NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	89		Excitement	6.5 [497]		MVP	Michael Curry (DET): +18.4%
Detroit Pistons	84		Comeback	1.4 [434]		LVP	Jerry Stackhouse (DET): -36.7%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Ollie	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.04	0.00	2	100%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Brad Miller	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.00	7	62%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jamaal Tinsley	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04	-0.01	0.04	-0.02	12	54%	0.09	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Austin Croshere	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Foster	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	4	67%	0.07	3	-0.10	4	50%	-0.01
Metta World Peace	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	14	50%	0.04	3	-0.10	4	75%	0.02
Jonathan Bender	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	3	25%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	21	46%	-0.01	3	-0.11	8	87%	0.04
Reggie Miller	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.11	-0.06	-0.01	8	29%	-0.04	3	-0.12	1	100%	0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.11	0.09	0.01	7	93%	0.22	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.05	0.01	16	65%	0.16	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	-0.01	16	47%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	0.02	-0.03	8	35%	-0.02	1	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.08	-0.12	-0.00	11	46%	-0.08	3	-0.11	6	100%	0.03
Clifford Robinson	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.15	-0.06	-0.01	11	17%	-0.18	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.37	-0.37	-0.26	-0.14	-0.02	14	22%	-0.16	5	-0.21	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.9	2.0	28.2	15.3	24.3	1.8	37.2	131.8
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +27.0%

IND +20.8%

IND +5.8%

DET -6.2%

IND +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	DET	NBA	IND	DET	NBA
this game	15.6	16.1	15.6	96.7	93.3	102.3
season	15.3	15.7		101.6	101.9
opponent	15.8	15.4		99.8	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.7	17.0	17.4	13.8	15.6
DET	16.7	16.4	17.8	13.9	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Metta World Peace	71	69	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.43	10	-5	15	15.2	16.9	-1.63	16.0	16.1	-0.11
Jamaal Tinsley	76	76	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.35	11	-6	17	15.6	15.6	0.04	15.9	16.7	-0.78
Jermaine O'Neal	73	73	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.28	10	-5	15	15.9	14.3	1.68	16.3	14.8	1.52
Reggie Miller	71	69	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.23	8	-3	11	15.8	14.9	0.90	16.7	13.8	2.93
Jeff Foster	50	48	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.41	-5	10	-15	15.3	16.0	-0.70	14.7	17.6	-2.93
Austin Croshere	25	22	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.01	3	2	1	13.0	16.6	-3.51	16.7	15.8	0.89
Brad Miller	38	38	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.06	-1	6	-7	17.3	14.4	2.97	16.4	15.8	0.68
Kevin Ollie	21	21	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.07	-4	9	-13	15.2	15.7	-0.53	16.7	15.9	0.86
Jonathan Bender	35	34	-0.27	0.77	-1.03	-0.06	-7	12	-19	15.8	15.5	0.37	15.0	16.7	-1.65

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mikki Moore	10	11	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.01	-1	-4	3	18.5	15.7	2.75	16.1	15.5	0.56
Damon Jones	25	26	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.06	-3	-2	-1	17.6	15.5	2.08	15.5	15.6	-0.14
Michael Curry	51	52	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.06	-4	-1	-3	16.9	15.0	1.91	15.9	15.2	0.75
Clifford Robinson	42	44	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.09	-6	1	-7	16.4	15.8	0.61	16.0	15.3	0.68
Jon Barry	58	60	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.38	2	-7	9	14.4	19.1	-4.67	14.8	17.1	-2.25
Jerry Stackhouse	68	68	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.22	-4	-1	-3	16.0	16.1	-0.11	16.1	14.3	1.77
Chucky Atkins	65	66	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.29	-2	-3	1	15.5	17.6	-2.08	15.6	15.5	0.14
Ben Wallace	75	77	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.37	-1	-4	3	16.1	15.9	0.15	15.5	16.2	-0.72
Corliss Williamson	56	56	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.30	-6	1	-7	16.3	15.6	0.75	15.4	16.0	-0.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.29,0.33,0.39,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.34,0.34,0.43,0.52,0.37,0.14,0.24,0.14,0.14,0.04,0.03,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 86, MEM 80	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.33,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.33,0.4,0.48,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.27,0.24,0.33,0.21,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.07,0.03,0.01,0	93.5%
HOU 100, LAL 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.3,0.29,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.37,0.23,0.33,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.3,0.34,0.43,0.42,0.26,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.12,0,0,0	93.3%
SEA 94, VAN 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.24,0.2,0.21,0.29,0.21,0.21,0.36,0.33,0.45,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.35,0.29,0.28,0.17,0.2,0.21,0.3,0.3,0.43,0.44,0.42,0.21,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.11,0.06,0.04,0	93.2%