NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	105		Excitement	6.5 [505]		MVP	Rodney Rogers (PHX): +16.1%
Phoenix Suns	93		Comeback	1.4 [634]		LVP	Anfernee Hardaway (PHX): -22.9%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charles Smith	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.04	-0.02	14	63%	0.17	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Terry Porter	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.04	0.02	7	74%	0.11	1	-0.04	5	100%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.04	0.05	-0.01	24	53%	0.12	3	-0.09	12	83%	0.06
David Robinson	-0.00	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.01	5	59%	-0.00	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.02
Steven Smith	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	9	50%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	7	43%	0.01	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.02	0.01	7	37%	-0.07	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Malik Rose	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.05	-0.02	7	43%	-0.05	2	-0.07	7	43%	-0.03

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.11	0.06	0.00	24	57%	0.16	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	14	52%	0.04	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
John Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dan Majerle	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	46%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	19	48%	-0.00	3	-0.09	8	75%	-0.01
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	8	25%	-0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.20	-0.04	-0.00	16	21%	-0.16	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	1.7	28.6	15.0	23.6	2.0	34.2	127.2
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +27.0%

SAS +21.8%

SAS +16.5%

PHX -17.0%

SAS +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	PHX	NBA	SAS	PHX	NBA
this game	14.5	14.8	15.6	107.1	93.9	102.3
season	15.8	15.1		104.3	101.0
opponent	15.8	15.7		102.1	98.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	15.2	14.2	13.8	14.6	14.5
PHX	15.4	14.1	15.5	14.2	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terry Porter	59	59	0.77	-0.27	1.04	-0.02	27	-15	42	14.0	15.1	-1.11	13.8	16.3	-2.51
Antonio Daniels	54	53	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.05	19	-7	26	14.6	14.3	0.34	13.6	16.1	-2.49
Charles Smith	46	48	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.19	14	-2	16	14.5	14.4	0.08	14.2	15.3	-1.11
Malik Rose	74	74	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.15	8	4	4	14.3	15.0	-0.66	13.8	17.8	-3.99
Tim Duncan	94	93	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.19	6	6	0	14.4	14.7	-0.30	14.9	13.0	1.89
David Robinson	28	31	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.04	10	2	8	14.9	14.3	0.66	16.8	13.8	3.00
Bruce Bowen	48	48	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.03	-1	13	-14	14.4	14.5	-0.08	15.2	14.4	0.88
Steven Smith	49	49	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.12	-11	23	-34	14.0	14.9	-0.92	16.1	13.4	2.70
Tony Parker	38	40	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	0.14	-12	24	-36	15.5	13.8	1.74	16.3	13.8	2.51

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jake Voskuhl	41	40	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.14	7	-19	26	13.6	15.6	-2.08	13.4	15.2	-1.83
Bo Outlaw	28	29	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.14	0	-12	12	13.4	15.3	-1.93	16.2	13.7	2.43
Anfernee Hardaway	66	67	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.06	-4	-8	4	15.6	13.1	2.53	14.5	14.3	0.20
Rodney Rogers	85	85	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.17	-1	-11	10	15.2	12.5	2.65	14.6	13.4	1.24
Shawn Marion	89	89	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.19	-1	-11	10	15.0	12.5	2.53	14.6	13.6	1.00
Dan Majerle	10	9	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.04	-11	-1	-10	12.5	15.0	-2.53	13.6	14.6	-1.00
John Wallace	14	13	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.03	-11	-1	-10	12.5	15.2	-2.65	13.4	14.6	-1.24
Tony Delk	56	55	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.33	0	-12	12	13.6	16.3	-2.65	14.7	14.1	0.61
Jake Tsakalidis	28	27	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.17	-17	5	-22	17.6	13.6	3.99	14.3	14.5	-0.22
Stephon Marbury	78	76	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	0.05	-22	10	-32	15.0	14.0	1.05	14.2	15.4	-1.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.43,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.53,0.5,0.44,0.38,0.3,0.22,0.18,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.27,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.22,0.33,0.32,0.23,0.16,0.15,0.29,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.21,0.12,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 86, NYK 79	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.18,0.19,0.21,0.25,0.27,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.16,0.15,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.26,0.32,0.34,0.43,0.33,0.43,0.37,0.21,0.12,0.13,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.05,0	93.4%
SEA 94, VAN 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.24,0.2,0.21,0.29,0.21,0.21,0.36,0.33,0.45,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.35,0.29,0.28,0.17,0.2,0.21,0.3,0.3,0.43,0.44,0.42,0.21,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.11,0.06,0.04,0	91.0%
DEN 105, SAC 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.23,0.17,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.25,0.3,0.39,0.42,0.32,0.28,0.23,0.19,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.33,0.27,0.17,0.09,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0	90.8%