NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	98		Excitement	6.0 [477]		MVP	James Singleton (WAS): +19.9%
Washington Wizards	89		Comeback	1.4 [341]		LVP	Shelvin Mack (WAS): -7.2%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Omri Casspi	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.07	0.08	-0.00	5	67%	0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Luke Harangody	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.06	0.08	0.00	11	62%	0.16	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Anthony Parker	0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.03	0.01	5	83%	0.13	1	-0.01	8	87%	0.02
Alonzo Gee	0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.02	0.05	-0.02	8	52%	0.12	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.04
Manny Harris	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	58%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lester Hudson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.04	0.00	7	50%	0.06	2	-0.04	6	50%	-0.02
Luke Walton	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	3	67%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Donald Sloan	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	10	59%	0.09	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Tristan Thompson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	0.00	11	54%	0.07	4	-0.10	4	100%	0.02
Samardo Samuels	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Singleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.08	0.11	-0.01	10	65%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jan Vesely	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	10	52%	0.07	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Maurice Evans	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cartier Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	9	32%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Chris Singleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Seraphin	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	12	54%	0.05	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	6	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.04	0.01	16	53%	0.03	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
Jordan Crawford	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	17	50%	0.02	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Shelvin Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.9	2.3	26.5	15.6	27.6	2.4	38.9	137.1
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +24.2%

CLE +32.3%

CLE +4.6%

WAS -11.4%

CLE +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	WAS	NBA	CLE	WAS	NBA
this game	17.1	15.1	15.6	108.9	100.0	102.8
season	15.5	15.0		99.5	99.5
opponent	15.7	15.6		104.6	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	18.4	15.1	15.8	19.5	17.1
WAS	15.0	15.6	15.5	14.1	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Omri Casspi	36	35	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.15	13	-4	17	17.2	17.1	0.11	15.9	14.6	1.30
Samardo Samuels	15	15	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.04	14	-5	19	16.3	17.3	-1.00	15.9	14.9	0.96
Manny Harris	35	34	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.12	8	1	7	16.1	17.7	-1.66	16.1	14.4	1.65
Luke Walton	31	31	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.11	7	2	5	15.7	17.8	-2.07	15.4	14.9	0.49
Tristan Thompson	66	64	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.27	0	9	-9	17.5	16.0	1.44	14.8	15.8	-0.96
Lester Hudson	36	37	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.08	6	3	3	16.3	17.6	-1.32	15.6	14.7	0.90
Anthony Parker	51	51	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.09	4	5	-1	17.6	16.5	1.08	14.3	16.1	-1.77
Donald Sloan	58	56	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.18	0	9	-9	17.8	15.8	1.95	14.8	15.5	-0.76
Luke Harangody	68	68	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.14	-3	12	-15	17.5	15.8	1.76	15.0	15.3	-0.29
Alonzo Gee	54	54	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.08	-4	13	-17	17.1	17.2	-0.11	14.6	15.9	-1.30

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Singleton	36	37	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.07	2	-11	13	14.4	15.5	-1.05	17.8	16.6	1.12
Maurice Evans	9	9	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-8	7	17.9	14.7	3.14	14.7	17.4	-2.70
Jan Vesely	65	66	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.17	4	-13	17	15.6	13.5	2.15	17.5	16.1	1.39
Roger Mason Jr.	25	25	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.09	-1	-8	7	15.2	15.0	0.24	15.6	17.7	-2.02
John Wall	75	75	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.25	0	-9	9	14.8	16.6	-1.78	17.2	16.7	0.52
Shelvin Mack	15	15	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.01	-9	0	-9	15.7	14.9	0.72	16.7	17.2	-0.52
Jordan Crawford	64	65	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.15	-8	-1	-7	15.0	15.2	-0.24	17.7	15.6	2.02
James Singleton	46	45	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.19	-8	-1	-7	14.9	15.2	-0.32	17.4	16.8	0.51
Cartier Martin	44	44	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.15	-10	1	-11	15.0	15.1	-0.13	17.0	17.2	-0.11
Kevin Seraphin	66	69	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.11	-14	5	-19	14.8	15.9	-1.08	16.6	18.8	-2.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.5,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.32,0.29,0.22,0.24,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.27,0.17,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 90, ATL 83	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.27,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.21,0.24,0.17,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0	94.5%
MIA 86, POR 76	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.45,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.28,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.34,0.38,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.26,0.15,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0	93.0%
BOS 111, DAL 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.31,0.26,0.31,0.33,0.41,0.2,0.19,0.25,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.23,0.28,0.27,0.21,0.37,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.38,0.42,0.32,0.36,0.19,0.1,0.03,0,0,0,0	92.9%