NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	104		Excitement	5.8 [625]		MVP	Tracy Murray (WAS): +22.2%
New York Knicks	102		Comeback	1.0 [302]		LVP	God Shammgod (WAS): -17.5%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tracy Murray	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.22,0.22	0.15	0.06	-0.01	14	77%	0.24	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.04
Chris Whitney	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.03	-0.02	11	62%	0.15	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.00
Chris Webber	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	13	56%	0.06	1	-0.04	8	37%	-0.10
Terry Davis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darvin Ham	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	7	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Juwan Howard	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.08	0.01	-0.06	12	55%	0.07	4	-0.09	9	44%	-0.03
Ledell Eackles	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.02	-0.01	3	33%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	8	25%	-0.08
God Shammgod	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17	-0.15	-0.07	-0.05	5	36%	-0.03	5	-0.15	4	75%	0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terry Cummings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,0.01,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.06	-0.00	9	60%	0.13	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Chris Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	5	54%	0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	60%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Larry Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	12	45%	-0.04	0	0.00	7	86%	0.01
Buck Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	7	44%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Charlie Ward	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.03	7	61%	0.00	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Charles Oakley	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	9	44%	0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
John Starks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	9	56%	-0.02	3	-0.06	7	100%	0.02
Allan Houston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.04	-0.04	0.04	19	53%	-0.02	4	-0.10	5	80%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.6	33.2	17.3	31.3	2.5	36.5	148.0
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +68.4%

NYK -19.9%

WAS +12.5%

NYK -10.5%

NYK -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	NYK	NBA	WAS	NYK	NBA
this game	15.5	14.4	15.6	107.2	106.2	102.5
season	15.1	15.7		102.8	100.4
opponent	16.3	15.6		98.6	102.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.9	14.0	17.1	15.9	15.5
NYK	15.1	16.0	14.2	12.3	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tracy Murray	58	55	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.32	8	-6	14	15.5	15.4	0.05	14.3	14.5	-0.20
Ben Wallace	70	67	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.17	12	-10	22	16.2	13.5	2.70	14.9	13.2	1.62
Juwan Howard	86	86	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.36	5	-3	8	15.4	16.1	-0.71	14.2	16.3	-2.15
Chris Webber	85	85	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.44	2	0	2	15.5	14.9	0.62	14.2	15.7	-1.53
Chris Whitney	63	65	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.52	-8	10	-18	15.6	15.2	0.40	13.7	15.7	-1.97
God Shammgod	41	37	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.08	5	-3	8	13.6	16.8	-3.17	14.7	14.2	0.49
Darvin Ham	7	6	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	-1	4	16.3	15.4	0.89	19.8	14.0	5.82
Terry Davis	17	19	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	1	0	15.4	15.5	-0.06	14.6	14.3	0.25
Calbert Cheaney	41	41	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.33	-12	14	-26	15.8	15.2	0.63	14.3	14.4	-0.10
Ledell Eackles	17	19	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.03	-6	8	-14	15.1	15.5	-0.49	14.5	14.4	0.12

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Starks	42	42	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.19	8	-10	18	14.3	14.5	-0.20	16.0	15.0	0.99
Charles Oakley	69	71	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.36	6	-8	14	13.9	15.7	-1.85	14.7	17.4	-2.68
Charlie Ward	72	74	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.41	6	-8	14	14.0	15.6	-1.61	15.0	17.0	-2.07
Buck Williams	48	47	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.23	0	-2	2	13.4	15.3	-1.92	15.9	15.1	0.83
Terry Cummings	36	37	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.10	-5	3	-8	15.6	13.6	1.93	16.4	14.9	1.48
Allan Houston	89	90	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.53	8	-10	18	13.8	21.4	-7.61	15.5	15.0	0.50
Chris Mills	35	34	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.08	-9	7	-16	15.9	13.5	2.42	16.2	15.0	1.19
Larry Johnson	43	42	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.10	-19	17	-36	16.1	13.0	3.11	15.2	15.7	-0.52
Chris Childs	46	48	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.42	-5	3	-8	14.2	14.5	-0.26	15.3	15.6	-0.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.3,0.27,0.2,0.21,0.2,0.14,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.13,0.19,0.24,0.3,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.38,0.43,0.33,0.28,0.21,0.11,0.06,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 120, NJN 113	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.22,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.25,0.23,0.28,0.2,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.17,0.16,0.27,0.26,0.32,0.26,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0	94.2%
DAL 107, CHA 96	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.29,0.28,0.18,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.23,0.22,0.06,0.08,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.18,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.25,0.26,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.37,0.13,0.06,0.05,0.04,0,0,0,0	93.7%
LAL 96, MIA 88	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.42,0.33,0.23,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.22,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.17,0.22,0.27,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.19,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0	93.7%