NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	120		Excitement	6.7 [268]		MVP	Scott Burrell (NJN): +17.5%
New Jersey Nets	113		Comeback	1.1 [345]		LVP	Kendall Gill (NJN): -27.9%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chuck Person	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.11	0.02	0.01	9	89%	0.16	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.03	0.08	-0.00	11	72%	0.20	4	-0.09	3	100%	0.02
Eddie Jones	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.01	0.06	-0.01	9	61%	0.13	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Brown	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	-0.00	0.00	9	67%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Phills	0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	16	66%	0.16	4	-0.13	3	67%	0.01
Elden Campbell	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0	0.06	-0.04	0.03	11	73%	0.07	2	-0.07	8	75%	-0.02
Corey Beck	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	2	67%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Eldridge Recasner	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.01	4	60%	0.00	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Ricky Davis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	5	43%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scott Burrell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.14	0.07	0.03	10	85%	0.20	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamie Feick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	10	71%	0.09	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Keith Van Horn	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	-0.00	18	54%	0.04	0	0.00	12	92%	0.05
David Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mark Hendrickson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	14	47%	-0.01	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Elliot Perry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	0.00	-0.06	0.05	22	54%	-0.06	3	-0.04	6	83%	0.02
Kendall Gill	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.2,-0.2,-0.19,-0.24,-0.26,-0.28	-0.28	-0.18	-0.09	0.01	14	31%	-0.16	5	-0.12	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.6	1.8	29.2	14.7	24.2	1.7	34.0	127.2
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +74.8%

NJN -1.5%

NJN -10.6%

NJN -16.8%

CHH +4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	NJN	NBA	CHH	NJN	NBA
this game	14.1	14.6	15.8	117.6	114.1	99.6
season	15.7	15.0		99.2	96.5
opponent	15.6	15.5		100.6	99.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	14.6	11.5	17.0	14.0	14.1
NJN	14.2	15.9	15.0	13.2	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Wesley	79	78	0.74	-0.24	0.99	0.24	17	-10	27	14.4	13.2	1.19	14.9	13.4	1.44
Chuck Person	39	36	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.20	10	-3	13	13.7	14.4	-0.70	15.1	14.3	0.77
Bobby Phills	90	89	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.24	7	0	7	14.3	12.9	1.34	14.2	18.0	-3.82
Brad Miller	20	18	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.21	3	4	-1	16.1	13.6	2.49	18.8	13.6	5.15
Elden Campbell	82	81	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.09	4	3	1	13.6	16.1	-2.49	13.6	18.8	-5.15
Eddie Jones	68	66	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.15	1	6	-5	14.5	13.3	1.16	14.6	14.5	0.08
Eldridge Recasner	44	43	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.17	-3	10	-13	14.2	14.0	0.23	14.3	14.7	-0.42
Ricky Davis	13	10	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.05	0	7	-7	13.5	14.2	-0.73	18.0	14.2	3.82
Chucky Brown	62	63	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.09	-3	10	-13	14.3	13.8	0.45	14.3	15.1	-0.77
Corey Beck	13	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	8	-9	10.0	14.7	-4.70	13.2	14.7	-1.56

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Hendrickson	0	3	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.00	-1	-6	5	0.0	14.6	-14.57	12.0	14.2	-2.16
Elliot Perry	9	11	-0.04	-0.47	0.43	-0.01	-1	-6	5	12.7	14.8	-2.09	8.8	14.7	-5.92
Lucious Harris	15	17	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.07	1	-8	9	15.0	14.5	0.51	11.2	14.7	-3.44
David Vaughn	7	9	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.04	-6	-1	-5	17.4	14.3	3.08	13.2	14.2	-0.96
Kerry Kittles	65	67	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.29	0	-7	7	13.7	16.2	-2.45	14.0	14.3	-0.29
Keith Van Horn	95	95	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.25	-2	-5	3	14.2	22.2	-8.01	14.0	16.0	-2.04
Jamie Feick	81	81	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.22	-4	-3	-1	15.2	11.9	3.27	14.6	12.1	2.46
Scott Burrell	66	65	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.12	-10	3	-13	14.5	14.6	-0.11	14.3	13.8	0.49
Kendall Gill	67	71	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.28	-6	-1	-5	14.8	14.2	0.60	14.5	13.1	1.39
Stephon Marbury	90	91	-0.47	-0.04	-0.43	-0.29	-6	-1	-5	14.8	12.7	2.09	14.7	8.8	5.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.22,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.25,0.23,0.28,0.2,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.17,0.16,0.27,0.26,0.32,0.26,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 104, NYK 102	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.3,0.27,0.2,0.21,0.2,0.14,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.13,0.19,0.24,0.3,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.38,0.43,0.33,0.28,0.21,0.11,0.06,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0	94.2%
MIA 86, NYK 79	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.18,0.19,0.21,0.25,0.27,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.16,0.15,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.26,0.32,0.34,0.43,0.33,0.43,0.37,0.21,0.12,0.13,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.05,0	94.1%
DAL 113, DET 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.3,0.32,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.15,0.16,0.21,0.26,0.28,0.24,0.28,0.36,0.26,0.18,0.21,0.24,0.23,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.01,0,0,0	94.1%