inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 86 Excitement6.7 [466] MVPDwyane Wade (MIA): +11.4%
New York Knicks 79 Comeback1.0 [909] LVPIman Shumpert (NYK): -20.3%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dwyane Wade0.110,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.08,0.17,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.11,0.11-0.010.11-0.021860%0.287-0.17956%-0.04
Chris Bosh0.080,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.080.010.07-0.011848%0.111-0.02667%-0.03
James Ennis0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.060.01-0.00487%0.0800.0000%0.00
Shawne Williams0.020,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.010.00450%0.0200.002100%0.01
Josh McRoberts0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.03-0.02-0.00558%0.0100.00250%-0.00
Udonis Haslem-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.03-0.00440%0.041-0.0520%-0.06
Norris Cole-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.00337%-0.0100.00250%-0.02
Shabazz Napier-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Mario Chalmers-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.07-0.02-0.02437%0.013-0.0900%0.00
Luol Deng-0.120,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.10-0.03-0.021133%-0.062-0.05875%-0.02

New York Knicks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Amar'e Stoudemire0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.110.110.040.080.011356%0.151-0.04862%-0.02
Carmelo Anthony0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.030.030.06-0.030.002650%0.0300.001080%-0.00
Quincy Acy0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.011100%0.041-0.021100%0.01
Travis Wear0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jason Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.00-0.0320%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Pablo Prigioni0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
J.R. Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.0140%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07-0.07-0.06-0.01-0.01518%-0.051-0.0110%-0.03
Samuel Dalembert0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.06-0.02-0.01617%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Jose Calderon0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.08-0.020.01950%-0.015-0.1100%0.00
Shane Larkin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.03-0.100.00550%-0.052-0.0900%0.00
Iman Shumpert0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2-0.20-0.14-0.060.001323%-0.162-0.0500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.82.730.217.527.32.436.3143.2
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +72.8%
NYK -5.5%
NYK -13.8%
NYK -6.1%
MIA +2.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIANYKNBAMIANYKNBA
this game15.616.415.194.588.8104.2
season16.016.1102.498.5
opponent15.015.3108.3105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA15.716.616.514.115.6
NYK14.319.417.015.316.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dwyane Wade63630.490.010.490.3261515.116.9-1.8115.418.7-3.28
Chris Bosh64640.450.050.400.3634-115.715.60.0615.418.9-3.49
Josh McRoberts48490.400.100.300.178-1915.216.2-1.0016.416.30.13
Luol Deng71710.330.170.160.3307-715.914.71.1415.519.6-4.06
Shabazz Napier36340.330.170.160.1561516.115.30.7817.815.52.26
James Ennis20180.170.33-0.17-0.0470714.715.9-1.1419.615.54.06
Norris Cole41400.150.35-0.200.0343115.315.9-0.5416.116.6-0.49
Shawne Williams38360.140.36-0.210.1116-517.114.62.4816.216.5-0.20
Mario Chalmers42410.030.47-0.450.08-29-1116.415.01.3417.015.91.08
Udonis Haslem32290.010.49-0.49-0.0525-314.616.2-1.6118.615.33.29

New York Knicks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Travis Wear16180.14-0.640.79-0.036-131919.115.83.2813.716.1-2.46
Tim Hardaway Jr.30330.05-0.550.60-0.2410-172715.916.6-0.7114.016.6-2.52
Shane Larkin3031-0.08-0.420.35-0.02-2-5317.615.71.9016.515.21.33
Quincy Acy4443-0.09-0.410.31-0.07-1-6516.016.7-0.6917.014.42.58
J.R. Smith1112-0.15-0.350.210.03-6-1-516.116.4-0.3213.516.0-2.46
Pablo Prigioni1010-0.20-0.300.110.07-92-1120.315.94.4316.615.51.08
Jason Smith1112-0.20-0.300.100.06-92-1119.016.03.0016.015.60.42
Carmelo Anthony7679-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.371-8915.819.5-3.7115.814.80.93
Samuel Dalembert3535-0.35-0.15-0.19-0.05-103-1318.315.13.1616.215.30.96
Iman Shumpert4544-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.11-103-1315.916.9-1.0217.114.32.77
Jose Calderon6666-0.42-0.08-0.35-0.36-2-5315.319.4-4.1315.216.9-1.71
Amar'e Stoudemire7172-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.38-3-4115.719.1-3.4415.018.2-3.19


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.18,0.19,0.21,0.25,0.27,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.16,0.15,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.26,0.32,0.34,0.43,0.33,0.43,0.37,0.21,0.12,0.13,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.05,0
GameSimilarity Score
CHH 120, NJN 1130.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.22,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.25,0.23,0.28,0.2,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.17,0.16,0.27,0.26,0.32,0.26,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,094.1%
BOS 81, DET 710.5,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.32,0.28,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.17,0.24,0.23,0.29,0.25,0.23,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.11,0.12,0.18,0.26,0.19,0.2,0.26,0.28,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.41,0.32,0.26,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.02,0.01,0,093.6%
SAS 105, PHX 930.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.43,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.53,0.5,0.44,0.38,0.3,0.22,0.18,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.27,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.22,0.33,0.32,0.23,0.16,0.15,0.29,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.21,0.12,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,093.4%