NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	107		Excitement	8.6 [201]		MVP	DeMar DeRozan (CHI): +22.7%
Chicago Bulls	110		Comeback	2.8 [591]		LVP	Scoot Henderson (POR): -25.8%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Duop Reath	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.14	0.06	0.02	6	100%	0.19	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Deandre Ayton	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.14	0.03	0.04	17	66%	0.16	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.03
Kris Murray	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	9	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Matisse Thybulle	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rayan Rupert	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toumani Camara	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Anfernee Simons	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.14,0.03,-0.09	0.10	-0.18	0.01	24	55%	-0.06	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.04
Dalano Banton	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.12	-0.01	-0.12	-0.01	7	69%	0.12	4	-0.24	2	100%	0.01
Jabari Walker	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.04	-0.13	0.00	5	25%	-0.18	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Scoot Henderson	-0.26	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.19	-0.07	-0.00	17	35%	-0.07	6	-0.19	6	83%	-0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.26,0.16,0.23	0.23	0.15	0.10	0.02	17	68%	0.27	2	-0.04	7	100%	0.07
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.10	0.03	17	61%	0.20	3	-0.09	2	0%	-0.04
Ayo Dosunmu	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	-0.04	-0.01	17	62%	0.10	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Jevon Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dalen Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	7	36%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Torrey Craig	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	-0.02	7	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Onuralp Bitim	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	-0.01	9	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	10	36%	-0.01	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Alex Caruso	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16	-0.16	-0.04	-0.11	-0.00	5	36%	-0.13	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.09

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	1.5	25.6	15.3	29.4	2.5	36.5	138.8
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +29.0%

POR -1.8%

POR -9.9%

CHI +28.7%

CHI +4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	CHI	NBA	POR	CHI	NBA
this game	13.7	15.7	14.5	109.2	112.2	113.9
season	14.8	14.5		106.9	113.4
opponent	15.0	14.5		115.1	116.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	13.7	14.6	13.9	12.5	13.7
CHI	18.2	14.8	14.3	15.8	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matisse Thybulle	8	8	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.03	-1	-2	1	14.7	13.6	1.18	18.5	15.5	3.02
Duop Reath	36	35	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.29	8	-11	19	12.2	14.5	-2.28	16.5	15.3	1.27
Scoot Henderson	64	65	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.22	4	-7	11	13.4	14.2	-0.83	15.7	15.8	-0.14
Jabari Walker	69	67	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.31	5	-8	13	13.3	14.6	-1.26	16.2	14.6	1.63
Rayan Rupert	9	9	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.06	-8	5	-13	12.2	13.8	-1.59	13.9	15.9	-2.02
Kris Murray	54	56	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.22	-3	0	-3	14.4	12.8	1.62	15.2	16.4	-1.19
Anfernee Simons	78	78	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.41	3	-6	9	14.1	12.1	1.96	15.7	15.6	0.09
Toumani Camara	29	30	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.09	-10	7	-17	14.6	13.3	1.26	15.1	16.0	-0.95
Dalano Banton	69	67	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.29	-5	2	-7	13.1	15.0	-1.90	15.8	15.6	0.12
Deandre Ayton	74	75	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.33	-8	5	-13	14.2	11.9	2.37	15.4	16.7	-1.21

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMar DeRozan	82	83	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.37	12	-9	21	15.7	16.0	-0.33	13.7	13.6	0.07
Ayo Dosunmu	79	79	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.25	12	-9	21	15.5	16.7	-1.19	14.1	11.8	2.26
Alex Caruso	64	63	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.39	0	3	-3	15.3	16.6	-1.32	14.0	13.0	0.99
Nikola Vucevic	70	69	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.37	-2	5	-7	15.7	15.8	-0.09	14.6	11.6	3.00
Torrey Craig	49	48	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.17	3	0	3	16.0	15.4	0.63	14.5	12.9	1.56
Andre Drummond	29	30	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.01	6	-3	9	15.5	15.8	-0.34	11.2	14.8	-3.60
Onuralp Bitim	52	51	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.31	-7	10	-17	16.1	15.3	0.83	13.5	13.8	-0.24
Dalen Terry	31	32	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.08	-3	6	-9	15.6	15.8	-0.16	12.4	14.3	-1.91
Jevon Carter	34	35	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.13	-6	9	-15	16.6	15.3	1.28	12.7	14.2	-1.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.79,0.79,0.88,0.87,0.93,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.9,0.94,0.91,0.86,0.76,0.67,0.61,0.46,0.57,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 100, TOR 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.45,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.7,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.76,0.82,0.75,0.79,0.86,0.86,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.93,0.79,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.68,0.46,0.77,0.58,1	92.5%
DEN 88, ATL 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.68,0.71,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.67,0.75,0.79,0.87,0.94,0.97,0.93,0.84,0.82,0.92,0.92,0.82,0.9,0.85,0.87,0.81,0.73,0.8,0.72,0.57,0.58,1	92.3%
NYK 81, CHI 82	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.62,0.61,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.74,0.73,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.83,0.88,0.88,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.86,0.83,0.76,0.6,0.39,0.45,0.67,0.42,1	92.2%