NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	100		Excitement	8.4 [186]		MVP	Jonas Valanciunas (TOR): +25.1%
Toronto Raptors	104		Comeback	1.6 [680]		LVP	Gerald Green (PHX): -26.4%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Bledsoe	0.22	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.2,0.22	0.09	0.18	0.05	16	62%	0.36	3	-0.14	8	75%	0.05
Isaiah Thomas	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.11,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.15	0.10	0.04	-0.02	10	80%	0.32	2	-0.17	0	0%	0.00
PJ Tucker	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.09	0.05	-0.00	6	92%	0.17	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Miles Plumlee	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shavlik Randolph	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Alex Len	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Morris	-0.09	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	7	36%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.01	-0.07	0.01	16	50%	-0.03	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Goran Dragic	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.12	-0.04	-0.01	9	33%	-0.04	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	-0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.25,-0.26	-0.07	-0.21	-0.01	12	52%	-0.00	5	-0.26	1	100%	0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.20	0.07	0.02	11	90%	0.30	2	-0.05	8	87%	0.03
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.19	0.19	0.02	0.17	0.00	0	100%	0.19	0	0.00	2	100%	0.08
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.06	-0.01	11	52%	0.12	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.03	-0.01	12	61%	0.15	2	-0.13	4	75%	-0.00
James Johnson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.22,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.03	0.00	20	43%	0.02	1	-0.03	13	69%	0.01
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Greivis Vasquez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	6	17%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0,-0.11,-0.23	-0.23	-0.08	-0.14	0.01	16	41%	-0.17	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.3	29.8	14.8	25.3	2.3	34.3	133.4
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX -52.4%

TOR +37.7%

TOR +27.9%

TOR +49.6%

PHX -12.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	TOR	NBA	PHX	TOR	NBA
this game	14.8	14.8	15.1	101.0	108.3	104.2
season	14.4	15.6		103.7	109.1
opponent	15.0	15.0		106.8	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	16.1	14.8	15.4	12.8	14.8
TOR	15.2	15.2	11.7	17.2	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Miles Plumlee	9	8	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.04	0	-4	4	21.9	14.1	7.82	16.7	14.6	2.17
Shavlik Randolph	12	12	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.03	-2	-2	0	15.2	14.7	0.44	15.4	14.7	0.75
Marcus Morris	39	37	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-1	-2	15.7	14.2	1.55	14.5	14.9	-0.36
PJ Tucker	66	64	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.38	7	-11	18	14.0	16.3	-2.29	14.9	14.4	0.48
Isaiah Thomas	42	41	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.33	4	-8	12	14.5	14.9	-0.40	16.7	13.3	3.36
Markieff Morris	77	74	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.43	7	-11	18	14.2	16.6	-2.39	15.2	13.2	1.99
Gerald Green	61	59	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.35	3	-7	10	14.8	14.8	-0.06	15.1	14.2	0.97
Anthony Tolliver	22	22	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.05	-11	7	-18	16.6	14.2	2.39	13.2	15.2	-1.99
Eric Bledsoe	76	76	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.46	5	-9	14	13.9	17.7	-3.74	15.2	13.2	1.91
Alex Len	45	43	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.10	-16	12	-28	15.0	14.6	0.45	12.6	16.5	-3.90
Goran Dragic	46	44	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.00	-14	10	-24	15.0	14.6	0.46	13.3	16.0	-2.70

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patrick Patterson	47	50	0.77	-0.27	1.03	0.36	14	-10	24	14.0	15.5	-1.45	15.9	13.6	2.35
DeMar DeRozan	73	75	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.31	9	-5	14	14.8	14.8	-0.03	14.5	15.5	-1.01
Jonas Valanciunas	65	68	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.08	10	-6	16	14.0	16.3	-2.31	15.1	14.1	1.04
Amir Johnson	51	53	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.39	-1	5	-6	14.8	14.8	0.01	13.6	16.2	-2.61
Kyle Lowry	77	80	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.33	1	3	-2	14.9	14.2	0.69	14.3	16.9	-2.68
Terrence Ross	59	61	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.44	-3	7	-10	15.2	14.1	1.15	13.8	16.3	-2.50
James Johnson	8	8	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	4	-4	14.5	14.8	-0.28	16.4	14.6	1.74
Lou Williams	50	51	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.18	5	-1	6	14.8	14.7	0.17	15.7	13.8	1.83
Greivis Vasquez	31	31	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.09	-5	9	-14	15.0	14.6	0.40	16.0	14.2	1.78
Charles Hayes	19	18	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.07	-10	14	-24	16.7	14.3	2.40	15.1	14.7	0.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.45,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.7,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.76,0.82,0.75,0.79,0.86,0.86,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.93,0.79,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.68,0.46,0.77,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 91, NOH 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.75,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.83,0.72,0.86,0.92,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.83,0.73,0.74,0.81,0.72,0.81,0.64,0.67,0.69,1	92.3%
HOU 82, SAS 87	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.52,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.63,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.88,0.94,0.9,0.92,0.89,0.85,0.79,0.66,0.54,0.39,0.55,0.57,0.58,1	92.0%
SAS 99, POR 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.72,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.89,0.73,0.7,0.66,0.78,0.62,0.55,0.66,0.74,1	91.9%