes	69	70	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.11	-6	-7	1	15.2	17.0	-1.88	15.1	15.2	-0.07
Seth Curry	67	67	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.04	-12	-1	-11	14.5	18.6	-4.07	14.8	16.1	-1.33
Dwight Powell	33	31	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.01	-19	6	-25	17.0	14.9	2.15	14.5	15.5	-1.01
Yogi Ferrell	61	61	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.17	-14	1	-15	16.0	15.0	0.98	15.7	14.2	1.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.31,0.26,0.31,0.33,0.41,0.2,0.19,0.25,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.23,0.28,0.27,0.21,0.37,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.38,0.42,0.32,0.36,0.19,0.1,0.03,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 91, UTA 79	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.32,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.43,0.29,0.32,0.26,0.15,0.23,0.07,0.02,0,0,0	93.5%
LAL 90, ATL 83	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.27,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.21,0.24,0.17,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0	93.2%
CLE 98, WAS 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.5,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.32,0.29,0.22,0.24,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.27,0.17,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0	92.9%