NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	81		Excitement	9.2 [121]		MVP	Iman Shumpert (NYK): +8.7%
Chicago Bulls	82		Comeback	3.0 [492]		LVP	Carmelo Anthony (NYK): -71.6%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Iman Shumpert	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.09,0.09	-0.00	0.09	0.00	6	50%	0.11	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.06
Metta World Peace	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.03	-0.03	11	36%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrea Bargnani	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	7	64%	0.07	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pablo Prigioni	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	3	62%	0.06	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02
Tim Hardaway Jr.	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	13	38%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	0.00	0.01	8	39%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.09
Raymond Felton	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.04	-0.10	0.00	14	42%	-0.10	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Carmelo Anthony	-0.72	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.13,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.08,-0.18,-0.72	-0.10	-0.62	0.00	24	42%	-0.48	4	-0.24	5	80%	0.02

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luol Deng	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.01	0.01	15	57%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	58%	0.04	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.06	0.01	7	78%	0.12	3	-0.14	4	100%	0.03
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	6	60%	0.10	5	-0.13	3	100%	0.02
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	7	37%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.06
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.15,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.27,-0.08	-0.08	-0.14	0.04	-0.01	23	37%	0.26	4	-0.34	2	100%	0.04
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.05	-0.08	0.01	11	39%	-0.10	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.7	2.7	34.2	19.4	28.5	3.4	42.4	153.3
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +67.2%

CHI +8.7%

NYK -8.4%

NYK -30.7%

CHI +13.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	CHI	NBA	NYK	CHI	NBA
this game	16.2	15.5	15.1	89.0	90.1	105.2
season	16.0	16.3		106.4	101.1
opponent	15.3	15.4		99.6	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.8	14.3	16.5	18.8	16.2
CHI	14.2	13.9	16.2	18.1	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Hardaway Jr.	50	50	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.05	7	-8	15	16.4	15.9	0.52	15.4	15.5	-0.09
Kenyon Martin	8	7	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.03	2	-3	5	14.2	16.4	-2.12	16.6	15.4	1.20
Amar'e Stoudemire	21	21	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.00	-3	2	-5	14.7	16.6	-1.91	16.0	15.3	0.64
Pablo Prigioni	22	21	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.05	-7	6	-13	14.9	16.6	-1.69	15.7	15.4	0.33
Tyson Chandler	68	68	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.51	8	-9	17	16.6	15.0	1.65	15.4	15.7	-0.37
Raymond Felton	69	70	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.52	6	-7	13	16.6	14.9	1.69	15.4	15.7	-0.33
Iman Shumpert	46	45	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.39	1	-2	3	17.4	14.9	2.52	15.9	15.0	0.89
Andrea Bargnani	46	49	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.10	-9	8	-17	16.0	16.4	-0.42	15.6	15.3	0.33
Metta World Peace	46	46	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.41	-4	3	-7	14.7	17.7	-3.02	15.0	15.9	-0.89
Carmelo Anthony	79	78	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.40	-6	5	-11	16.5	13.9	2.61	15.2	16.8	-1.53

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luol Deng	77	77	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.44	5	-4	9	14.6	20.1	-5.53	16.5	14.5	1.99
Derrick Rose	62	61	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.49	-1	2	-3	15.6	15.1	0.53	17.1	14.4	2.72
Carlos Boozer	61	62	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.16	9	-8	17	14.9	16.6	-1.75	16.8	14.9	1.94
Jimmy Butler	78	77	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.49	-4	5	-9	15.7	14.0	1.71	16.3	15.4	0.90
Joakim Noah	66	65	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.46	-5	6	-11	15.7	14.9	0.75	17.1	14.0	3.12
Kirk Hinrich	33	34	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.20	1	0	1	14.8	15.8	-0.96	14.5	17.2	-2.65
Taj Gibson	42	42	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.07	-1	2	-3	16.0	15.0	1.00	14.3	17.8	-3.49
Mike Dunleavy	27	28	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.01	1	0	1	17.2	14.7	2.45	15.0	16.7	-1.77
Nazr Mohammed	9	9	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.03	0	1	-1	16.4	15.4	1.09	14.4	16.4	-1.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.62,0.61,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.74,0.73,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.83,0.88,0.88,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.86,0.83,0.76,0.6,0.39,0.45,0.67,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 97, UTA 101	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.5,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.76,0.76,0.75,0.71,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.7,0.66,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.84,0.91,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.76,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.67,0.73,1	92.5%
HOU 82, SAS 87	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.52,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.63,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.88,0.94,0.9,0.92,0.89,0.85,0.79,0.66,0.54,0.39,0.55,0.57,0.58,1	91.8%
PHX 100, TOR 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.45,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.7,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.76,0.82,0.75,0.79,0.86,0.86,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.93,0.79,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.68,0.46,0.77,0.58,1	90.7%