NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	107		Excitement	5.9 [646]		MVP	Chandler Parsons (DAL): +14.9%
Charlotte Hornets	96		Comeback	1.3 [376]		LVP	Raymond Felton (DAL): -12.6%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chandler Parsons	0.15	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.16	0.06	0.07	14	80%	0.19	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.06	-0.00	18	53%	0.10	1	-0.01	7	86%	0.02
Deron Williams	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.04	0.01	11	62%	0.12	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Devin Harris	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.01	8	67%	0.11	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
David Lee	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	8	75%	0.10	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.07	0.08	-0.03	8	28%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Zaza Pachulia	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	6	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Anderson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	25%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Raymond Felton	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	11	39%	-0.03	5	-0.10	1	0%	-0.03

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.03	0.02	7	75%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.06	-0.00	3	58%	0.09	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.03
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.08,0.13,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.05	0.01	18	56%	0.19	5	-0.15	9	78%	0.00
Troy Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	0.03	14	62%	0.08	4	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01
Frank Kaminsky	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	7	29%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Marvin Williams	0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.02	-0.02	0.05	17	50%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Cody Zeller	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	0.02	-0.00	3	12%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Jeremy Lin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	0.00	3	10%	-0.08	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.4	35.5	15.4	29.2	1.7	32.2	141.4
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +36.7%

CHA -0.7%

DAL +4.7%

DAL +8.2%

DAL +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	CHA	NBA	DAL	CHA	NBA
this game	15.3	14.0	14.9	108.1	98.0	105.1
season	15.5	15.1		105.0	105.5
opponent	14.8	14.7		103.6	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	16.2	13.2	16.5	15.5	15.3
CHA	13.8	14.0	14.1	14.0	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dirk Nowitzki	59	57	0.78	-0.28	1.05	0.10	23	-12	35	15.3	15.3	-0.05	13.9	14.0	-0.07
Raymond Felton	64	66	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.16	17	-6	23	15.6	14.6	1.00	14.1	13.7	0.36
Wesley Matthews	76	76	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.09	19	-8	27	15.7	13.9	1.77	14.2	13.2	1.00
Deron Williams	59	61	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.28	4	7	-3	16.2	13.9	2.22	13.8	14.2	-0.37
Chandler Parsons	77	77	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.24	2	9	-7	15.5	14.4	1.17	13.7	14.8	-1.02
David Lee	54	54	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.05	7	4	3	14.6	16.0	-1.41	13.6	14.3	-0.69
Justin Anderson	19	18	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.04	6	5	1	13.0	15.8	-2.81	12.6	14.3	-1.72
Jose Juan Barea	32	29	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	0.03	-8	19	-27	14.3	15.7	-1.42	13.7	14.1	-0.33
Devin Harris	43	41	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	-0.01	-7	18	-25	14.6	15.8	-1.14	14.6	13.5	1.16
Zaza Pachulia	12	11	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	-0.02	-8	19	-27	16.2	15.1	1.02	16.1	13.7	2.40

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Troy Daniels	32	33	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.08	-6	-5	-1	13.6	14.1	-0.50	14.1	15.9	-1.77
Jeremy Lin	41	41	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.01	-4	-7	3	13.4	14.3	-0.89	14.4	15.9	-1.42
Al Jefferson	46	46	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.03	-7	-4	-3	13.4	14.4	-1.03	14.1	16.3	-2.26
Marvin Williams	66	65	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.06	-5	-6	1	14.1	13.7	0.40	16.2	13.5	2.70
Frank Kaminsky	32	34	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.12	-6	-5	-1	13.7	14.1	-0.40	13.5	16.2	-2.70
Kemba Walker	81	81	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.23	-3	-8	5	13.7	15.2	-1.47	15.7	13.6	2.10
Cody Zeller	52	53	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.20	-4	-7	3	14.4	13.4	1.03	16.3	14.1	2.26
Nicolas Batum	79	81	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.16	-11	0	-11	14.2	12.8	1.39	15.4	14.6	0.81
Courtney Lee	61	61	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.23	-9	-2	-7	14.5	13.1	1.37	15.8	14.5	1.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.29,0.28,0.18,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.23,0.22,0.06,0.08,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.18,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.25,0.26,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.37,0.13,0.06,0.05,0.04,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 104, NYK 102	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.3,0.27,0.2,0.21,0.2,0.14,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.13,0.19,0.24,0.3,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.38,0.43,0.33,0.28,0.21,0.11,0.06,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0	93.7%
LAL 96, MIA 88	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.42,0.33,0.23,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.22,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.17,0.22,0.27,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.19,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0	93.5%
DET 115, CLE 107	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.31,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.25,0.15,0.18,0.13,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.13,0.17,0.16,0.11,0.2,0.25,0.26,0.34,0.29,0.34,0.32,0.17,0.05,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0	93.1%